Liontips
Southampton vs Brentford: English Premier League Match Prediction
In the 20th round of the Premier League on January 4, Southampton will host Brentford at home. The visitors are much higher than the Saints in the standings, but have not yet won a single away victory in the championship since the beginning of the season. How will the game go and what are the best bets to choose? - the answer is in our forecast
Command Analysis
Southampton
EnglandCurrent form
Southampton have changed their coach, but the arrival of Ivan Juric has not had an immediate positive effect in terms of scoring. The Saints suffered defeats at home to West Ham (0:1) and away to Crystal Palace (1:2). In these matches, the team could have at least drawn, and even opened the scoring against the Eagles, but they have not yet been able to play a clear defensive game throughout the entire match.
With each round, the situation in the standings for Southampton becomes more and more threatening. After 19 rounds, the Saints are in last place with six points in the asset and a gap of 10 points from the saving 17th place.
Disqualifications and injuries
Fernandes is out due to disqualification. Bazunu, Larios, Stevens and Stewart are injured. Downes and Smallbone are in doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Southampton have drawn their last three games in the first half
- Eight of the Saints' previous 11 Premier League games have seen three or fewer goals scored
- Southampton have lost seven of their last nine home Premier League games
Tentative lineup: Ramsdale - Harwood-Bellis, Bednarek, Wood - Sugawara, Ugochukwu, Aribo, Manning - Dibling - Onuachu, Archer.
Brentford
EnglandCurrent form
Brentford, after 19 rounds, is firmly in the middle of the tournament table, sitting in 12th place with 24 points. Undoubtedly, the result could have been better, but the Londoners are frankly failing away matches. In total, they have two points scored away from home in nine matches played. Only due to their strong play on their home field, it is difficult to even claim a place in the top 10.
It is obvious that the "bees" are now in a decent decline, since even the home field factor does not help. In the last five matches, taking into account the cup game against Newcastle, Thomas Frank charges have not won a single victory - four defeats and a draw.
Disqualifications and injuries
Brentford injured list includes Da Silva, Pinnock, Ajer, Mee, Hickey, Henry, Thiago and Nunez, with Carvalho a doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Brentford have drawn at half-time in their previous two matches
- Both teams have scored in 14 of Brentford last 17 Premier League games
Tentative line-up: Flekken – Roerslev, van den Berg, Collins, Lewis-Potter – Janelt, Nergaard, Yarmolyuk – Damsgaard – Mbeumo, Wissa.
Trends
Brentford Total Corners Under 5.5
The stake has played in Brentford last nine away Premier League games
1.60Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
Three of Southampton previous five matches have seen at least two goals scored in the opening 45 minutes
2.42Bet Exact score 3:1
Two of Brentford last three defeats have come by that scoreline
23.00Tip and bets
Brentford have seen a significant decline, many problems with the squad. Plus, today they have to play away, where the Londoners have not won even once this season. Southampton were not so bad in the last two matches under the leadership of Juric, on their home field the Saints will play at their best, given the tournament position. We think the bookmakers are slightly overestimating the capabilities of the guests in this pair.
Our prediction is a Southampton win with an Asian handicap (0) at odds of 2.12
Bet on total
The hosts have nothing to lose, they need to play to win, go forward, take risks. Brentford traditionally plays boldly in attack and is ready to support open football. We expect that the opponents will score at least three goals between them.
The second bet is total over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.67
Bet on the first half
It is worth noting that Southampton have drawn in the first half in their last three matches, while Brentford have drawn in this period in their previous two matches. It is quite possible that today, too, a draw will be recorded in the opening 45 minutes.
Prediction: draw in the first half with odds of 2.44
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