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Keys vs. Samsonova: WTA Adelaide Match Prediction
In the first semi-final of the tournament in Adelaide on January 10, Madison Keys will play against Lyudmila Samsonova. The American is leading in personal meetings with a score of 4-1, has been in excellent shape since the beginning of the season and is not by chance an obvious favorite in the bookmakers' line. Will the Russian tennis player be able to surprise her not the most convenient opponent today? - the answer is in our betting tip. Who should you bet on this time?
Command Analysis
Madison Keys
USACurrent form
Keys has demonstrated her excellent readiness for the new season from the very beginning of the year and it is no coincidence that we see her in the semifinals. Let us recall that last week in Auckland she made it to the quarterfinals, and now she has taken a step forward at more prestigious competitions. At the start in Adelaide, Madison left Haddad Maia no chance (6-2, 6-1). In the second round, she had a difficult three-set match against Ostapenko (3-6, 6-4, 6-3). In the quarterfinals, the American left Kasatkina no chance thanks to her attacking style of play and powerful blows (6-1, 6-3).
Professional qualities
Keys relies on fast rallies in her game, she has a powerful first serve and a strong forehand. She often takes risks on the return, trying to hit a winner regularly. At the same time, the American feels very uncomfortable in long rallies.
Current indicators in the tour
Since the beginning of the year, Keys has played six matches on the tour, winning five. In the world rankings, the American tennis player is currently in 20th place, and her best achievement in her career is seventh place.
Interesting facts for betting
- Keys has beaten Samsonova in four of their five head-to-head encounters
- Only one of Keys' six matches this season has seen the maximum number of sets played
Liudmila Samsonova
Russian FederationCurrent form
Samsonova entered the new season with a defeat. Last week in Brisbane she failed to cope with her compatriot Polina Kudermetova in the opening match (7-6, 3-6, 2-6). In Adelaide on the way to the semi-finals, Lyudmila overcame tough opponents Buzkova, Bencic and Navarro, and in each of the matches she was an underdog in the bookmakers' line. It is noticeable that the Russian is gradually adding to the reliability of the game, she has fewer and fewer unforced errors, and her serve helps a lot. In the quarter-finals, she managed to defeat Navarro with an exact score of 2-0 in sets, there were no more ups and downs in the game (6-4, 6-4).
Professional qualities
Ludmila always strives to play number one, to attack, using strong flat shots. Plus, she has a powerful first serve in her arsenal, which brings a lot of easy points on fast surfaces.
Current indicators in the tour
Samsonova has played four matches this year, winning three. She is currently ranked 26th in the world, and her career best is 12th place.
Interesting facts for betting
- In three of the four matches played since the start of the season, Samsonova played three sets
- The Russian tennis player's only victory over Keys in personal meetings was achieved on grass
Trends
Bet Total over 2.5 sets
In three of the five personal meetings, the tennis players played three sets
2.42Match Tie-Break Bet – Yes
Tie-breaks have been played in two of Samsonova's previous four matches
3.20Tip and bets
Bookmakers still do not believe in Samsonova at all and once again play her as an outright underdog. At the same time, the Russian tennis player has victories over tough opponents Bouzkova, Bencic and Navarro, she is noticeably improving her game reliability and can play no less aggressively and boldly than Keys. It is possible that she will not be able to win today, but in her current form Samsonova is capable of imposing an equal fight on the American.
Our prediction is Samsonova's victory with a handicap of (+4) games with odds of 1.86
Bet on total
The opponents are well acquainted with each other's playing style, as they have played each other five times. In three face-to-face matches, an exchange of winning sets was recorded, which we do not rule out today, given that both have gained solid form.
The second bet is total over 21 games for 1.81
Bet on the second set
In all three of Samsonova's matches in Adelaide, more than nine games were played in the second set. We expect that today's semi-final will also see a close fight in this section of the game.
Betting Tip - total games in the second set over 9.5 with odds of 2.12
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