Real Madrid vs Barcelona: Prediction and Betting Odds 3.75
Real Madrid beat Barcelona in the final of the last Spanish Super Cup with a crushing score (4:1). Will the blue-garnets be able to hold out on January 12 in the next decisive match of this tournament in Saudi Arabia? Who is better prepared for this championship? Our experts made a preliminary analysis and provided their opinion on the upcoming match. Our star expert Alexander Mostovoy shared his opinion on the game

Command Analysis

Real Madrid

Current form
Saudi Arabia is back to host the Spanish Super Cup, the 41st edition of the tournament. The four-team format has become a familiar one since its introduction, and it is the fifth time in six years that the competition has been held on Arab soil. Real Madrid cruised to the final after beating Mallorca 3-0 in the semi-finals, Jude Bellingham opening the scoring in the 63rd minute, with Rodrigo and an own goal from Valiente in stoppage time sealing the Whites' lead. With 13 Super Cup trophies under their belt, Real Madrid could equal Barcelona all-time record with a win.
Carlo Ancelotti side are in excellent form and playing confidently, making them favourites to go to the final. The clashes between Real Madrid and Barcelona are always intense, and six of the last eight Super Cup finals between the two sides have ended with at least two goals at half-time. Each of the last four such encounters have also ended with a difference of several goals, highlighting the attacking potential of both sides.
Disqualifications and injuries
Missing out: Dani Carvajal (knee injury) and Eder Militao (knee injury)
Interesting trends for betting
- Semi-final scorer Rodrigo put the icing on the cake by scoring the fourth goal in last year 4-1 final win, his sixth in 13 head-to-head encounters with Barcelona
- Real Madrid have scored at least two goals in their last four matches in all competitions
- Real have won three of their last six meetings with Barcelona, including a memorable 4-1 win last season
- Rodrigo has been in great form, scoring in his last two games in a row and actively contributing to the creation of goal-scoring chances
- Four of Real Madrid last five Spanish Super Cup finals have seen more than 2.5 goals scored
Probable line-up: Thibaut Courtois – Lucas Vazquez, Antonio Rudiger, Federico Valverde, Fran Garcia – Aurélien Tchouameni, Luka Modric, Jude Bellingham – Rodrygo, Jose Luis, Brahim Diaz

Barcelona

Current form
Despite a long road to the final, Barcelona confidently advanced to their third consecutive Spanish Super Cup final after beating Athletic Bilbao 2-0 in the semi-finals. Gavi opened the scoring in the 17th minute and Lamine Jamal extended the lead in the second half to ensure a comfortable finish for the Catalans. The win was Barcelona second in a row in all competitions, the first since November.
The key to their success was their solid defence, which kept their opponents scoreless in these games. Now Barcelona can once again rely on their solid backline to seal their success in the final. After a few poor performances in La Liga (one win, one draw and three defeats in the last five rounds), Xavi side are looking to gain revenge in the Super Cup. This will be the 17th final between Barcelona and Real Madrid, and although the Blaugrana have only won one of their last five meetings, they are looking to change that statistic.
Injuries and disqualifications
Marc-Andre ter Stegen will not be able to play (knee injury). All other players are fit and ready to show their best qualities.
Interesting trends for betting
- Barcelona have opened the scoring in three of their last five matches in all competitions
- The Blaugrana have scored two or more goals in eight of their previous ten cup matches
- Barcelona last four Spanish Super Cup finals have seen more than 2.5 goals scored
- Robert Lewandowski has scored in his last two games in a row and could be a key factor in the attack against Real Madrid
Probable lineup: Inaki Pena – Jules Kounde, Eric Garcia, Andreas Christensen, Alejandro Balde – Frenkie de Jong, Gavi, Pedri – Rafinha, Ferran Torres, Robert Lewandowski
Trends
Bet Exact score 4:1
Two of the last four head-to-head matches have seen this score
16.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In 3 of Real Madrid last 5 matches, goals were scored in both halves
1.82Bet Corners: total over 9.5
In 3 of the last 5 matches of the hosts such a bet took place
1.88Bet Number 1 in the score
In three of the last six matches this bet has played out
1.65Tip and bets
The upcoming Spanish Super Cup final between Real Madrid and Barcelona is expected to be a spectacular and high-scoring game. Both giants of Spanish football approach this match with high expectations and powerful attacking arsenals, which promises a real football extravaganza on the pitch in Jeddah. Real, confidently marching towards the final after a crushing 3-0 victory over Mallorca, demonstrates stability in attack. In the last five matches, the Whites have scored an average of more than two goals per game, which underlines their attacking potential. Carlo Ancelotti, with experience and talent in his squad, intends to repeat the success of last season and lift the trophy again. Barcelona, in turn, also showed their strength in the semi-finals, beating Athletic Bilbao with a score of 2-0.
The Catalans, despite a few slip-ups in La Liga, have regained their confidence and will be looking to use the Super Cup final as an opportunity to avenge their past failures. With a powerful attacking line led by Robert Lewandowski, Barcelona are capable of causing problems for any opponent. Historically, finals between these teams have often been goal-fests. The last six meetings in the Spanish Super Cup have seen more than three goals scored in four matches. Given the current form of both teams and their desire to win their first trophy of the season, both sides are expected to strive for open football and creative play.
Our prediction is total over three goals with odds of 1.89
Bet on the outcome
The Spanish Super Cup final between Real Madrid and Barcelona promises to be a real highlight of the tournament, given the rich history of confrontations between these teams. Real, in excellent form after a confident 3-0 victory over Mallorca in the semi-final, looks like the favorite. Carlo Ancelotti men demonstrate confident play, especially in decisive matches, where the experience and skill of the team leaders often prove to be decisive factors.
Barcelona, despite their recent success in the semi-finals, face problems in important matches against top opponents. Injuries to key players can make the task more difficult, and without a reliable leader in defense, the Catalans may have difficulty in containing Real attacking line. Given their current form and head-to-head statistics, it is likely that Real will win by at least two goals.
Betting Tip - Asian handicap (-1) on Real Madrid and we bet on it at odds of 3.75
Bet on statistics
The final between Real Madrid and Barcelona is traditionally a high-tempo, goal-line affair. Both teams are expected to be in control of the game, which will result in a high number of shots on goal. Real Madrid, with one of the most powerful attacks in Europe, often attack from the flanks, which creates a lot of corners. The last six meetings between these teams in the Spanish Super Cup have seen at least 10 corners per match. Given the attacking style of both teams and the importance of every moment in the final, expect a lot of action in the penalty area.
Betting Tip - total corners over 10.5 with odds of 2.10