Liontips
Ourense vs. Valencia: Spanish Cup Match Prediction
In the 1/8 finals of the Spanish Cup, Ourense will host a more powerful Valencia on its home field on January 14. Will there be a fight in this match, or will the guests easily advance to the next round? The answer is in our betting tip. Which event should you choose for a bet?
Command Analysis
Ourense
SpainCurrent form
Ourense is in the middle of the Segunda RFEF standings, occupying 15th place with 21 points after 19 rounds. Despite a difficult season, the team shows character, especially in the Spanish Cup. In the 1/16 finals, Ourense sensationally knocked out Valladolid with a 3:2 victory, demonstrating the will to win and resilience. In the championship, Ourense won an important victory over Lugo, losing from the 13th minute. Carbonell equalized the score in the 84th minute, and scored the winning goal in the 91st. This raises the spirits of the team, which is trying to improve its position in the table.
Disqualifications and injuries
All key players of the team are in action.
Interesting trends for betting
- Orense have scored at least one goal in 4 of their last 5 matches
- In 3 of the team last 4 matches, fewer than 2.5 goals were recorded
- In the last two cup matches, Orense scored the decisive goals in the last 10 minutes
Estimated lineup: Escobar - Mendez, Anez, Echevarria, Caballero - Hernanes, Flores, Padron, Gonzalez - Sanchez, Rivera
Valencia
SpainCurrent form
Valencia continue to struggle in the current La Liga season. After a 1-1 draw with Sevilla, the team is bottom of the table with 13 points. Despite the critical situation, Los Ches managed to show a good performance in the Copa del Rey, where they knocked out Eldense (2-0) on January 7. Away problems remain a sore point for Valencia, who have failed to win their last 13 away games. The dropped points from winning positions also indicate instability in defense and difficulties in maintaining a leading position.
Disqualifications and injuries
Valencia face significant personnel losses ahead of their next match: Thierry Correia (knee injury), Mossa Diakhaby (knee injury), Jose Gaya (muscle injury), Georgi Mamardashvili (leg injury) and Fran Perez (knee injury) will all miss the game.
Interesting trends for betting
- Both teams have scored in Valencia last three matches in all competitions
- Valencia have conceded in five of their last six La Liga away games
- Hugo Duro has scored two of Valencia last three goals in the Copa del Rey
- Valencia have kept clean sheets in their last two Copa del Rey games
Probable line-up: Cristian Rivero – Gabriel Paulista, Charlie Paquette, Dimitri Foulquier – Yunus Musa, Hugo Guillamon, Andre Almeida – Samu Castillejo, Hugo Duro, Diego Lopez
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:3
Two of the last six matches of the visitors ended with this score
9.50Bet Corners: total over 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 3 of Orense last 5 matches
1.86Bet Goals in both halves - yes
In 2 of the last 4 matches of the guests this type of bet took place
1.95Bet Number 1 in the score
In two of the six matches of the guests such a bet took place
1.88Tip and bets
The upcoming Copa del Rey match between Ourense and Valencia is expected to be a high-scoring game with many goals. Ourense has already demonstrated its ability to score in key matches, having knocked out Valladolid (3:2) in the previous round. The team playing style is aimed at attacking, which makes them dangerous even against stronger opponents.
Valencia, despite their current problems in La Liga, have shown that they can be dangerous in attack, especially in the Copa del Rey, where they recently beat Eldense 2-0. Their inconsistent defence and need to win can lead to open play from both sides. Valencia have historically been a goal-scoring side in cup games, which increases the chances of a goal-heavy encounter.
Our betting tip is total over 2.5 goals, odds 2.10
Bet on the outcome
In the Spanish Cup match between Ourense and Valencia, the visitors are clear favorites. Valencia, despite problems in the championship, has a much higher class and experience, which should affect the result. Ourense, having shown a decent fight in the previous rounds, is unlikely to cope with the pressure of the attacking line of the visitors. Given the difference in the level of the teams and the motivation of Valencia to confidently go further, we expect them to win with a difference of at least two goals.
Our prediction is Asian handicap (-1) on Valencia. We bet on it with odds of 2.35
Bet on statistics
Valencia matches this season have often featured a high level of attacking activity, which has led to a large number of corners. Orense, on the other hand, have been very active at home, which has also led to a high number of set pieces. Given the difference in class and the expected dominance of Valencia, the likelihood of a large number of corners in the match is high.
Betting Tip - total over 9.5 corners, odds 1.90
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