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Arsenal vs Aston Villa: Prediction and Betting Odds 3.50
Arsenal managed to win a difficult comeback victory in the London derby against Tottenham in the previous round and continues to hold the second place in the Premier League. Aston Villa have won all three matches played in the new year and clearly do not plan to stop there. What will the face-to-face confrontation between the rivals at the Emirates on January 18 be like? - the answer is in our betting tip. Also, the star experts of the site Roman Pavlyuchenko and Dmitry Gradilenko share their bets on the game
Command Analysis
Arsenal
EnglandCurrent form
Arsenal are not losing hope of catching up with the leader Liverpool in the standings. In the last round, the Merseysiders drew with Nottingham Forest, while the Gunners beat Tottenham. As a result, they immediately managed to break away by two points from the Foresters and by the same number of points approach the Liverpool team, from whom they are now four points behind. True, the victory in the derby over Tottenham was not easy, rather, forced, since they had to recoup, and in general there was no particular advantage in the game, very few dangerous moments were created.
The second home game in a row is ahead. It is worth noting that the Gunners are currently the best team in the Premier League in terms of points scored in home games. At the Emirates, they managed to score 24 points in 10 games played. The Gunners are still unbeaten at home in the Premier League – seven wins and three draws. Moreover, they have the best defense in the championship in home games – only seven goals conceded.
Overall, Arsenal have not been stable throughout the season, which is largely due to significant personnel problems, especially in attack. Saka is not playing, and recently it became known that Gabriel Jesus has a torn cruciate ligament in his left knee and is now out for the rest of the season.
Disqualifications and injuries
White, Tomiyasu, Saka, Nwaneri and Jesus are all out with injuries, while Calafiori is a doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Arsenal have not lost in the first half in four of their last five matches
- Six of the Gunners' previous eight Premier League games have seen no more than three goals scored
- Arsenal are unbeaten in the first half of their 19th home Premier League game
Probable line-up: Raya - Timber, Saliba, Magalhaes, Louis-Skelly - Odegaard, Partey, Rice - Sterling, Havertz, Trossard.
Aston Villa
EnglandCurrent form
Aston Villa had a slight slump in the second half of December, when they failed to win three of their four Premier League matches. However, things seem to have improved now. Since the new year, the Birmingham team has played three matches and won all of them, although the level of opponents was not the highest. In the Premier League, they managed to beat Leicester (2:1) and Everton (1:0). Between these matches, there was a 2:1 victory over West Ham in the 1/32 of the FA Cup.
Due to their instability after 21 rounds, Aston Villa is outside the top six in the European Cup. Unai Emery team has 35 points and is in provisional seventh place. However, they are behind sixth-placed Manchester City only on additional indicators.
The Birmingham team main problem is their weak away game. Only in the last game, thanks to a difficult victory over Everton, they managed to break a series of five defeats in a row in away matches in the Premier League. Today opponent is much more difficult, however, we note that last season Aston Villa managed to beat Arsenal at the Emirates with a score of 2:0 in the Premier League.
It should be noted that Aston Villa made two transfers. Philojean went to Ipswich, and Malen came from Borussia Dortmund.
Disqualifications and injuries
Torres, McGinn, Barkley, Carlos and House will be out today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Aston Villa have drawn at half-time in three of their last four matches
- Birmingham have scored at least three goals in eight of their last ten Premier League games
- Aston Villa have failed to score in the first half in their last five away Premier League games
- Aston Villa have committed fewer fouls than their opponents in their previous four games
Probable line-up: Martinez - Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne - Onana, Tielemans, Kamara - Rodgers, Watkins, Ramsey.
Trends
Bet Aston Villa to win on corners with handicap (+3.5)
Aston Villa have won 15 of their last 20 matches on corners
1.62Arsenal to score in the second half
In three of the last five head-to-head meetings, Arsenal have scored goals in the second 45 minutes
1.42Bet Exact score 3:1
Arsenal have won their last two head-to-head matches with a two-goal advantage
12.50Arsenal not to lose on yellow cards
Aston Villa have lost their last four games in terms of number of yellow cards received
1.65Bet Arsenal to win by fouls
Aston Villa have committed fewer fouls than their opponents in their previous four matches
1.69Tip and bets
Arsenal had some problems winning at home in the previous round and extended their unbeaten streak in home matches in the Premier League to 10 matches, in which they won seven. Aston Villa have been experiencing significant problems in away matches throughout the season, as evidenced by five away defeats. We think that it is precisely due to the home field factor that the Gunners will be able to earn three points today. We also remember that in their personal meeting in the first round they won in Birmingham with a score of 2:0.
Our prediction is Arsenal win with Asian handicap (-1) at odds of 1.87
Bet on total
Arsenal are usually reliable in defense at home, but now, in general, the Londoners' defense has begun to fail often - for five matches in a row, taking into account all tournaments, they have not managed to play to zero. At the same time, Aston Villa is very vulnerable away from home, conceding regularly and is unlikely to cope with the onslaught of the Gunners. There is a high probability that the opponents will exchange goals today.
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 1.96
Combined rate
Given that Arsenal defense has begun to fail regularly, it is unlikely that they will be able to secure a clean sheet in the upcoming match. Moreover, Aston Villa is always dangerous on counterattacks and has no particular problems with implementation. We recommend a combination bet with high odds that the hosts will win today and both teams will score goals in the match.
Betting Tip – Arsenal win and both teams to score at 3.50
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