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Leganes vs. Atletico: Spanish Championship match betting tip

Spain
Leganes
Spain
LaLiga
butarke

Leganes will play in the 20th round of the Spanish championship at their home Municipal de Butarque. Will the hosts be able to win on January 18 in the duel with Atletico? Our experts have prepared and assessed the teams' chances. The best betting options for this confrontation can be found in this material

Leganes vs Atletico Madrid Prediction and Betting Tips (18.01.2025)

Command Analysis

Leganes

Spain

Current form

Leganes continue to struggle for consistency this season. They have failed to build on their surprise 1-0 win over Barcelona in December. Borja Jimenez side missed another chance to escape the relegation zone last weekend, drawing 1-1 with Espanyol. The coach expressed disappointment, noting that an early goal had once again jeopardised their plans for the match.

The 5-2 home defeat to Villarreal continued a poor run of games against top-table sides. Leganes have lost all five of their home games against top-10 sides this season, with four of those games ending goalless. They face league leaders Atletico Madrid next, and will be keen to avoid another poor start.

Disqualifications and injuries

Saenz (injury), Franqueza (knee injury) and starting goalkeeper Soriano (red card) will be out of the match.

Interesting trends for betting

  • In Leganes' last five matches, both teams have scored three times.
  • Sergio González remains a key player in the team, his goals helping Leganes avoid defeat in a number of matches, including a win over Barcelona.
  • Leganes have failed to score in four of their last six home matches against teams from the top half of the table.

Probable line-up: Lopez - Brsanac, Cisse, Cruz - Gonzalez, de la Fuente, Hernandez, Guairo - Raba, Carcelen

Atletico Madrid

Spain

Current form

Atletico Madrid continue to impress with their dominant play, especially in the second halves, where they have scored in 14 of their 19 La Liga matches this season. This strategy has allowed them to climb to the top of the table with a run of eight consecutive wins. Under Diego Simeone, who has overseen more than 700 matches as a head coach, the team has shown an ability to sustain long winning runs.

The recent win was a record 15th in a row in all competitions, highlighting the strength and discipline of the team. Despite this, Atletico away form remains inconsistent, with a 50% win rate in La Liga games where they have been favourites. Two of their last four away games against newly promoted teams have ended in defeat, highlighting potential vulnerabilities.

Disqualifications and injuries

Jose Jimenez will be out of the game with a sprain.

Interesting trends for betting

  • Antoine Griezmann is in great form, scoring in five games in a row, and is looking to continue his scoring streak.
  • Atletico are unbeaten in their last 10 matches, showing their strength and consistency against a variety of opponents.
  • Despite their attacking prowess, Atletico sometimes struggle away from home, especially against teams lower down the table, making the upcoming match an interesting one to watch.

Probable lineup: Oblak - Nahuel Molina, Savic, Pezzella, Reinildo - Koke, Rodrigo de Paul, Saul Niguez, Thomas Lemar - Antoine Griezmann, Alvaro Morata

Trends

Bet Exact score 1:1

The visitors have finished two of their last ten matches with this score.

9.55
9.55

Bet Goals in both halves - no

In 2 of the last 4 matches of the hosts this type of bet took place

2.05
2.05

Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5

This betting option has taken place in 3 of Leganes' last 5 matches

1.99
1.99

Tip and bets

2.25both will score

The upcoming match between Leganes and Atletico Madrid is likely to see goals from both sides. Leganes, despite being bottom of the table, are showing a fighting spirit at their home stadium, the Estadio Butarque. They have scored at least one goal in six of their last seven La Liga games there, showing an ability to take advantage of their attacking chances, even against stronger opponents.

The Mattress Makers, in turn, are one of the leaders of the championship and have a powerful attacking line, headed by Antoine Griezmann. Their ability to find ways to the opponent goal is obvious, given the winning streak and high scoring rate. However, Atletico away defense does not always look flawless. In some recent away matches, they made mistakes, which led to goals conceded. Historically, it so happened that meetings between these teams often result in high-scoring results. In three of the last four matches, both teams exchanged goals, which emphasizes the tendency towards open play and an abundance of chances in front of the goal. Given the importance of scoring points for both teams, we can expect an active and open game, which creates the preconditions for an exchange of goals.

Our prediction is that both teams will score. We bet on this with a coefficient of 2.25

Do you agree with this bet?
4.2draw

Bet on the outcome

The match between Leganes and Atletico Madrid promises to be a tough one, despite the difference in the league position. Leganes performs confidently at home, where the team is able to impose a fight even on stronger opponents. Their game is based on a tight defense and quick counterattacks, which can create problems for the visitors. On the other hand, Atletico has one of the best attacking lines in the league, but their away matches do not always go smoothly. The defense of the Madrid team can be vulnerable, especially against teams that know how to use set pieces and tight play in the penalty area. Given these factors, we can assume that the match will be an equal fight and neither team will be able to secure a victory.

The betting tip is a draw and we bet on it with odds of 4.20

Bet on statistics

The match between Leganes and Atletico Madrid is expected to be full of tactical battles, which may lead to a significant number of fouls. Both teams are known for their tight style of play, especially in situations where the result is important. Leganes, being at the bottom of the table, will try to stop the opponent attacks early, which may lead to a large number of fouls. Atletico, for their part, are also not shy about using tactical fouls to contain counterattacks. Given this feature, we can expect the total number of fouls in the match to be above average.

Betting Tip - total fouls over 25 at odds of 1.85

Do you agree with this bet?

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Betting predictions stat

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531tips
252win
43refund
236losing
11.46%of profit
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1035tips
491win
58refund
486losing
2.01%of profit