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Real Madrid vs Las Palmas: Prediction and Betting Tips with Odds 4.35
Real Madrid will play the 20th round match on January 19 at their home stadium against Las Palmas. In the first round, the face-to-face match ended in a draw. How well prepared are the opponents for this game? Our experts have assessed the chances and prepared the best bets on the game. Our star expert Alexander Mostovoy shared his opinion on the upcoming duel
Command Analysis
Real Madrid
SpainCurrent form
Real Madrid return to La Liga action after a run of cup games, locked in a tight battle for the top spot with Atletico Madrid. The 5-2 defeat to Barcelona in the Spanish Super Cup final was a bitter blow, but the upcoming meeting with Las Palmas offers a great opportunity to get back on track. Los Blancos are on an impressive 35-game unbeaten run at home to Las Palmas in La Liga, a club record against a single opponent.
Under Carlo Ancelotti, the team have won 15 of their last 17 home league games, keeping a clean sheet in 12 of them, making them clear favourites going into the game.
Disqualifications and injuries
The following will not be able to take part in the upcoming match: Alaba (knee injury), Camavinga (muscle injury), Carvajal (knee injury), Militao (knee injury), Modric (excess of yellow cards), Vinicius Junior (red card).
Interesting trends for betting
- Real Madrid have scored at least two goals in their last three home games in La Liga.
- At the Santiago Bernabeu, the team has not lost in La Liga since April 2023, with the exception of matches against Barcelona.
- Las Palmas have never won away from home against Real Madrid in La Liga in their entire history of head-to-head encounters.
- Rodrigo, who has returned to goal-scoring form, has scored in his last two games and could score again given his impact on the team attack.
Probable line-up: Lunin - Vazquez, Rudiger, Valverde, Fran Garcia - Tchouameni, Kroos, Bellingham - Rodrygo, Mbappe, Brahim Diaz.
Las Palmas
SpainCurrent form
Las Palmas enter this match on the back of two consecutive defeats, putting them in a tough spot ahead of their encounter with Real Madrid. A recent 2-1 defeat to Getafe threatens to make it a first for Diego Martinez in La Liga.
Despite this, the Yellows remain safely clear of the relegation zone with a six-point buffer. The team has shown itself to be competitive away from home, including a memorable win over Barcelona. However, the upcoming match against Real Madrid is a tough task given that Martinez has lost all six of his previous meetings with Los Blancos in La Liga.
Injuries and disqualifications
Will not be able to play: Campana (muscle injury), Viti (knee injury), Marvin (muscle injury), Essugo (excess of yellow cards).
Interesting trends for betting
- Las Palmas have shown consistency in attack on the road, scoring in each of their last eight away games.
- The team prefers to increase the pressure in the second halves, scoring most of their goals after the break.
- Fabio Silva is in fine form, with two goals and one assist in his last three matches, making him a key figure in attack.
Probable lineup: Cillessen - Munoz, Marmol, Alex Suarez, Lemoine - Liodis, Kirjan, Javier - Moleiro, Fabio Silva, Mata
Trends
Bet Exact score 4:1
The last face-to-face match ended with this score
4.60Bet Las Palmas will not score in the first half
In two of the last three head-to-head matches, this bet took place
1.35Bet Real Madrid to score in the second half
In two of the last three matches the bet came in
1.30Tip and bets
Last season, Real Madrid took care of Las Palmas with confidence, demonstrating their superiority in attack and control of the game. However, this time around, Las Palmas come with the desire to take on one of the big clubs in La Liga, which promises to be an active game from both sides. Las Palmas’ defensive problems could play a decisive role, allowing Real to create and convert many chances. Given the attacking potential of both teams, we can expect plenty of dangerous moments and a high conversion rate. In addition, two of the last four head-to-head meetings between the teams have seen more than three goals scored, highlighting their penchant for high-scoring games.
Our prediction is a total of over three goals , and we are betting on it with odds of 1.99
Bet on the outcome
Real Madrid, demonstrating a stable game at the Santiago Bernabeu, has a powerful attacking potential, which allows them to count on big victories. Carlo Ancelotti team continues to perform confidently in La Liga, despite personnel losses. Las Palmas, although capable of surprising, rarely demonstrates stability against the strongest teams of the championship. Given the current form and motivation of the hosts after a series of successful matches, there is every reason to expect their victory with a difference of exactly three goals. Such a scenario seems very likely, given the dynamics of the last home games of the cream.
Prediction: Real Madrid win by three goals with odds of 4.35
Bet on corners
The match promises to be intense in terms of attacking actions, which will inevitably lead to a large number of set pieces. Real actively uses the flanks to develop attacks, which creates opportunities for corner kicks. Also, Las Palmas, when defending, can often kick the ball out of the goal line, increasing the number of corners. In previous games, the Madrid team recorded many corners, and today match will be no exception.
Betting Tip - total corners over 9.5 with odds of 1.74
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