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Leipzig vs Sporting: Prediction and bets with odds of 4.30
Leipzig has not scored a single point in six rounds of the Champions League and has already lost even a theoretical chance of a place in the playoffs. Sporting is in a much better position in the tournament, but the team has lost in the last two rounds. You can find out how the face-to-face match between the rivals on January 22 will go and which reliable bets to choose from our expert betting tip
Command Analysis
RB Leipzig
GermanyCurrent form
Leipzig has become the biggest disappointment in the current Champions League. Of course, the Bundesliga representative had a difficult schedule, but it was hardly expected that they would not be able to score a single point in six rounds. The Bulls are in 34th place in the standings and do not have even a theoretical chance of reaching the playoffs. In the last round before the winter break, Marco Rose team lost to Aston Villa (2:3) on their home field. Interestingly, they lost to Juventus with the same score at home, and also failed to cope with Liverpool (0:1).
In the Bundesliga, Leipzig had a confident start, was firmly in the top 4, but here too there was a decent slump, stability disappeared somewhere. The team current state is most clearly illustrated by the last match in the championship against one of the outsiders, Bochum. In that meeting, the Bulls managed to lose a three-goal advantage, as a result, the meeting ended in a 3:3 draw. In the second half, Bochum player Boadu scored a hat-trick in 13 minutes.
In the national championship standings, Leipzig is only in fifth place after 18 rounds, having scored 31 points. The gap to fourth-placed Stuttgart is one point. Of the positive moments on the eve of the Eurocup game, we note that the previous match against Bochum was missed by attacking leaders Openda and Šeško due to disqualification, who are highly likely to appear on the field today and will be rested.
Disqualifications and injuries
Lukeba, Henrichs, Ouedraogo and Silva will miss the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Leipzig have won in the first half in their last three matches
- Leipzig have failed to score more than one goal in six of their last eight Champions League matches.
- Leipzig have conceded first in their last four Champions League matches
- Leipzig have failed to win in shots on target in four of their last five matches
Estimated line-up: Gulácsi – Gertruyda, Klosterman, Orban – Baku, Haydara, Vermehren, Raum – Simons, Openda – Šeshko.
Sporting CP
PortugalCurrent form
Since Ruben Amorim left for Manchester United, Sporting have already undergone two coaching changes. The team is currently led by Rui Borges, and under his leadership, certain progress can be seen. They managed to defeat their archrival Benfica (1:0) in the Primeira Liga. Then there was a victory with the same score in the semi-final of the League Cup against Porto. However, in the decisive match for this trophy, the Lions lost to Benfica in a penalty shootout.
In the Portuguese championship, the green-whites lead the tournament table after 18 rounds with a three-point lead over their closest pursuer, the same Benfica. It should be noted that in the home championship, Sporting is the best team in away play – 23 points scored at other stadiums. For comparison: at home, they managed to score 21 points.
The Lions have made a strong start in the Champions League, they have not suffered a single defeat in the first four rounds, and have scored 10 points. However, in the last two matches they have recorded defeats at home with a crushing score of 1:5 from Arsenal and away 1:2 from Brugge. Sporting approaches the start of the seventh round in 17th place in the table and in case of a victory today they will secure a place in the playoffs. In the final round they will play Bologna at home.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Quaresma, Reis, Santos and Goncalves will not help their team today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Sporting have not lost in the first half in their last five matches – three wins and two draws
- Sporting have failed to score more than one goal in four of their last five Champions League away games
- Goals have been exchanged in four of the Lions' previous five away games in the Champions League
- Under 3.5 goals have played in Sporting last four away matches in the Champions League
Estimated line-up: Silva - Fresneda, Diomande, Inacio, Araujo - Katamu, Yulmann, Morita, Kenda - Trincao, Gyekeres.
Trends
Bet Sporting Win on Corners
Leipzig have lost on corners in 9 of their last 11 matches
2.04Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet has played in four of Leipzig last five matches
2.40Bet Exact score 2:3
Sporting have won three of their last four games by one goal.
22.00Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last five matches the hosts have scored goals in each half
1.51Sporting will not lose on yellow cards
The bet played in the guests' four previous matches
1.57Tip and bets
Leipzig as such lacks tournament motivation, and their current form is also far from all right. Too often in certain periods of the games the Bulls allow themselves complete failures in defense, which was clearly demonstrated in the last game in the Bundesliga with Bochum, where they conceded three goals in less than 15 minutes in the second half. It is obvious that at the moment it will be difficult for Marco Rose charges to count on a victory even at home. Sporting have shown a decent rise after another change of coach, and managed to pass a difficult test of strength in matches with Benfica and Porto. At the moment, the visitors are in much better playing shape than Leipzig, and are quite capable of taking three points.
Our prediction is a victory for Sporting with an Asian handicap (0) at odds of 1.77
Bet on total
Leipzig defense is not very reliable, even modest Bochum managed to hit the bulls' goal three times. Sporting has Gyokeres in attack, who is capable of creating and realizing more than one moment on his own. We expect that the visitors will be able to score at least twice against the opponent, who has already managed to concede 13 goals in the current Champions League.
The second bet is Sporting individual total goals over 1.5 with odds of 1.96
Bet on the exact difference in the score
Leipzig have lost all six of their Champions League matches, but in five of those cases the losses were by just one goal. Sporting are unlikely to be able to secure a convincing victory by more than one goal today, but there is no gap in class between the rivals.
Prediction: Sporting win by one goal with odds of 4.30
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