Manchester City vs Chelsea: Prediction and Betting Tips with Odds 3.10
The highlight of the Premier League round 23 on Saturday, January 25, will be the clash between Manchester City and Chelsea. The Citizens suffered a defeat in Paris against PSG the day before, although they were leading by two goals. The aristocrats did not play in European competitions during the week, and were purposefully preparing for an important game in Manchester against an opponent they had not beaten since 2021, when they beat them in the Champions League final. Can the Londoners count on points today? - the answer is in our betting tip. The site star experts Roman Pavlyuchenko, Dmitry Gradilenko and Alexander Mostovoy share their opinions on the match and their bets

Command Analysis

Manchester City

Current form
Manchester City can't find their usual stability. In general, the protracted crisis with numerous defeats was overcome, but it is clearly too early to say that we are now facing the same Guardiola City, which is ready to stamp out one victory after another in various tournaments without any problems. In the last two matches, the Citizens first smashed Ipswich with a score of 6:0 in the Premier League, and then in the Champions League they lost a two-goal advantage over PSG and lost 2:4. The Parisians had a huge territorial advantage in that match, Guardiola team was unable to push the game to the opponent half of the field, and the mistakes in defense did not disappear.
As a result, all thoughts of Manchester City players are now directed to the Champions League, where in the last round they will have to play Brugge on their home field. Only victories in that match give a chance to continue the fight and participate in the knockout matches.
The Premier League standings are not the best either. Interim fifth place, 38 points in the asset, two points behind fourth-placed Chelsea. Accordingly, a victory today will allow them to return to the top four for the first time in a long time. It is hard to count on more at the moment.
Manchester City continues to strengthen its squad. The main acquisition was the leader of the attack of Eintracht, the Egyptian Marmouch. They also signed the young promising defender Palmeiras Reis. Another defender Walker moved to Milan.
Disqualifications and injuries
Bobb, Rodri and Ake are injured, with Stones' appearance in doubt.
- Interesting trends for betting
- Manchester City have not lost in the first half in their last five matches
- At least three goals have been scored in seven of City previous nine Premier League matches
- In six of Manchester City last eight Premier League games, both teams have scored goals
Probable line-up: Ederson - Nunes, Akanji, Dias, Guardiol - Kovacic, Gundogan - Foden, De Bruyne, Savinho - Haaland.

Chelsea

Current form
Chelsea won 3-1 at home against Wolverhampton in the previous round. This broke an unpleasant streak of five matches without a win in the Premier League. It should be noted that in that match the fate of three points was decided only in the second 45 minutes, since after the first half the score was 1-1. The victory over the wolves helped to hold on to fourth place in the table. However, given the numerous failures, it will not be easy to catch up with Arsenal and Nottingham Forest in the near future, since the gap is four points. Now it is more important to hold on to fourth place, since today opponent is two points behind.
Chelsea have been successful in away games throughout the season – 21 points from 11 matches played, which is the third best result in the Premier League. It should be noted that Enzo Maresca’s men have scored 24 goals away from home, only Liverpool have scored more. The aristocrats have only two away defeats – the expected one from Liverpool and the sensational one from Ipswich.
In transfer news, we note that midfielder Renato Veiga is moving to Juventus.
Disqualifications and injuries
Badiashile and Fofana will not play in Manchester today due to injuries. Lavia, Fernandez and Colville will take to the field. Mudrik is still out due to a failed doping test.
Interesting trends for betting
- Chelsea have won in the first half in three of their last four matches
- Both teams have scored in 14 of the aristocrats' previous 17 Premier League matches
- At least three goals have been scored in eight of Chelsea last 11 Premier League games
Probable line-up: Sanchez - James, Adarabioyo, Chalobah, Cucurella - Caicedo, Dewsbury-Hall - Madueke, Palmer, Sancho - Jackson.
Trends
Bet Total yellow cards under 4.5
In the last seven head-to-head meetings in the Premier League, no more than four yellow cards have been shown at Manchester City home ground
2.20Chelsea to score in first half
In the last four meetings, the "aristocrats" scored goals in the opening 45 minutes
1.86Bet Exact score 1:1
Two of the previous five head-to-head encounters ended in a draw
7.80Chelsea Win Offsides Bet
Chelsea have been caught offside more often than their opponents in four of their last five games
1.60Bet: Manchester City to win on corners
Manchester City have had more corners than their opponents in 18 of their last 21 matches
1.55Tip and bets
The upcoming game is important for the opponents, as they are fighting for the interim fourth place in the table. Manchester City has the home field factor and a tangible advantage in personal meetings on their side - since 2021, since the memorable Champions League final, the aristocrats have not won against the citizens. At the same time, as the Champions League match against PSG showed this week, Guardiola men problems have not disappeared, especially with regard to defensive lapses at the end. Chelsea had much more time to prepare for the upcoming game, which could be a key moment today, and overall for the season, it cannot be said that there is a gap between the opponents in terms of game quality and results. We believe that, given the odds set, it is worth betting on the visitors not to lose.
Our prediction is Chelsea will not lose at odds of 1.80
Bet on total
It should be noted that in the last official face-to-face matches Chelsea managed to contain the attack of the citizens. Thus, in the five previous face-to-face meetings only once Manchester City managed to hit the gates of the aristocrats more than twice. Undoubtedly, the guests can count on points today only if they manage to reliably play in defense.
The second bet is Manchester City individual total goals under two with odds of 1.72
Combined rate
Considering that we expect Chelsea not to lose in a not very productive match, it would be logical to play a combined bet with high odds that the visitors will not lose today and that no more than three goals will be scored in the match.
Prediction - Chelsea will not lose and total under 3.5 goals with odds of 3.10