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Sinner vs Zverev. Australian Open match betting tip
Sinner and Zverev will meet in the Australian Open final on January 26. The world number one and number two players will meet in the final of the Australian major at the Rod Laver Arena. The Italian has won both previous Grand Slam finals, while the German has twice experienced the bitterness of defeat. What will the upcoming match be like? - bets on this match are in our betting tip
Command Analysis
Jannik Sinner
ItalyCurrent form
Sinner beat Ben Shelton in three sets (7-6, 6-2, 6-2) in the Australian Open semi-finals. In the match against the American, Yannick served eight aces, converted six break points and lost two games on his serve. Earlier on the way to the final, the Italian won over Alex De Minaur, Holger Rune, Marcos Giron, Tristan Schoolkate and Nicholas Jarry.
Professional qualities
Sinner stands out for his consistency, which has become his calling card. Zverev has a stronger serve, Alcaraz has a more explosive forehand and Djokovic has an iron will, but each of them has their vulnerabilities: age is taking its toll on Novak, Carlos is showing an inconsistent game and Sascha continues to struggle with a lack of confidence. Yannick does not have such weaknesses. Over the past two years, he has proven himself to be a real machine that consistently performs at the highest level all season long. The Italian feels at home on the baseline, and in a fast-paced game, he is superior to most opponents. Speed and physicality allow him to dominate on hard surfaces and dictate his terms.
Current indicators in the tour
Sinner is the world number one tennis player and the youngest player of the 21st century to reach the Australian Open final twice in a row. Last year, let recall, he beat Daniil Medvedev in the decisive match. In total, Yannick has won 25 trophies in his career. In addition to winning the Australian major, the Italian also won the US Open last year.
Interesting facts for betting
Sinner has won nine of his last 10 finals.
Alexander Zverev
GermanyCurrent form
Zverev reached his first Australian Open final after Novak Djokovic withdrew from the match after losing the first set (6-7). In 1 hour and 22 minutes of play, Alexander served eight aces, did not convert a single break point and did not lose a single game on his serve. Earlier in the tournament, the German beat Tommy Paul, Ugo Humbert, Jacob Fearnley, Pedro Martinez and Luc Pouille.
Professional qualities
Zverev has shown significant progress in 2023, returning to a level higher than he was before his injury in 2022. However, the German remains vulnerable in decisive matches. The main problems are a lack of confidence, which often causes him to get tense in key moments, and an unstable forehand. Sasha has admitted more than once that a lot in his game depends on this shot, but he is far from always able to control it at the level necessary to win the most important matches.
Current indicators in the tour
Zverev is the world second-ranked player. This will be Alexander third Grand Slam final. He played his first in 2020 at the US Open - then, let us recall, he lost to Dominic Thiem in five games and a decisive tie-break in the decisive match. The second - in 2024, he lost to Carlos Alcaraz in the Roland Garros final. In total, the German has won 25 titles in his career.
Interesting facts for betting
Throughout his career, Zverev has won 12 of 15 matches against Italians on hard courts.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 1>2
In 3 of Sinner last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.32Bet Tie-break in the match - no
This bet has played in 3 of Zverev 5 previous matches
2.58Tip and bets
Beating Sinner on hard is the most difficult task. But doable. And it is Zverev who knows how to do it, because earlier in his career he beat Jannik twice on open hard. And there were three such meetings in total. He beat the Italian at the US Open in 2023 and at the New York Major in 2021. That is, Sasha did it twice at a Grand Slam tournament. We believe that Zverev has every chance to secure his first career victory at a major in the upcoming Australian Open final.
Our prediction is Zverev victory with odds of 3.52
Bet on total
The final is unlikely to be quick. After all, the world number one and number two players are meeting, who, in addition to everything else, are at the peak of their abilities and have played high-flying matches many times in their careers. At least four games in this final, as it seems to us, will be played.
The second betting tip is total over 40 games for odds of 1.93
Bet on the first set
Three of Zverev last five matches have seen the first set go to fewer than 9.5 games. Expect his upcoming match against Sinner to start with a low first set as well.
Betting Tip - total under 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 2.11
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