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Alaves vs Celta: Prediction and Betting Odds 3.20
On January 27, Alaves will play against Celta in the 21st round of La Liga on their home field. The last face-to-face match ended with a victory for Vigo. What to expect from this confrontation on Monday? Our experts will try to select the most optimal options and the best possible bets on the upcoming confrontation. Everything is in this material. In addition, our star expert Alexander Mostovoy shared his opinion on the match
Command Analysis
Deportivo Alaves
SpainCurrent form
Alaves ended a seven-game winless streak in La Liga with a convincing 3-1 win over Real Betis last weekend. Threatened with relegation, the club are now looking to win two league games in a row for the first time since September to keep their chances of survival alive. Despite their predicament, the team has a similar points cushion at this stage of the season to last year, when they ultimately stayed in the top flight. However, Alaves have struggled at home, with no wins in their last three home games (two draws and one defeat).
If they fail to win their next match, it will be the first time since 2022 that the club has not won four consecutive home games in the top flight. Head coach Eduardo Coudet has only managed two home games and six games in all competitions so far. In half of those games (one win, three draws, two losses) , Alaves have shown character, coming back from goals down. It is worth noting that in five of the six games under his leadership, both teams have scored.
Disqualifications and injuries
In the match against Celta, Alaves will be without: Joan Jordan (injury), Sivera (hand injury), Blanco (excess of yellow cards).
Interesting trends for betting
- Seven of Alaves' last ten home games have seen more than two goals scored.
- Carlos Vicente continues to impress, with four of his last five goals coming as either the first or last of the game.
- Alaves have won just one of their last 11 La Liga matches.
- In half of the matches under Cudet leadership, Alaves came back from a goal conceded.
Probable lineup: Ovono - Ortiz, Villaribre, Pica, Jay - Guevara, Benavides, Romero, Rioja - Garcia, Vicente
Celta Vigo
SpainCurrent form
Celta Vigo head into their game against Alaves on a worrying run of two consecutive defeats in La Liga. They sit four points above their opponents but risk being drawn into a relegation battle if they fail to improve. A third straight defeat would be their worst run since the 2022/23 season. However, Celta have made progress on last season, with seven points more than they had at the same stage last season.
However, the statistics of Monday matches remain disappointing - most of Celta last ten such games in La Liga have ended in draws. Moreover, the Celts have not won in their last six away matches against teams from the Basque Country, and have conceded at least three goals in their last three visits. These factors add pressure on the visitors ahead of the important meeting.
Disqualifications and injuries
Personnel problems continue to haunt Celta. The following players will not be able to take part in the upcoming game: Lopez (ankle injury), Gonzalez (injury), Aspas (calf injury), Mingueza (disqualification, red card).
Interesting trends for betting
- Celta have failed to win their last six away matches against teams from the Basque Country, conceding 10 goals in those encounters.
- Three of Celta last five matches have seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
- Celta have scored in five of their last seven La Liga games.
Probable lineup: Villar - Sverberg, Dominguez, Carbonell - Moriba, Beltran, Rodriguez - Solis, Servi, Larsen
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last three head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.76Bet Exact score 1:1
Two of the last ten head-to-head matches ended with this score
12.55Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 2 of Alaves' last 4 matches
1.99Penalty Bet - No
In four of the last six head-to-head matches, no penalties were awarded
1.25Tip and bets
Today, both teams will take to the pitch with a clear objective – to get points in the fight for survival, which promises a tense and active game. Alaves, thanks to its attacking line and the support of the fans at home, show character, especially in key matches. Despite the instability, the glorious ones invariably create chances in front of the opponents’ goal, which is confirmed by their recent results.
On the other hand, despite the absence of their leader Iago Aspas, Celta has a high enough quality selection of attacking players to find ways to the goal even in difficult away games. The team consistently scores in most matches, using set pieces and fast flank attacks. Historically, meetings between these teams often turn out to be productive: in four of the last five matches between Alaves and Celta, both teams exchanged goals. Given the periodic lapses in defense of both teams, as well as their motivation to earn points, the likelihood of a goal exchange looks quite high.
Our prediction is both teams to score with odds of 2.12
Bet on the outcome
The match between Alaves and Celta is expected to be tough and tactically intense. Both teams are at the bottom of the table and desperately need points, which makes the likelihood of risk minimal. Alaves shows character at home, but at the same time it is not always possible to win such tense games. Celta, despite personnel problems, knows how to defend well and find moments on the counterattack. The history of personal meetings between these teams also shows that they often play against each other on equal terms. Given the defensive approach of both sides and their motivation to avoid defeat, a share of points looks very likely.
Prediction - draw with odds of 3.25
Bet on corners
Both teams will likely try to use flank attacks and set pieces to create danger near the opponent goal. However, due to caution and equal fighting in the middle of the field, corner kicks in the match may be below average. In the last matches of Alaves and Celta, the number of corners rarely exceeded nine, which confirms the general trend of low totals in this category.
Betting Tip - total corners under 9.5 with odds of 1.85
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