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Kovacevic vs. Carreno Busta. ATP Montpellier Match Betting Tip

France
Aleksandar Kovacevic
USA
Open Sud de France, Qualification
court-patrice-dominguez

Kovacevic and Carreno Busta will meet in the final of the Montpellier tournament qualification on January 27. There is nothing unexpected in Carreno Busta victory over Svrcina in the first round of qualification in two sets. However, the implementation of match points raises questions. Will the Spaniard be able to play better in the upcoming match against Kovacevic? - bets on this match are in our betting tip

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Pablo Carreno Busta Prediction and Betting Tips (27.01.2025)

Command Analysis

Aleksandar Kovacevic

USA

Current form

Kovačević defeated Robin Bertrand (7-6, 6-4) in the first round of qualifying in Montpellier. Aleksandar served ten aces, converted three break points and lost two games on his serve. The American has seven wins and one loss indoors this season.

Professional qualities

Kovačević is an American who stands out for his powerful and quality serve, playing aggressively and with good movement around the court. He uses serve and volley tactics, which helps speed up the game and make it difficult for his opponent to make a break. When Aleksandar is in form, his game is difficult to break, and he often dominates the court with his attacking strategy.

Current indicators in the tour

Kovačević is ranked 109th in the world. This season, Aleksandar has already won one trophy - he won indoors in Oeiras. For the American, this was the fifth title in his career.

Interesting facts for betting

Kovacevic has won 8 of his last 10 matches.

Pablo Carreno Busta

Spain

Current form

Carreno Busta reached the final of the Montpellier tournament qualification thanks to a victory over Dalibor Svrcina (6-4, 7-5). Pablo hit five aces against the Czech, converted four break points and lost two games on his serve. This was the third victory for the Spaniard this season after four defeats.

Professional qualities

Carreno Busta is a Spaniard who is traditionally associated with clay, but has also shown good results on hard, including two semi-finals at the US Open. Pablo, despite his consistency in play, suffers from a lack of power in his serve, which makes him vulnerable on fast surfaces. In matches with more aggressive players, the difference in the speed of his serve and attacking actions can be decisive.

Current indicators in the tour

Carreno Busta is a former world No. 10. The Spaniard is currently ranked 182nd in the world. During his career, Pablo has won 30 trophies, seven of which are ATP titles. He won his last title in 2022 at the Montreal Open.

Interesting facts for betting

In the second set, 5 of the last 6 Carreno-Busta matches have seen more than 9.5 games played.

Trends

Rate Set Result: 1>2

In 3 of Kovacevic last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario

2.32
2.32

Bet Tie-break in the match - no

This bet has played in 3 of the 5 previous Carreno-Busta matches

1.72
1.72

Tip and bets

1.81Carreno-Busta wins

Kovacevic playing style is probably better suited to indoor hard court play, where a good and quality serve comes to the fore. However, Carreno Busta should not be written off. The Spaniard is more experienced than Aleksandar and, as we believe, this is what will help him advance.

Our prediction is a victory for Carreno-Busta with odds of 1.81

Do you agree with this bet?
1.88Total over 23

Bet on total

Carreno-Busta, relying on his experience, will certainly make the American work. However, the Spaniard is inferior to Kovacevic in the power of his strikes. In addition, Aleksandar has a good first serve in his arsenal. We expect a fight in this pair.

The second betting tip is total over 23 games for odds of 1.88

Bet on the first set

Three of the last five Carreno-Busta matches have seen the first set go to fewer than 9.5 games. Expect the upcoming match against Kovacevic to start with a low first set as well.

Betting Tip - total under 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 2.06

Do you agree with this bet?

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