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Werder - Mainz: betting tip and bets with odds of 4.30
In the 20th round of the Bundesliga on January 31, Werder will play against Mainz on their home field. Bremen have won their upcoming opponent in three previous face-to-face matches, will they be able to score three points again? We recommend that you read our betting tip and choose the exact bets on the game
Command Analysis
Werder Bremen
GermanyCurrent form
After the Christmas break, Werder noticeably slowed down and did not win a single game in the last four rounds – two draws and two defeats. The break clearly knocked the team out of rhythm. Let us recall that in December they managed to produce a series of four victories – three in the Bundesliga and one in the Cup. It is characteristic that now the Bremen team is losing points both with strong opponents and with teams from the lower part of the table. We can recall the draw with Heidenheim (3:3), the defeat from Augsburg (0:2).
In the table after 19 rounds, Ole Werner team occupies ninth place, having scored 27 points. At the same time, taking into account the latest failures, the gap from the European Cup sixth place, where today opponent Mainz is located, has reached four points. From the point of view of the fight for tickets to the European Cups, the upcoming match is of great importance for Werder .
During the season, the team taught its fans that it performs much better away than at home. At home, the musicians scored only ten points, while away – 17 points. Werder played their last match away against Borussia Dortmund and drew with an opponent in decline (2:2). In that match, the Bumblebees were left with ten men in the 21st minute with the score 0:0, but managed to score twice, after which the Bremen team finally got even.
Disqualifications and injuries
Werder top scorer Jens Stag will be without a disqualification today - this is a significant loss. Agu and Topp will not be able to help the team due to injuries. Malatini appearance on the field is in question.
Interesting trends for betting
- Werder have not won in the first half in four previous matches
- Four of Bremen last five Bundesliga matches have seen at least three goals scored
- At home, Werder have not lost in five of their last six league matches (two wins and three draws)
Estimated line-up: Zetterer – Veljkovic, Friedl, Jung – Weiser, Bittencourt, Schmidt, Lienen, Kehn – Grüll, Ducksch.
Mainz 05
GermanyCurrent form
Mainz has proven itself to be a real terror for the authorities throughout the season. The Carnival players have already managed to take points from Eintracht, Bayern, and Borussia Dortmund. In the previous round, they managed to beat Stuttgart on their home field (2:0), and the victory was quite deserved, it cannot be said that the team was lucky, once again they managed to clearly realize the created moments - two of the four shots on target ended in goals.
Thanks to the victory over the Swabians, Bo Henriksen team broke an unpleasant series of two defeats in a row against Bayer (0:1) and Union (1:2). Mainz has 31 points and is in provisional sixth place in the table. Moreover, there is a chance to fight for the fourth place, since Stuttgart and Leipzig are ahead by only one point.
Mainz recently signed a contract with Montpellier French striker Arnaud Norden. The player should strengthen the attacking potential of the Carnival players.
It should be noted that Mainz has been performing well away from home this season, with 14 points. It is noticeable that the team is comfortable playing second fiddle, clearly using counterattacks. They have managed to score 19 goals away from home in nine matches played.
Disqualifications and injuries
Vidovic and Burkardt will not play today due to injuries. The appearance of Jenz, da Costa and Viper is in doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Mainz have not lost in the first half in four of their last five matches
- Mainz have not drawn in their last 10 Bundesliga matches (seven wins and three losses)
- Mainz have conceded in 9 of their last 12 away league games
- Mainz have had fewer shots on target than their opponents in four of their last five matches
Estimated line-up: Centner - Cor, Bell, Hansche-Olson - Kasi, Amiri, Sano, Mwene - Lee, Nebel - Zib.
Trends
Bet Total yellow cards Werder under 2.5
In the last eight home matches in the Bundesliga, Werder players have not received more than two warnings
1.60Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has won in four of the last five head-to-head matches
1.50Bet Exact score 1:2
Mainz have scored two goals in four of their last five wins
10.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of Werder last five matches, goals were scored in each half
1.72Bet: Werder to win on corners
Mainz have failed to win on corners in four of their previous five matches
2.00Bet Mainz to score in the first half
Mainz have scored in the opening 45 minutes in four of their last five matches
2.08Tip and bets
The upcoming match is of great importance for the opponents in terms of the fight for a place in the European Cups next season. Werder has an advantage in personal meetings, having won three head-to-head matches in a row. However, after the Christmas break, the musicians noticeably slowed down, and did not win a single match. Plus, the hosts will not have their top scorer Jens Stag today. Mainz won an important victory over Stuttgart in the last round, is distinguished by its clear implementation of moments, and plays successfully in away matches. We think that the guests will be able to interrupt the unsuccessful series in head-to-head matches today.
Our prediction is a victory for Mainz with an Asian handicap (0) at odds of 2.15
Bet on total
Werder played four matches after the break and in all of them conceded at least two goals. Bremen defense often began to fail, which the visitors can fully take advantage of today.
The second bet is the individual total of goals for Mainz over 1.5 with odds of 2.33
Bet on the exact score
It cannot be said that there is a noticeable difference in class between the opponents; we have two strong teams fighting for a place in the European Cups. We do not think that Mainz will be able to win by more than one goal.
Prediction: Mainz win by one goal with odds of 4.30
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