Calgary — Toronto: NHL match forecast
The next Canadian derby of the season will be held in Canada on February 5. Since 2022, Calgary has not been able to beat Toronto, which is now one of the leaders of the Eastern table. The Ogonyoki continue to fight for entry into the playoffs and now they occupy the eighth place in the West. The Flames are very strong at home and may well snag points in a duel against the favorite. Which team will win? Read about this in our forecast for the confrontation

Command Analysis

Calgary Flames

Current form
Calgary has settled into eighth place in the West and continues to fight to retain its place in the playoff zone. At the moment, the hosts have 59 points in the piggy bank after 52 matches, while Vancouver, which is behind, is only two points behind the Lights. The team under the mentorship of Ryan Husky cannot boast of a stable, strong away game, but the Canadians often win at home. The Flames lost to Washington (1-3) and Detroit (1-3) in the last series of games at home, but beat Anaheim (4-1). Before returning home, Mikael Backlund's squad took away two points from Seattle (3:2). She scored three goals in the first period and held the desired result until the final siren.
The Lights have been playing erratically offensively for this stretch of the season and have scored 11 goals in the last five matches. In eight out of ten games, Calgary scored more than twice and never left the court without scoring in January. Jonathan Huberdeau consolidated his leadership in the list of the club's top scorers. The Canadian scored 37 points (20+17) and beat Nazem Kadri (18+18) by one point.
Daniel Vladar and Dustin Wolf continue to compete for the role of the first number of the hosts. In recent matches, it was the American who appeared on the ice and he managed to win four of the previous five matches with the team. The Czech goalkeeper got his chance in Seattle and was able to take it. This season, he has blocked 88.83% of shots and made two shutouts in 22 starts.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kevin Ball, Connor Zari, Justin Kirkland and Anthony Manta will not be able to help their team in the upcoming match.
Interesting betting trends
- Calgary gets 10.08 minutes of penalty time
The "Lights" are removed at least five times per match on average.
- The Flames have 52:59 on goals scored and conceded in the third period.
Calgary concedes more in the third period than in the rest of the segments.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Current form
The Canadian club holds the fourth place in the East and is in second place in the Atlantic Division table. The team from the province of Ontario has scored a great move since the beginning of winter and now has 64 points in its piggy bank after 52 starts. Craig Berube's team alternates between a series of wins and losses, and most recently they lost to Columbus (1:5), Ottawa (1:2) and Minnesota (1:3), although they had previously won three victories in a row. In early February, the Leafs returned to Canada and defeated Edmonton 4-3 in Alberta. Already in the first period, John Tavares' squad scored three times against the Oilers and held the advantage until the end of regular time.
Toronto, despite strong results, is not always good on offense. Yes, the Canadians scored 12 goals in their last five games, but most of them came against the Lightning. Since January 23, the hosts have scored more than twice in a match only once. Mitchell Marner remains the main link in the Leafs' attack. The Canadian forward ranks fourth in the league's scoring list with 70 points (16+54) in the goal+pass system.
After Anthony Stolarz's injury, Joseph Wall took on the role of the team's main goalkeeper. He occasionally fails at the last line of defense, but on the whole he demonstrates a fairly stable and reliable game. In 28 meetings, he managed only once not to miss a single time. This season, the American coped with 90.92% of attacks on his possessions.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kalle Jarnkrock and Yani Hakanpaa are on the injured list. Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Connor Devore have not yet confirmed their participation.
Interesting betting trends
- Toronto gets 7.52 minutes of penalty time per match
Usually, the "leaves" are removed at least four times per game.
- Toronto has a 61:45 ratio in scoring and missed goals in the second period.
The Leafs play the second twenty minutes at a high level and often score goals in it.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total less than 1.5 pucks
In three of the five matches involving Calgary, the first period was not productive.
1.92Bet 3rd period: Calgary will score
The Lights have scored in the third period in the last four out of six games.
1.55Tip and bets
Calgary plays very hard on their own court and scores most of the points on their home turf. Ryan Husky's team had a good time in the second half of January and often won in regular time. The Flames are in eighth place in the conference table and are in dire need of points. Toronto, on the other hand, performs serially and, after a string of victories, lost three matches in a row, but the trip to Canada began with a victory in Edmonton. The Flames have a hard time playing against the Leafs, but they have every chance of a positive result in Alberta. We think that the hosts will be no worse than the Maple Leafs, and we suggest that you bet on a zero head start first for a pleasant coefficient.
Our prediction is that Calgary willwinwith an Asian handicap (0) in 2.30
Betting on an individual total
Calgary is a defensive team that tries not to concede in large numbers and makes great use of its chances. On average, Mikael Grandlund's team concedes only 2.59 goals per match. Toronto, on the other hand, is not always good on offense, and in three of the four games it failed to score more than two goals per meeting.
Prediction - Toronto's individual total is less than three goals in 1.85
Bet on the total
Fights between teams are often productive, but this season Calgary is very reliable on its own court. Meetings in the province of Alberta often turn out to be grassroots, because the "lights" draw rivals into their game. Toronto has increased its defense and is unlikely to open from the first minutes of the match. We think that the game will not be bright. Let's bet on a total of fewer goals.
Forecast - total less than six goals in 1.65