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Newcastle vs Arsenal: forecast and bets with odds of 5.40
In the first game of the League Cup semi-final away, Newcastle managed to beat Arsenal 2-0 and can feel quite comfortable in the second leg on their own field. At the same time, the "magpies" clearly had a decline, they lost two of the three previous matches on their home arena. The Gunners, on the contrary, have scored a solid run, going on a winning streak of four matches in a row, taking into account all tournaments. Will the Londoners be able to win back the two-goal handicap on February 5? – the answer is in our forecast. Which bids should I choose for the return meeting?
Command Analysis
Newcastle United
EnglandCurrent form
Newcastle couldn't keep up with the pace they had picked up since mid-December. As a reminder, the Magpies have produced an impressive nine-game winning streak. In the Premier League home game on January 18, a crushing 1-4 defeat against Bournemouth was recorded. Next in the class, we managed to deal with Southampton 3-1 away. However, this was followed by a 1-2 home defeat against Fulham, although we managed to open the scoring. Obviously, Eddie Howe's team is not in the best shape for the second semi-final of the League Cup.
In the Premier League standings, taking into account recent failures, Newcastle occupies only sixth place, although it had previously been in the top 4. The team is lagging behind Manchester City, which is fifth, only in additional indicators, Chelsea is ahead from fourth place with a two-point margin. It is impossible not to pay attention to the fact that in terms of points scored on their field, the Magpies occupy only the ninth place in the Premier League, having managed to lose four of the 12 matches played at St. James' Park since the beginning of the season.
In the first semi-final game of the League Cup in London, Newcastle won 2-0. Attacking leaders Isak and Gordon scored goals in that meeting. At the same time, the opponent had more than one moment to score goals, scored 23 shots on goal, but the implementation was not up to par.
Disqualifications and injuries
Wilson, Lascelles and Barnes will not play due to injuries. Joelinton's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In eight consecutive League Cup matches, Newcastle has not lost in regular time.
- In 11 of the Magpies' 14 previous League Cup matches, no more than two goals were scored.
- The exchange of goals scored has been recorded in four of the last five matches.
Approximate line-up: Pope – Livramento, Cher, Bern, Hall – Guimaraes, Tonali, Willock – Murphy, Isak, Gordon.
Arsenal
EnglandCurrent form
Arsenal, unlike their upcoming opponent, had a slight decline in their game and results at the beginning of January. Then, in addition to the defeat by Newcastle, there was also a draw in the Premier League with Brighton (1-1) and the departure from the FA Cup from Manchester United in a penalty shootout in the 1/32 finals. In the future, the Gunners have managed to stabilize their game and are currently on a four-game winning streak, taking into account all tournaments. In general, after the cup failure with Manchester United, Mikel Arteta's team played six matches in which they lost points only with Aston Villa (1:1).
In the Premier League, the Pushkari hold the second place. The gap from Liverpool is 10 points, and the gap from the third-placed Nottingham Forest is three points. Let's note that Arsenal has suffered only two defeats in away matches in the Premier League since the beginning of the season. In addition, the Londoners confidently secured a ticket to the 1/8 finals of the Champions League, beating Dinamo Zagreb (3:0) and Girona (2:1) in the last two rounds.
There is no doubt that Mikel Arteta's team will make an attempt to win back the League Cup and compete for the finals today. The day before, they had no problems with the implementation in the Premier League game against Manchester City (5:1). In the wake of such success, the Magpies can easily cope with the defense, especially since there were enough chances to score goals in the first game. Let's pay attention to the fact that Arsenal has not lost in the Premier League since November last year, and then they lost to Newcastle (0:1). Obviously, there won't be any problems with motivation today.
Disqualifications and injuries
The injured list includes White, Tomiyasu, Saka and Jesus.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of Arsenal's last five matches, there has been an exchange of goals scored.
- Arsenal have scored at least two goals in 12 of their previous 14 League Cup matches.
- In the last 10 away matches in the League Cup, the Gunners have lost only once in regular time.
Approximate line–up: Raya - Timber, Saliba, Magalhaes, Lewis-Skelly –Edegor, Partie, Rice–Trossard, Havertz, Martinelli.
Trends
The bet is Arsenal's Victory on yellow cards
In three of the previous four matches, Newcastle players received fewer yellow cards than their opponents.
2.15Bet Arsenal will score in the second half
In four of the previous five matches, Arsenal scored goals in the second 45 minutes.
1.57The bet is an accurate score of 1:3
Arsenal have won six of their last eight matches away.
16.00Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In Newcastle's last five matches, goals have been scored in each of the halves.
1.651st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
In four of the last five face-to-face meetings, no more than one goal was scored in the first half.
1.48Tip and bets
Reaching the League Cup final is at stake, and Arsenal are unlikely to make any attempts to win back. Moreover, in the first game as such, the magpies did not have an advantage, everything was decided by the realization of the created moments. Now Newcastle has a certain decline, they conceded seven goals in the previous three matches, which the guests can easily take advantage of. The Londoners have a great match under their belt in terms of realizing the created chances against Manchester City, which will obviously add to the players' self-confidence. We suggest that you believe in Mikel Arteta's team and their attacking potential, first of all. Let's bet on Arsenal's passage to the final. Recall that if the Gunners win with a two-goal advantage, there will be a penalty shootout immediately.
Our forecast is that Arsenal will pass by a factor of 5.40
Bet on the total
The guests have nothing much to lose, they need to actively move forward in order to win back the two-goal difference. Newcastle's defense has not been stable in recent matches. There is a high probability that more than two goals will be scored in the upcoming match.
The second bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.82
Betting on corners
Let's pay attention to the fact that in six of the last seven face-to-face matches on the Newcastle field, the opponents took at least ten corners between them. Today we are waiting for an open game and a decent number of corners.
The forecast is a total of more than 9.5 corners with a coefficient of 1.57
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