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Liverpool vs Tottenham: forecast and bets with odds of 3.50
In the first game of the League Cup semi-final on the road, Liverpool lost to Tottenham with a minimum score of 0:1. The second leg will take place on February 6 at Anfield, where Spurs have not won since back in 2011. Will the hosts be able to secure a place in the finals today? – the answer is in our forecast. Which bets should I choose for the game? Roman Pavlyuchenko, the star expert of the website, also shares his opinion on the match
Command Analysis
Liverpool
EnglandCurrent form
Under the leadership of Arne Slot, Liverpool is having a more than successful season, and claims trophies in all tournaments where it participates. In the Premier League, after 24 rounds, the Merseysiders lead the standings by six points ahead of Arsenal and still have a game left. In the last round, we managed to defeat Bournemouth, who are in excellent shape, with a score of 2:0 on the road.
In the Champions League, Liverpool confidently passed the main stage, scored 21 points in eight rounds and took first place. Arne Slot allowed himself to carry out a large-scale rotation of the squad in the final round. As a result, a 2:3 defeat against PSV was recorded on the road, but this setback did not affect the standings.
In the League Cup, the easiest match for the Reds was the 1/16 final match against West Ham, where they managed to win with a crushing score of 5:1. Then there were quite difficult matches with Brighton and Southampton. Liverpool beat these opponents 3-2 away with the same score. In the first semi-final game against Tottenham, Slot's team had a significant territorial advantage, the players scored seven shots on goal, but they failed to score, while Spurs realized one of their chances in the end. Nevertheless, a 0-1 defeat leaves a good chance of continuing the fight for the trophy.
Disqualifications and injuries
Gomez is injured and will not play today. Alexander-Arnold's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In 9 of Liverpool's last 11 League Cup matches, both teams scored goals.
- In 8 of the Merseysiders' 11 previous League Cup matches, at least three goals were scored in regular time.
- Liverpool have lost by offsides in 10 previous matches.
Approximate composition: Alisson – Bradley, Konate, van Dijk, Robertson – Gravenberch, McAllister – Salah, Soboslai, Gakpo – Diaz.
Tottenham Hotspur
EnglandCurrent form
Tottenham is having a bad season in the Premier League and is clearly betting on possible success in the cup tournaments and the Europa League. In the championship, after 24 rounds, the Londoners are only on the 14th line, having scored 27 points. They are unlikely to be eliminated, but it is highly likely that they can only compete for the top 10. In the last round, the Spurs broke a protracted series without a win, beat Brentford 2-0 on the road. Note that they managed to win back two matches in a row. Before that, there was a 3-0 dry win over Swedish Elfsborg. A lot of credit goes to goalkeeper Kinski, who joined the club during the winter transfer window. The victory over Elfsborg allowed them to finish in the top 8 in the Europa League and win a ticket to the 1/8 finals.
In the League Cup, Ange Postecoglou's team started the 1/16 finals with a very difficult 2-1 victory over Coventry, when they scored two goals only at the very end. Then the Spurs pleased their fans and knocked out two Manchester representatives from the tournament – they defeated City 2-1 and beat the Red Devils in a bright battle (4:3). In the first game of the semi-final, Tottenham managed to get a difficult 1-0 victory, but today they have to maintain their advantage at Anfield. Taking into account all the tournaments, the Londoners have not won here since 2011, while in 11 previous matches they did not concede by a margin of more than two goals.
Disqualifications and injuries
Tottenham have huge losses in the squad, and the situation is not getting any better. We even have to use 18-year-old Archie Gray in the defense center. Johnson, Solanke, Udoji, Werner, Romero, Vicario, Werner, Maddison, Dragushin will definitely not play today due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- Tottenham have not conceded in the last two matches.
- In 9 of Spurs' previous 10 League Cup matches, no more than three goals were scored.
- In the last seven away matches in the League Cup, the Londoners have scored only two wins in regular time.
- No more than three yellow cards have been shown in three of Tottenham's last four matches
Approximate composition: Kinski – Porro, Gray, Davis, Spence–Bissouma, Bentancourt–Moore, Kuluszewski, Son–Richarlison.
Trends
Bet Tottenham Victory on corners with handicap (+5.5)
The bet was successful in seven of the last nine face-to-face matches on the Liverpool pitch
1.81Bet Tottenham will score in the second half
In four of the previous five matches, Tottenham scored goals in the second 45 minutes.
2.20The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
With this score, Liverpool have won three of the last six face-to-face confrontations on their own field.
9.70Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of the last five face-to-face matches, goals have been scored in each of the halves.
1.45Bet 1st half: total more than 1.5 goals
In five of the last six face-to-face meetings, more than one goal was scored in the first half.
1.79Tip and bets
In the upcoming second leg of the League Cup semi-final, everything speaks in Liverpool's favor: the factor of a home field where they regularly beat Spurs, ample opportunities for squad rotation, and successful results for the season. Tottenham is experiencing great difficulties with the squad, especially in the defensive line, but despite everything, they played zero in the last two matches, even if the opponents were not the most difficult. Plus, we also managed to keep our goal intact in the first game of the semifinals. Postecoglou's team has shown character more than once in cup matches this season, there is no doubt that there will be no problems with motivation today. We expect that the guests will be able to impose a fight and will have a chance to reach the finals.
Our forecast is a victory for Tottenham with an Asian handicap (+2) for a coefficient of 1.94
Bet on the total
It is impossible not to pay attention to the fact that Tottenham has managed to more or less stabilize the game in defense, Kinski is good at goal, who has helped his team out more than once. Obviously, Spurs will not risk playing open football at Anfield, while Liverpool is unlikely to take an unjustified risk, since missing a year will significantly complicate the task of reaching the finals. We don't expect more than three goals scored today.
The second bet is a total of less than four goals with a coefficient of 1.82
Betting on the results
Tottenham have a one-goal margin. Even if there is a defeat today with a one-goal difference, there will be chances of reaching the finals in a penalty shootout. We think that the odds that the Londoners will make it to the finals are somewhat too high. It is worth trying to bet that the final victory in the match, taking into account the possible penalty shootout, will go to the guests.
Forecast – Tottenham will reach the final with a coefficient of 3.50
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