Liontips
Rayo Vallecano — Valladolid: forecast and bets with odds of 4.20
Rayo Vallecano will play the next round on February 7 in their native Vallecas. Do the Giants have any chances against the unyielding Valladolid? What can we expect from the first match in the new round of La Liga? Our experts evaluated the teams' chances and prepared the most optimal bets for the game.
Command Analysis
Rayo Vallecano
SpainCurrent form
Rayo Vallecano continues to show strong results and is gaining momentum in La Liga. The 1-0 victory over Leganes in the last round was an important step towards consolidating the team in the middle of the table, and goalkeeper Augusto Battaglia became the hero of the match, deflecting a penalty in the end. This success extended their unbeaten streak in La Liga to eight matches (four wins, four draws), which allowed Rayo Vallecano to confidently stay away from the relegation zone. The home form is also encouraging – the team won the last two meetings in Vallecas, beating Celta (2:1) and Girona (2:1).
Both times, Rayo had to fight until the last minutes, but these victories emphasize the fighting character of the team. The team now has a goal to win three consecutive La Liga home matches for the first time since May 2023. Despite the positive dynamics, Rayo has problems in defense – the team conceded in the last three matches of the Spanish Cup, and also allowed the opponents to create many chances in the last rounds of La Liga. However, the attacking style of play allows the Red Stripes to regularly score goals, which makes them a dangerous opponent for any team.
Disqualifications and injuries
Unable to play: De Thomas (illness), Montiel (ankle injury), Ntek (yellow card violation)
Interesting betting trends
- Rayo Vallecano have scored in each of their last five official matches, which highlights their stability in attack.
- Rayo have scored at least one goal in their last four La Liga home games.
- In two of the last three home matches, Rayo opened the scoring first, showing the ability to start meetings actively.
Approximate composition: Battaglia – Hernandez, Lejeune, Mumin, Cevaria – Cisse, Unai Lopez, Valiente – Embarba, Palazon, Rodriguez.
Real Valladolid
SpainCurrent form
Valladolid continues to experience serious problems this season, and the last defeat against Villarreal (1:5) only worsened their situation. Diego Cocchi's team remains one of the worst in La Liga in terms of defense, having already conceded 47 goals — this is the anti-record of the tournament. The problems in defense are especially noticeable in away matches: in 11 away meetings of the current season, Valladolid suffered 10 defeats, conceding 30 goals in them. The only victory on someone else's field came back in October, when they beat Alaves (3:2).
Obviously, away matches are especially difficult for Valladolid, and the upcoming meeting with Rayo Vallecano looks like another serious test. In the first round, the team had already lost to Madrid (1:2), although they led during the meeting. This defeat was the third in a row in face-to-face meetings, which indicates the complexity of this rivalry for Valladolid. Moreover, the team has lost all its away matches against clubs from the top half of the table since the beginning of the season, which does not add to optimism before the trip to Vallecas.
Disqualifications and injuries
Will not be able to play: Comert (hamstring injury), Ozkakar (injury) and Moro (collarbone fracture)
Interesting betting trends
- In four of Valladolid's last six La Liga matches, no more than two goals have been scored.
- The team lost 10 of 11 away league matches, scoring only 5 goals in them.
- In the last three face-to-face meetings against Rayo Vallecano, Valladolid was consistently inferior.
- Valladolid scored first in four of the last six matches, but in most cases did not hold the advantage.
Approximate composition: Ferreira – Rosa, Torres, Boyomo, Ruiz – Perez, Chuki, Koke – Salla, Ndiaye, Asensio.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last three face-to-face matches, goals were scored in both halves.
1.93The bet is an exact score of 1:1
The hosts have completed two of the last ten face-to-face matches with this score
8.55Cornerrate: total more than 9.5
This betting option was used in 2 of the last 4 guest matches.
1.74The bid is the number 1 in the invoice
This bet has been played in the last four matches of the guests.
1.69Tip and bets
Today's La Liga match between Rayo Vallecano and Valladolid promises to be a tense showdown in which both teams will strive for a result. Rayo Vallecano are approaching this meeting in good shape, especially on their own field, where they regularly create dangerous moments. In the last five home matches, Inigo Perez's team has scored on four occasions, which confirms their attacking activity. In addition, Rayo traditionally plays aggressively in Vallecas, and the support of the fans can be an additional incentive.
Valladolid, despite its defensive problems, is not afraid to play offensively. Even in recent defeats, the team has found opportunities to excel, which highlights their ability to benefit from the mistakes of their opponents. Their main problem remains a weak defense that regularly allows goals, but Valladolid has players ahead who can cause trouble for any defense. The history of face-to-face meetings also speaks in favor of productive football: in the last three matches between these teams, both sides scored goals. Given Rayo's attacking style on their own field and the vulnerable defense of the visitors, we can expect an exchange of goals in this match.
Our forecast is that both teams will score. We bet on this with a coefficient of 2.35
Betting on the outcome
The match promises to be a stubborn confrontation between two teams that are fighting for important points. "Rayo Vallecano" has been demonstrating a stable game on its field this season, but it cannot always bring matches to a winning result. They regularly face difficulties breaking through the dense defenses of their opponents, which is confirmed by their tendency to draw in matches against teams from the bottom of the table. Valladolid is approaching this meeting with serious problems, especially in away matches, where the team demonstrates a weak defensive game.
However, in recent rounds, the guests have begun to show signs of improvement, including in terms of attack. Given that Rayo prefers to control the ball, and Valladolid is able to use counterattacks, the match can turn out to be quite closed, and any mistake can affect the outcome. Historically, meetings between these teams have often ended with a minimal score difference, and in two of the last three matches between them, a draw was recorded. An equal fight is expected, where neither side is willing to take risks, making a draw quite likely.
The forecast is a draw in the match for a coefficient of 4.20
Betting on statistics
Given the style of play of both teams, we can expect a large number of corner kicks. Rayo Vallecano traditionally uses flank attacks as the main tool for opening up the opponents' defense, which leads to frequent shots and blocked shots. Valladolid, playing as the second number, often relies on standards, and also tries to create pressure after taking corners. In the last face-to-face meetings between these teams, the average number of corner kicks exceeded nine, which makes betting on the total promising.
The forecast is that the total number of corners is more than 9.5 with a coefficient of 1.88
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