Real Sociedad vs Osasuna: Spanish Cup match forecast
In the 1/4 final of the Spanish Cup on February 6, Real Sociedad will play against Osasuna. Do the guests have any chances in a duel against the traditional cup favorite? What are the best bets and forecasts for the game? Our experts have carefully studied the latest trends and tried to choose the best betting options

Command Analysis

Real Sociedad

Current form
Real Sociedad and Osasuna will meet again on the pitch just four days after their recent La Liga clash, which ended in a 1-2 defeat to the Basques in Pamplona. This defeat was the fourth for the team of Imanol Alguacil in the last five matches in all tournaments, which underlines their difficult form. However, the Spanish Cup may be a chance for Sociedad to remedy the situation, as they confidently beat Celta at the last stage (2:1).
Despite the unsuccessful streak, the Basques have been historically successful in this tournament, and their recent Cup victories over Osasuna (in the 2019/20 and 2022/23 seasons) give fans hope of reaching the semifinals. However, one cannot ignore the fact that Real Sociedad has won only one of the last five face-to-face matches with Osasuna, which adds intrigue to the upcoming match. Nevertheless, the hosts traditionally play more confidently at Real Arena and will strive to rehabilitate themselves for recent failures.
Disqualifications and injuries
In the upcoming match, Real Sociedad will not be able to count on Odriosolla (hip injury) and Traore (knee injury).
Interesting betting trends
- In the last five home matches, Real Sociedad has kept the goal "dry" three times.
- The Basques scored first in four of the last six meetings on their own field.
- In the last four cup matches, Real Sociedad has consistently won, twice leaving the goal intact.
- Kubo remains one of the key offensive players, having scored in two of the last three home games.
Approximate line–up: Remiro – Traore, Le Norman, Subimendi, Tierney - Marin, Merino, Kubo, Mendes – Oyarzabal, Sadiku.

Osasuna

Current form
Osasuna continues its confident path in the Spanish Cup, hoping to compete for the finals again, as it was in the 2022/23 season. Then the Reds reached the decisive stage, but lost to Real Madrid (1:2). Vicente Moreno's team is currently showing stable results: only four defeats in the last 21 matches in all competitions confirm that Osasuna is able to achieve the desired results. The way to the quarterfinals turned out to be difficult, but the team coped with all the challenges, and each time they played on the road.
Interestingly, in the last three rounds, the team has consistently won by a one-goal margin, while the attack has scored at least twice. This pragmatic style can play an important role in the upcoming game against Real Sociedad, especially given the confident defensive play. Osasuna intends to continue its cup campaign and will try to use the home stadium factor, where the team traditionally looks stronger this season.
Disqualifications and injuries
Zaragoza will not be able to play against Real Sociedad (foot injury).
Interesting betting trends
- Ante Budimir remains Osasuna's main weapon in attack, having scored twice in the last three La Liga matches.
- The team is off to a solid start in their home matches, having won four of the five games in which they were the first to open the scoring.
- Osasuna's defense is showing stability – in three of the last four home games, the team has conceded no more than one goal.
- In the last six face-to-face meetings of these teams at El Sadar, not a single draw was recorded.
Approximate composition: Herrera – Areso, Catena, D. Garcia, Cruz – Torro, Moncayola, Moy Gomez, Barja – Budimir, Avila
Trends
The bet is an exact score of 1:1
In four of the last six face-to-face matches, such a score was recorded.
6.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In 3 of Real Sociedad's last 5 matches, goals have been scored in both halves.
1.82Cornerbet: total more than 9.5
In 3 of the last 5 matches of the hosts, such a bet was held.
1.90The bid is the number 1 in the invoice
This bet has been played in three of the last six matches
1.65Tip and bets
A hard fight is expected in the upcoming quarter-final match of the Spanish Cup, and both teams are quite capable of distinguishing themselves. Real Sociedad demonstrates a confident attacking game on their own field: in the last eight home matches in all competitions, the Basques scored on seven occasions, and at least twice in three of them. Their attacking potential is also confirmed by the stability of offensive leaders such as Takefusa Kubo and Mikel Oyarzabal, who continue to create chances and regularly find their way to the opponents' goal.
Osasuna, in turn, also has a powerful attacking potential.Vicente Moreno's team consistently scored at least two goals in each round of the Spanish Cup, despite the fact that they had played all previous matches on the road. In addition, Osasuna are distinguished by their fighting character and ability to recoup, which makes them a dangerous opponent even when playing against the strong defense of Real Sociedad. Historically, face-to-face meetings between these teams rarely go dry. Both teams have scored in five of the last six matches in all competitions, and their last La Liga match, held just a few days before this meeting, ended 2-1 in favor of Osasuna. Given the attacking potential of both teams and their stats in recent games, we can expect them to exchange goals.
The forecast is that both teams will score. We bet on this outcome with a coefficient of 2.00
Betting on the outcome
The match promises to be extremely tense and even, which makes a draw in regular time very likely. Real Sociedad has been experiencing some difficulties in recent matches, having won only one of the previous five matches in all competitions. Imanol Alguacil's team traditionally relies on reliable defense, but the Basques do not always show stability in attack, especially in matches against organized opponents. Osasuna, on the other hand, feels confident in the Cup, having reached the quarterfinals, despite the fact that they spent all previous rounds away.
Vicente Moreno's men demonstrate an excellent ability to fight in tight matches, as evidenced by their four-game winning streak in the last six games. It is important to note that Osasuna has not lost in regular time in the Spanish Cup since last season's final against Real Madrid. Historically, face-to-face meetings between these teams in the Cup are persistent: three of the last five matches ended with a difference of one goal or a draw. Given the combative nature of both teams and their caution in the decisive stages of the tournament, the probability of a draw in the main time looks very high.
The forecast is a draw in regular time. We bet on it with a coefficient of 3.30
Betting on statistics
The match is expected to be tense, with a lot of fighting in the center of the field, which can lead to a high number of fouls. Both clubs are known for their tough style of play, especially in important matches. Osasuna traditionally plays power football, which is confirmed by the fact that in their last five matches in the Spanish Cup, the teams averaged more than 25 fouls per game. Real Sociedad also does not avoid a close fight, especially in matches against teams that play aggressively. In their previous match against Osasuna in La Liga, 29 fouls were recorded, which underlines the nature of the confrontation. Given the high importance of the match and the possible tension, a large number of violations can be expected.
Forecast — total fouls over 26.5 with a coefficient of 1.95