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Alcaraz De Minaur. Forecast for the ATP Rotterdam match
Alcaraz and De Minaur will meet in the final of the tournament in Rotterdam on February 9. The first and third seeded teams will face off in the deciding match for the title. For De Minaur, this will be the second final in a row on the local courts. Last year, the Australian lost to Yannick Sinner. How will the match against Alcaraz turn out for him? - the bets for this match are in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Carlos Alcaraz
SpainCurrent form
Alcaraz beat Hubert Gurkach 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 in the semifinals of the Rotterdam competition. In the confrontation with the Pole, Carlos made five aces, made three break points and lost one game on his serve. Earlier, the Spaniard passed Pedro Martinez, Andrea Vavassori and Botik Van de Sandschulp in the tournament bracket.
Professional qualities
No one on the tour shows as much variety in the game as Alcaraz. Due to his outstanding physical abilities, he is able to withstand long exchanges of blows, and then instantly go on the attack. His excellent technique allows him to execute punches of any complexity, whether it's a spectacular banana shot or a filigree candle in an ideal trajectory.
Current indicators in the tour
Last season was productive for Alcaraz in terms of trophies. On the open hard court, he won in Indian Wells and Beijing, and also scored victories at two Grand Slam tournaments - at Rolland Garros and Wimbledon. In total, Carlos has won 25 trophies in his career, 17 of which are in the ATP category. The Spaniard is currently in third place in the world ranking.
Interesting facts for betting
Alcaraz has won 8 of 9 finals on hard courts in his career.
Alex de Minaur
AustraliaCurrent form
De Minaur reached the finals of the Rotterdam tournament thanks to a landslide victory over Mattia Bellucci, to whom he gave only three games per game (6-1, 6-2). Alex scored one ace in the duel with the Italian, made four break points and did not lose a single game on his serve. Earlier, on the way to the final, the Australian passed Daniel Altmaier, Jakub Menshik and David Goffin.
Professional qualities
De Minaur's main weapon is his speed. He immediately returns to the center of the court after hitting, which makes him extremely stable in defense. The Aussie prefers a medium pace, in which he controls the draws best. However, his style is quite passive: he avoids unnecessary risks, rarely plays on lines and corners. In the final phase of the attack, he often uses flat punches from both forehand and backhand.
Current indicators in the tour
Last season, De Minaur added to his trophy collection by winning tournaments in Acapulco and 'S-Hertogenbosch. In addition, he won the Ultimate Tennis Showdown exhibition competition. In total, Alex has 13 trophies in his career, nine of which are in the ATP category. The Australian is currently in eighth place in the world ranking.
Interesting facts for betting
De Minaur has lost without a fight in the last eight matches against representatives of the top 10 of the world ranking in the final.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
In 3 of Alcaraz's last 5 matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.26There is no Tie-breakbetin the match
This bet played in 3 of De Minaur's 5 previous matches.
1.49Tip and bets
The key factor in the upcoming match will be that Alcaraz is now in excellent shape and is not inferior to De Minaur in either speed or agility, while surpassing the Australian in strength and drive. We consider the Spaniard to be the main contender for the title in this pair.
Our prediction is that Alcaraz will win with a handicap of (-4) games for a coefficient of 2.01
Bet on the total
The outcome of the upcoming match will largely depend on how effectively Alcaraz can use his advantage in physical strength over De Minaur. Due to his powerful attacking actions, Carlos should feel comfortable in a match against an Australian whose punches are not particularly strong. This will create a lot of opportunities for the Spaniard to attack and put pressure on his opponent. We expect that this match will not last long.
The second forecast is a total of less than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.91
Bet on the first set
In three of De Minaur's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming match against Alcaraz will also start with the "grassroots" first game.
The forecast is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.83
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