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Monaco — Benfica: forecast and bets with odds of 3.95
Monaco will host Benfica on February 12 in the first match of the 1/16 Champions League finals. Will the Red-Whites be able to justify their status as favorites and secure victory, or will the Eagles play another strong match and remain undefeated? In the forecast, we analyzed in detail the form in which the teams approach the face-to-face meeting and selected the most reliable bids. What choice should I make?
Command Analysis
Monaco
FranceCurrent form
Monaco was considered a clear contender for a place in the playoffs before the start of the Champions League, the selection of players allowed them to fight for a place in the top 24, but it was difficult to count on a place in the top eight, given the level of competitors. However, the Red-whites made a great start, scoring 10 points in the first four rounds, and it seemed that Adam Hutter's team could not be knocked out of the top eight.
Monaco suffered their first defeat in the Champions League in the fifth round, losing 2:3 to Benfica at home, followed by the Red and white losing 0:3 to Arsenal away. A very important 1-0 victory over Aston Villa in the seventh round allowed Monaco to end up in the playoffs, in a duel against an unmotivated Inter in the last round, Monaco lost 0-3 and finished 17th in the table.
In the French championship, Monaco was not considered a clear contender for the title, this status has belonged to PSG by default in recent years, but the Monegasques certainly counted on a ticket to the Champions League. So far, with 37 points, the red and white are in fourth place in the table and already 16 points behind the leader PSG, but at the same time, the second Marseille has only six points more and it is quite realistic to compete for silver.
Disqualifications and injuries
Mavissa is disqualified. Balogun, Singo, Ilenihena and Kamara are injured.
Interesting betting trends
- Monaco have lost two of their last three matches.
- Monaco have conceded in the last four matches.
- Monaco have scored in their last seven home games.
Provisional squad: Maecki – Vanderson, Kerer, Salisu, Caio Henrique – Aklius, Magassa, Zakaria, Ben Segir – Biret, Embolo.
Benfica
PortugalCurrent form
Benfica, like its current rival, was not considered a clear contender for a place in the top eight before the start of the season, but at the same time had a very decent squad and had to fight for a place in the playoffs. Bruno Laje's team started with two wins in a row over Crvena Zvezda (2:1) and Atletico (4:0), but in the third round they unexpectedly lost 1-3 at home to Feyenoord.
In general, Benfica failed to jump over their heads in the Champions League, although there were definitely chances, which is only worth the home fiasco in the match against Barcelona (4:5), where the Eagles led the score until the 86th minute, but eventually managed to lose the match. A 2-0 away win over Juventus in the last round guaranteed 16th place in the table and a place in the 1/16 finals.
In the Portuguese championship, Benfica was traditionally considered one of the main contenders for the championship title along with Sporting and Porto before the start of the season, but so far the Lisbonians have not fully justified this status. With 47 points, the Eagles are in second place in the table and four points behind the leader of Sporting, with Porto and Braga four points away.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ba, Manu, R.Sanshesh and Guwayya were injured.
Interesting betting trends
- Benfica have won their last three matches.
- Benfica have scored in six of their eight Champions League matches.
- Benfica have conceded in four of their last five matches.
Approximate line–up: Trubin – Araujo, Silva, Otamendi, Carreras – Florentino, Eursnes, Kekcu - Di Maria, Pavlidis, Schelderup.
Trends
The bet is an accurate score of 3:2
Benfica's last two matches ended with this score
22.00Monaco'sbetwill score in the first half
This bet has been successful in Monaco's last two matches.
1.85Benfica'sbetwill score in the first half
In the last two matches, Benfica scored in the first half.
2.05The bet Total of the first half is more than 1.5 goals
This scenario has been implemented in the last two Benfica matches.
2.49Tip and bets
Monaco, on the whole, is having a decent season, although the team has plenty of weaknesses – the red and white play bold attacking football, score a lot, especially on their own field. In the Champions League, the Monegasques scored 10 goals against their opponents at home – statistics are better than Arsenal's at home, Liverpool scored the same number at Anfield. Obviously, Benfica has a minimum chance of playing reliably, there are enough problems in defense, but at the same time, the Eagles are also playing openly and scored three times against Monaco at Louis II in November, and for sure today's match will be productive.
We believe that the match will be productive. The forecast is a total of more than three goals. This bet is offered with a coefficient of 2.05
Betting on the outcome
Monaco looked great in the Champions League, failing to break into the top eight, but at the same time defending a place in the playoffs without any problems, which is also a serious achievement. The Red and White are playing their home matches especially well - they haven't lost a single point in the last three, and in the Champions League they scored nine out of 14 points at home. Benfica is unstable and makes a lot of mistakes in defense, there are problems in away matches, in such a situation it makes sense to give preference to the hosts, although the Monegasques certainly won't have an easy walk.
The bet is the victory of Monaco. This bet is offered for 2.29
Combined bid
Monaco got a difficult opponent, and the only way to get to the 1/8 finals would be to win a home game – in any other scenario, it would be almost impossible to count on something in Lisbon. The red-whites are capable of snatching victory, they are traditionally strong on their own field, and Benfica is not perfect this season either. However, it will be very difficult to beat the Eagles dry – Monaco is not perfect in defense, and the Portuguese are extremely effective in attack.
The bet is a Monaco victory and both will score. This bet is offered for 3.95
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