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Baez — Hugo Carabelli. Forecast for the ATP Buenos Aires match
Baez and Hugo Carabelli will meet in the first round of the tournament in Buenos Aires on February 11. Having a higher rating, Baez is considered the favorite of this match. In addition, Sebastian needs to defend last year's quarterfinals on the courts of Buenos Aires. Will he confirm the status of the favorite of the meeting in the upcoming game? - the bets for this match are in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Sebastian Baez
ArgentinaCurrent form
Baes has already tried out the clay courts in the new season. Last week, Sebastian played at the challenger in Rosario, in which he managed to reach the semifinals - at this stage he was stopped by Hugo Dellien.
Professional qualities
Baes is a true specialist on the ground surfaces with a counter—attacking style of play. He has excellent technique and excellent footwork, which allows him to reach difficult balls and successfully launch a counterattack. His tenacity and combative nature are important advantages, and he always fights to the end for every ball. However, his short stature affects his serve, which is a weak link in his game.
Current indicators in the tour
Baez is the 31st racket of the world. During his career, the 24-year-old Argentine has won 17 trophies, six of which are in the ATP category. Last season, Sebastian won two clay tournaments in Rio de Janeiro and Santiago.
Interesting facts for betting
Baez was a quarterfinalist in the Buenos Aires competition last year.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ArgentinaCurrent form
Hugo Carabelli has scored seven wins in eight matches in the new season on his home turf. Last week, Camilo became the winner of the home challenger held in Rosario. He beat Hugo Dellien in the final.
Professional qualities
Hugo Carabelli is another representative of the Argentine tennis school, specializing in playing on clay. He doesn't stand out for his powerful serve, but he is known for his tenacity on the back line. Camilo knows how to keep the ball in play and adapts to hot conditions. Despite his success on clay, he has no hard court experience, which limits his options on other surfaces.
Current indicators in the tour
The title in Rosario, won this season, was the 12th in his career for Hugo Carabelli. The 25-year-old Argentine currently ranks 110th in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
Hugo Carabelli won 9 of 12 matches against opponents from the top 100 of the world ranking.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
In 3 of Baez's last 5 matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.33There is no Tie-breakbetin the match
This bet was played in 3 of the 5 previous matches of Hugo Carabelli
1.31Tip and bets
Baez's motivation for a successful performance in Buenos Aires is high, as his performance has left much to be desired at major tournaments in recent months. In addition, Sebastian needs to defend last year's quarterfinals on the local courts. We believe that the Argentine will be able to pass his compatriot.
Our prediction is that Baez will win with a handicap of (-4) games for a coefficient of 1.92
Bet on the total
Baez won his last face-to-face match against Hugo Carabelli in two sets, giving his compatriot only three games per game. We expect that the upcoming match will not last long either.
The second forecast is a total of less than 21 games for a coefficient of 1.95
Bet on the first set
In three of Hugo Carabelli's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We expect that the upcoming meeting against Baez will also start with the "grassroots" first game.
The forecast is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.63
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