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Barys — SKA: forecast for the KHL match
On February 13, Barys will have a showdown at the home arena with SKA St. Petersburg. Astana residents are considered clear outsiders in this confrontation and, according to bookmakers, should concede within the regular time with a difference of several goals. Indeed, on "paper" the hosts look much weaker than their counterpart. However, the previous match between the clubs, which took place in December, ended with just a 1-0 score in favor of the Army team. Does it make sense to bet on the success of the guests? You will learn about this from the forecast
Command Analysis
Barys Nur-Sultan
KazakhstanCurrent form
Barys has not claimed anything for a long time in the current season. The team occupies the last place in the table and can only think about finishing its performance in the regular season on the 11th line, from which it is now literally three points away. It will be very difficult to recoup this gap, especially considering the results the club is showing. It should be noted that at the moment he is also in bad shape and is on a three-game losing streak.
Prior to that, Astana proved their superiority over Sibir (4:3 OT), after which they had two disastrous matches on the road against Avangard (1:5) and Amur (0:5). Also, even before the break, Barca lost away to Admiral with a score of 3:4 in overtime. In that match against Vladivostok, they also had to concede in regular time, but then they pulled themselves together after conceding three goals in a row and brought the matter to extra time. However, in the end, luck was on the opponent's side anyway, and Astana residents got only one point.
Let's emphasize that the situation of Galym Mambetaliev's squad is absolutely no better on the home court, since up to this point they had managed to score only three victories within 60 minutes. In addition, in most cases, the team remains with the minimum number of goals scored and cannot open the opponent's defense more than once or twice.
Disqualifications and injuries
Burdasov, Asset and Mukhametov will not play in the upcoming match due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- Barys gets an average of 5.57 minutes of penalty time.
Barca remain one of the most disciplined clubs in the league.
- Barys has a 24:59 ratio of dropped and missed goals in the second period.
Astana residents have a bad time in the second twenty minutes and are often inferior in it
SKA St. Petersburg
Russian FederationCurrent form
SKA has big plans for this season and probably wants to finish its regular season at least on the second line of the Western Conference. However, at the moment the team is in the sixth position of the standings, although it is literally three points away from second place. Recently, the army team has not been distinguished by successful results and has alternated successful fights with defeats, although before this period they had a great series of four victories.
Recall that on the road, St. Petersburg dealt with Dynamo Moscow (4:3 OT), but at home they played incredibly poorly against Ak Bars, to whom they lost with a score of 3:8. This was followed by an away victory over Vityaz (4:2), but in the final confrontation with the blue and white, Roman Rotenberg's team lost again, with only one goal scored - 1:3. Recall that then he failed the first and second game segments and pulled himself together only in the third twenty minutes, when it was already very late.
Let's emphasize that SKA is not performing well at foreign venues this season, as previously it was able to win only ten victories within 60 minutes. As a rule, the army team spends the second period most successfully, in which they have a 69:51 ratio of goals scored and conceded, so the game at the far benches is quite successful for them, and they feel extremely comfortable in such hockey.
Disqualifications and injuries
Gritsyuk and Pleshkov will not be able to play in the upcoming match due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- SKA receives an average of 7.43 minutes of penalty time per match.
Army men are usually eliminated about four times per game and do not have perfect discipline.
- According to statistics, the St. Petersburg team makes 35 shots on target.
At the moment, the club remains one of the most throwing in the league.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total less than 1.5 pucks
In the last two matches between the clubs, the first period was inconclusive.
1.87Bid for the 2nd period: The hosts will score
In the last three matches, SKA conceded in the second period.
1.95Tip and bets
In our opinion, the bookmakers greatly overestimate the army in this confrontation. Of course, the victory is likely to go to the guests, but Barys can impose a tight fight on them, as was the case in the last match in St. Petersburg. The Army team has been experiencing a lot of problems lately and, as a rule, has been successful with a difference of one or two goals. Mambetaliev's team, in turn, managed to avoid defeat in three out of five matches. It is also necessary to take into account the fact that for SKA this match will be the second in the away series, and there will be many more meetings ahead, so the team will save energy.
Forecast - Barys wins with an Asian handicap (+2.5) on goals from cf 1.80
Betting on an individual total
In many previous matches, SKA did not open the opponents' defense more than three times. In the last two matches against Barys, the Army team also did not score even twice. Astana residents, as you know, adhere to a very closed style of play and try to allow a minimum number of dangerous moments at their gates, but they themselves score little. We think that the St. Petersburg team will try to win the class, so we would not expect them to score a lot of goals.
We're betting on SKA's individual total of less than four goals in 1.72
Bet on the total total
Barys plays home matches, as a rule, ineffectively and finishes them with less than six goals scored. As we noted above, the hosts adhere to a closed style of play and are not used to acting on opposite courses. In meetings with similar opponents, SKA also tries, first of all, to monitor its actions in defense. Based on this, we expect to see no more than five goals in this confrontation.
We take a total of less than 5.5 goals for 1.87
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