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Fonseca — Coria. Forecast for the ATP Buenos Aires match
Fonseca and Coria will meet in the second round of the tournament in Buenos Aires on February 13. Fonseca made a confident start in Buenos Aires, beating Etcheverry in two sets. The 18-year-old Brazilian has a match against Coria ahead of him, which is still far from its ideal playing conditions. What bets should you pay attention to in this match? - find out in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Joao Fonseca
BrazilCurrent form
Fonseca defeated Thomas Etcheverry 6-3, 6-3 in the first round of the competition in Buenos Aires. In a rotation with an Argentine tennis player, Joao made three aces, made four break points and lost one game on her serve. For the Brazilian, it was the tenth victory this season with only two defeats.
Professional qualities
Fonseca is showing potential that could soon allow him to win ATP-level tournaments. Last season, the Brazilian lost games on his serve in almost every match and made double mistakes. However, Joao has a strong side — a powerful forehand that stands out from the general background of his game. The Brazilian still has many opportunities to grow and improve his skills.
Current indicators in the tour
Fonseca is in the top 100 of the world ranking - in 99th place. The Brazilian has already won one tournament this season - in January, he won the Challenger Open hard court in Canberra. In total, Joao has won two trophies in his career.
Interesting facts for betting
Fonseca has amazing stats this season - ten wins with two losses.
Federico Coria
ArgentinaCurrent form
Coria scored a 6-3, 6-2 victory over Hugo Gaston in the first round of the Buenos Aires tournament. In a duel with the Frenchman, Federico made three aces, made six break points and lost two games on his serve. The Argentine has seven wins and five losses this season.
Professional qualities
Coria's main weapon is a right hand punch. Federico can easily run under the forehand and direct the ball to almost any point of the court, which makes his game especially effective on dirt surfaces. However, against the background of a strong forehand, his backhand looks noticeably weaker, which often becomes a source of frequent mistakes. In addition, the Argentine prefers to play in an attacking style, as his defense and mobility leave much to be desired.
Current indicators in the tour
Coria is currently located outside the top 100 of the world ranking. The 32-year-old Argentine has won 15 trophies in his career. He won the last of them in Szczecin in 2023.
Interesting facts for betting
Coria defends last year's semi-final on the courts of Buenos Aires.
Trends
There is no Tie-breakbetin the match
This bet was played in 3 of the 5 previous matches of Coria
1.27Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
In 3 of Fonseca's last 5 matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.19Tip and bets
It seems to us that Coria has little chance of reaching the quarterfinals of the home competition in Buenos Aires. His opponent in the second round is quite difficult - the 18-year-old Fonseca is hungry for victories and has been showing amazing form this season - he currently has ten wins with only two losses.
Our prediction is that Fonseca will win with a handicap of (-5) games, a coefficient of 1.83
Bet on the total
We expect that this match will not last long. Fonseca is definitely outperforming Coria physically at the moment, so he's likely to beat the Argentine in two sets.
The second forecast is a total of less than 20 games for a coefficient of 1.91
Bet on the first set
In three of Coria's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming match against Fonseca will also begin with the "riding" of the first game.
The forecast is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 2.25
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