Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix: forecast for the Australian Championship match

Australia

Melbourne Victory

Australia

A-League Men

aami-park

14 February 00:35 UTC

Wellington Phoenix

New Zealand

Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix will play in the 19th round of the Australian A-League. The hosts are closing in on the playoff zone, while the guests are still in the bottom half of the standings. Will the visitors be able to take away three points from Melbourne on February 14th? The answer is in our forecast for this match.

Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction and Betting Tips (14.02.2025)

Command Analysis

Melbourne Victory

Australia

Current form

Melbourne Victory finished third in the regular season last season, and then reached the finals of the playoffs, missing out on the title of champion in the decisive confrontation with the Central Coast Mariners. Currently, the team is struggling to stay in the top 6 and occupies only the sixth place in the standings. The club is only one point ahead of its geographical neighbor, Melbourne City. At the same time, the hosts are only one point behind the third position. After dry wins over Sydney FC (2:0) and Perth Glory (2:0), Arthur Diels' team suffered an unexpected defeat from one of the A-League outsiders, Newcastle Jets (0:3).

Disqualifications and injuries

Joshua Inserra has left for the national team and will not help the team.

Interesting betting trends

None of the last five matches of the hosts ended in a draw.
The team has won only one of the last four home matches.

Approximate composition: Duncan - Bos, Roderick, Hamill, Geria - Tig, Valadon - Piscopo, Mashash, Velupille - Vergos

Wellington Phoenix

New Zealand

Current form

Wellington Phoenix had a fairly successful previous regular season, finishing second in the table. The team went straight to the semifinals of the playoffs, but was eliminated from the tournament, losing to today's opponent. Unfortunately, the current championship draw is turning out to be an absolute failure for the New Zealand club. The Wellington team is only in tenth place and six points behind the playoff zone. Having started 2025 with two defeats in a row, the guests seemed to be coming to their senses, but so far they have only managed to beat MacArthur (2:1). The matches with Sydney FC (0-0), Central Coast Mariners (0-0) and Brisbane Roar (1-1) ended in a draw.

Disqualifications and injuries

Stefan Kolakowski will miss the match due to injury. The entry of Alex Rufer and Gabriel Sloane-Rodriguez into the field is questionable.

Interesting betting trends

The team has scored only one victory in the last six matches.
Three of the last four matches of the guests ended in a draw.

Approximate line-up: Kelly-Heald - Sutton, Hughes, Wootton, Sheridan, Payne-Ishige, Nagasawa, Retre, Brooke-Smith-Barbarouses

Trends

The bet is an exact score of 1:1

The last match of the guests ended with the following score

9.50

Bet Both will score

Stavka has played in three of the last five away matches

1.70

The bid is the number 1 in the final bill

This pattern has worked in 11 of the last 12 matches between the teams.

1.80

Tip and bets

2.05handicap (+1) on Wellington Phoenix

The hosts are considered the clear favorite of this confrontation, but it seems to us that the guests have no less chance of a positive outcome. Melbourne Victory have won only two of their last nine matches, but the visitors have started to gain momentum and have scored points in each of the last four rounds. It's definitely not going to be easy for the Melbourne club here, despite the support of their fans.

Our forecast is an Asian handicap (+1) for Wellington Phoenix in 2.05

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1.87total less than three goals

Bet on the total

Both teams haven't shone offensively lately. The hosts remain the least productive team from the playoff zone, and only Perth Glory scored fewer goals in the entire league. The last more or less productive match between the rivals took place in 2023, after that, for six consecutive matches, the teams scored no more than three goals. Most likely, there will be no scoring extravaganza here.

Our forecast is a total of less than three goals in 1.87

Betting on corners

Most likely, the opponents will play defensively, which means that a lot of serves from the corner flag are not expected. We suggest betting on a total of less in this indicator.

Our forecast is a total of less than 10.5 corners in 2.03

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