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Severstal — Lokomotiv: forecast for the KHL match
On February 14, the local Severstal will host guests from Yaroslavl on its site in Cherepovets. Lokomotiv slowed down and lost a lot of points in the second half of January and early February. At the beginning of the season, Igor Nikitin's team confidently won against the Steelworkers in the capital of the Golden Ring. Right now, the guests are in bad shape and are not as motivated to win as their opponent. How will the duel turn out? Read our forecast
Command Analysis
Severstal Cherepovets
Russian FederationCurrent form
Severstal continues to fight for a place in the top three of the conference. Andrey Kozyrev's team dropped to fourth place in the West, but they may well rise higher, because competitors are actively losing points. The hosts have 69 points after 53 matches, and they are only one point away from Dynamo Moscow, which is in second place. Before the All-Star break, the Steelers won seven out of eight games. Cherepovets completed a long road trip with a crushing defeat against CSKA (1-6), but then they easily beat Spartak at home (8-6). Adam Lishka's squad returned to Moscow and took revenge on the Red-Blues (4:3), making the most important step towards the second position in the West.
The Black and Yellows are not doing their best on their half of the court at this stage of the season. In the previous five meetings, they had conceded 19 times, and goalkeepers Alexander Samoilov and Konstantin Shostak had seriously worsened their percentage of deflected shots. It was Samoilov who took to the ice in the last game against CSKA, but he deflected only 85% of the shots, but this did not prevent the Cherepovets team from winning.
Kirill Pilipenko remains the club's top scorer from the Vologda Region. The forward scored 49 points (26+23) and ranks sixth in the list of the most productive hockey players in the KHL. Daniil Aimurzin got close to him, who regained his form and scored three goals in the last two matches. The young striker has 47 points (28+19) in the goal+pass system.
Disqualifications and injuries
Alexander Skorenov and Yaroslav Dyblenko will not help their partners in the game against Yaroslavl.
Interesting betting trends
- Severstal gets five minutes of penalty time for the match
The team is currently the most disciplined in the league.
- Severstal has 84.2% neutralization of the majority of the rival
Cherepovets occupy the fifth position in the championship in the minority game.
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Russian FederationCurrent form
Lokomotiv remains the first team in the Western Conference table, but it is gradually letting its competitors in. The team led by Igor Nikitin scored 82 points in 55 matches and is already only ten points ahead of Dynamo in second place, while the Muscovites played one less match. The Volga team started the new calendar year well and won six matches in a row, but now the guests have only two wins in seven matches. In the last home series of games, the Railwaymen won against the blue and white (2:1), lost to Metallurg (2:3) and Spartak (4:5) and were stronger than the Bison (2:0). At the start of the current guest tour, they failed to cope with the Minsk residents in the capital of Belarus (1:3).
Alexey Melnichuk became the main goalkeeper of Lokomotiv after Daniil Isaev's injury. He made three shutouts in 20 starts, but reflected a modest 91.33% of shots and was good mostly against not the strongest teams. Isaev is already training with the team, but the coaching staff, led by Igor Nikitin, is in no hurry to return the leader to the last frontier and is testing their guys before the playoffs.
Artur Kayumov retains his leadership in the club's goalscoring list and has scored three points in the last three games. The forward scored 38 points (19+19) in the goal+pass system and is already three points ahead of Maxim Berezkin (13+22), who has long been the best striker in the home team. So far, the rest of the attackers are not too good, because of this, the results of Yaroslavl have seriously deteriorated.
Disqualifications and injuries
Mark Ulyev will not be able to help his teammates in the game against the Steelers.
Interesting betting trends
- Lokomotiv gets 6.58 minutes of penalty time
Yaroslavl players demonstrate a disciplined game and are eliminated no more than three times per match on average.
- On average, Loko makes at least 31 shots per match.
Lokomotiv actively plays offensively and tries to make shots from any position.
Trends
Bet 2nd period: total more than 1.5 goals
In eight matches with Severstal, the second period was productive.
1.75Bet period 3: Severstal will score
In 11 out of 14 games, the Cherepovets scored in the third period.
1.72Tip and bets
The Steelworkers have a great opportunity to take advantage of the poor form of the guests. Severstal is playing great at this stage of the season and playing its best hockey on home ice. Lokomotiv slowed down after Daniil Isaev's injury and lost five out of seven matches. Yaroslavl players are very weak on offense on the road and the last time they scored at least three goals was on January 19 in Astana. We think that Andrey Kozyrev's team, who are more motivated to win, will be able to impose a fight on the conference leader and beat him within the regular time. We suggest taking the hosts with a zero head start.
Forecast - Severstal wins with an Asian handicap (0) in 2.50
Betting on an individual total
Cherepovets looked good on offense in January and rarely left the court without at least three accurate shots. They have scored 18 goals in the last five matches and scored at least three goals in six out of eight meetings. Lokomotiv has stopped being reliable in its half of the court after Daniil Isaev's injury, so Severstal has a chance to throw a lot at the Yaroslavl goal.
We bet on Severstal's individual total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 2.40
Bet on the total total
Severstal has been playing extremely well lately, and most often there are at least five goals in matches involving Cherepovets. Yaroslavl residents began to miss much more often and meetings between rivals were regularly bright. We believe that teams will score at least five goals between them without any problems. Let's bet on the total more.
We take a total of more than 4.5 goals for 1.70
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