Liontips
Aston Villa – Liverpool: forecast and bets with odds of 5.40
The matchday 29 between Aston Villa and Liverpool will be held almost a month earlier than originally scheduled in the calendar, as the Merseysiders will play in the League Cup final. In the first round game, Arne Slot's team confidently defeated Birmingham with a score of 2:0. Should we expect the same victory on February 19th? – the answer is in our forecast. What are the best bets for the match?
Command Analysis
Aston Villa
EnglandCurrent form
Aston Villa disappoints their fans more and more with each round. Birmingham have been winless for four consecutive matches in the Premier League - three draws and a defeat. In the last round, it seemed that three points literally went into the piggy bank by themselves in the confrontation with the outsider Ipswich on their own field. From the 40th minute, the Traktorists were left with ten, but the hosts conceded first in the second 45 minutes and all they had to do was equalize the score (1:1). We can say that we were unlucky, because we scored 25 shots on goal, six on target, but this is hardly an excuse for a team that set out to fight for a place in the top 4.
Aston Villa is only ninth in the standings after 25 rounds. The gap from the top 6 is five points. It is characteristic that even the factor of the home field, where Birmingham are traditionally strong, does not help now: in three of the previous six matches at Villa Park there were no victories. Too often, Unai Emery's men play a draw at home – they have finished six of their 13 matches in peace since the start of the season.
At the same time, Aston Villa is pleased with its performances in the Champions League. We managed to score 16 points in the main tournament, with which the team finished in eighth place and will play immediately in the 1/8 finals. Interestingly, Birmingham were good at home in the Champions League, scoring 10 of their 16 points, including defeating Bayern Munich (1-0).
Disqualifications and injuries
Torres, Hoss, Cash, Konsa, Barkley and Onana will not play due to injuries. Kamara and Bailey's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches, Aston Villa have not won in the first half.
- In seven of Birmingham's previous ten Premier League matches, both teams scored goals.
- In 9 of Aston Villa's last 11 Premier League matches, no more than three goals have been scored.
- Aston Villa have lost by offside in five previous meetings.
Approximate composition: Martinez – Garcia, Disasi, Mings, Digne – McGinn, Thielemans – Asensio, Rogers, Ramsey– Watkins.
Liverpool
EnglandCurrent form
In the middle of last week, Liverpool had a rescheduled match with Everton. Then at Goodison Park, Arne Slot's team missed out on a 2-2 victory. Now the postponed match will have to be played again, as the Reds have made it to the League Cup final. The calendar, of course, is not easy, but this will not surprise the players, and the coach tries to rotate as soon as possible. In this regard, we can recall the recent 0:1 defeat against the modest Plymouth in the 1/16 FA Cup, where many players of the main squad were not involved.
After a draw with Everton in the next round, Liverpool beat Wolverhampton 2-1. The next goal was scored by Mohamed Salah, who has not slowed down during the season. The Egyptian has already scored 23 goals and 14 accurate assists in the Premier League. In the standings, the Merseysiders are in first place with a seven-point lead over Arsenal. They haven't lost on the road since the beginning of the season.
Like their upcoming opponent, Liverpool confidently made it to the 1/8 finals in the Champions League. As a reminder, Arne Slot's team scored 21 points in the main stage and finished first.
Disqualifications and injuries
Morton and Gomez are injured and won't play today. Entering the Gakpo field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Liverpool have won in the first half in three of the last five matches.
- In 9 of Liverpool's last 12 matches, both teams scored goals.
- Liverpool have scored at least two goals in 17 of their last 18 Premier League games.
Approximate composition: Alisson–Alexander-Arnold, Konate, van Dijk, Robertson– Gravenberch, McAllister – Salah, Soboslai, Diaz – Diogo Jota.
Trends
Liverpool's Corner WinRate
In five of the last six matches, Liverpool have not lost on corners.
1.60Bet Liverpool will score in the first half
In four of the last five matches, Liverpool have scored goals in the opening 45 minutes.
1.76The bet is an accurate score of 1:3
Liverpool have scored two of their last three personal wins with a two-goal advantage.
12.50The Liverpoolbetwon't lose on yellow cards
Liverpool have not lost on yellow cards in four of their previous five matches.
1.48Bet Goals in both halves – yes
The bet was successful in the last six face-to-face meetings
1.42xG Statistics
Tip and bets
Liverpool have a very difficult period of the season, they have to play without a break almost every three or four days. Winning is hard for the team, but it holds on, even though there were no gains during the winter transfer window. A lot is now decided by the individual skill of the players, the same Salah. Undoubtedly, in such a situation, one could make bold bets on Aston Villa at home, but the thing is that Birmingham are far from their best game at the moment, and even the home field factor does not help. We expect that, largely due to the individual skill of individual players, the Merseysiders will score three points.
Our forecast is for Liverpool to win by a factor of 1.88
Bet on the total
Liverpool have failed to score in their last two matches with Everton and Wolverhampton, and it is unlikely that they will be able to keep their gates intact in Birmingham. At the same time, the Merseysiders are able to distinguish themselves more than once in attack due to the individual skill of the players, it is no coincidence that in 17 of the 18 previous matches in the Premier League, the Reds scored at least two goals. There is a high probability that the upcoming meeting will be productive.
The second bet is a total of more than three goals with a coefficient of 1.90
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
In two of the last three victorious matches in face-to-face confrontations, Liverpool won with a two-goal advantage. We are also waiting for a comfortable victory performed by the Merseysiders today.
Prediction – Liverpool win by two goals with a coefficient of 5.40
Upcoming matches
Read more
Tips from experts
Today tips
Betting predictions stat
