Liontips
Real Madrid vs Manchester City: forecast and bets with odds of 5.60
Away in the first game of the 1/16 final of the Champions League, Real Madrid once again had a shock finish to the match and snatched victory from Manchester City with a score of 3:0. The "Townspeople" lost in the last three away matches in the main European club tournament and today the bookmakers are playing the role of an obvious underdog. Will the Creamies be able to make it to the 1/8 finals with confidence on February 19? – the answer is in our forecast. The star experts of the site Roman Pavlyuchenko, Alexander Mostovoy, Elvin Kerimov and Dmitry Gradilenko also share their bets on the match
Command Analysis
Real Madrid
SpainCurrent form
Real Madrid was initially considered one of the contenders to reach the 1/8 finals of the Champions League immediately, given the squad and the huge successful European Cup experience. However, the "cream" had an uneven main stage, only in the end they noticeably improved, they gave out a series of three wins in a row, but it was too late. With 15 points, they finished on the 11th line and had to play in the 1/16 finals, where the opponent got a very difficult one.
In Manchester a week ago, Real Madrid lost 1-2 until the 86th minute, but once again successfully played the ending, scored two goals and scored an important victory with a score of 3:2. Note that the last two goals were scored from Vinicius, who is now in excellent shape. In general, the Madrid attack was at its best, taking advantage of the gaps in the enemy's defense. Just look at the statistics: 20 shots on goal, eight of them on target.
In the example, Carlo Ancelotti's team played away to Osasuna after leaving for Manchester and parted in peace (1:1). As a result, Real Madrid is currently playing a series of three matches in the championship without a win (a defeat and two draws). Barcelona topped the table, but only in terms of additional indicators ahead of the cream. It's very similar to the fact that Galacticos are now throwing all their forces at the Champions League.
Disqualifications and injuries
Carvajal and Militao will not play today due to injuries. Vasquez Alaba's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches, Real Madrid have not won in the first half.
- For 11 consecutive matches in the Champions League, Real Madrid has not played a draw (eight wins and three losses)
- In six of Madrid's seven previous Champions League matches, at least three goals were scored.
- In four consecutive matches with Real Madrid, an exchange of goals was recorded, taking into account all tournaments.
Approximate composition: Courtois – Valverde, Rudiger, Asensio, Mendy –Ceballos, Camavinga, Bellingham – Rodrigo, Mbappe, Vinicius.
Manchester City
EnglandCurrent form
Manchester City barely made it to the 1/16 Champions League, although it was initially among the clear contenders for a place in the top eight. In eight rounds, the "townspeople" scored only 11 points, with which they took only 22nd place. Moreover, the fate of the playoff berth was decided only in the final round thanks to a 3-1 home victory over Brugge.
At home, in the first game against Real Madrid, Josep Guardiola's team once again failed to finish, and in general they played unconvincingly in defense. It will be very difficult to win back in Madrid, because in the away games in this Champions League draw, Manchester City defeated only the modest Slovan in Bratislava with a score of 4:0. In the rest of the matches, you could see defeats with a decent number of goals conceded.: 1:4 against Sporting, 0:2 against Juventus and 2:4 against PSG. It definitely won't be easier against Real Madrid with its excellent attack.
Certain hopes for success are given by the fact that after the failure in the Champions League, the "townspeople" defeated Newcastle (4-0) in the Premier League. During the 33 minutes of that game, Marmush, acquired from Eintracht, scored a hat-trick and made it clear that he was ready to do his job not only in the Bundesliga, but also in the Premier League. A promising Holand-Marmush bundle is clearly being planned in the attack. In the standings, Manchester City is in fourth place, one point ahead of its closest pursuers and three points behind the third-placed Nottingham Forest. Guardiola's team will have a home battle with Liverpool in the championship after Madrid – the calendar is very difficult right now.
Disqualifications and injuries
Bobb, Rhodri, Grealish and Akanji will not play due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches, Manchester City have lost in the first half.
- In 8 of the last 11 matches in the Champions League, Manchester City did not win in regular time.
- At least four goals were scored in seven of the eight previous matches of the "citizens" in the Champions League.
Provisional squad: Ederson – Lewis, Stones, Dias, Guardiola – Kovacic, Gonzalez – Foden, Marmos, Savinho – Holland.
Trends
Bet Real Madrid's Victory on corners with a handicap (+1.5)
In the last six home matches of Real Madrid in the Champions League, such a bet played
1.81Bet Real Madrid will score in the second half
In two of the three previous face-to-face matches, the Creamers scored goals in the second 45 minutes.
1.34The bet is an accurate score of 3:1
Manchester City have suffered two recent away defeats in the Champions League by a two-goal margin.
12.00Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last five face-to-face matches, goals have been scored in each of the halves.
1.381st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
In four of the previous six head-to-head matches, no more than one goal was scored in the first half.
1.94Tip and bets
Throughout the tournament, Manchester City regularly fails away matches – three defeats in a row. The "townspeople" play especially unsuccessfully against top rivals away, we can recall the recent 1:5 from Arsenal in the Premier League. Undoubtedly, their attack is at its best, especially since it looks like Marmush has perfectly integrated into the team's game. However, regular defensive lapses do not allow us to play on equal terms against strong opponents, which could be seen from the home meeting with Real Madrid. The Creamers are definitely not inferior to the Townspeople in attack, but at the same time, they have the home field factor and a one-goal advantage on their side today, which allows them to feel more relaxed. Based on the opponents' first game, we prefer Carlo Ancelotti's team.
Our forecast is for Real Madrid to win by a factor of 1.90
Bet on the total
In the first game, the opponents scored five goals between them. It is unlikely that we should expect a scoring drought in the second leg, but the attack of Real Madrid and Manchester City is noticeably stronger than the defense at the moment. Plus, the guests need to recoup, at some point the game will be revealed.
The second bet is a total of more than 3.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.83
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
In the last two away matches in the Champions League, Manchester City were defeated by a two-goal margin. The defense of the "townspeople" is completely weak on the road, and we do not think that today it will be limited to a minimal victory for the favorite.
Prediction – Real Madrid will win with a two-goal advantage with a coefficient of 5.60
Upcoming matches
Read more
Tips from experts
Today tips
Betting predictions stat
