Tolpar - AKM-Novomoskovsk: forecast for the MHL match
On February 19, Tolpar will host AKM-Novomoskovsk at its arena in Ufa. The hosts suffered a crushing defeat in the last calendar match, and today they intend to rehabilitate themselves in front of the fans and defeat Victoria against an opponent who is fighting for survival in the "Silver" Division of the Eastern Conference. How will the confrontation end and what bets should I place? The answer is in our forecast

Command Analysis

Tolpar

Current form
The Salavat Yulaev youth team proves to many experts with every game that the loss of a place in the "Golden" Division of the Eastern Conference after the end of the 2023/24 season was a temporary phenomenon. Tolpar shows a masterful game in the current MHL draw, fights at the proper level, plays well offensively, but often forgets about defense – in the past five games, 20 goals have been conceded. In the last match against Loko-76, the squad fought at the proper level, but luck was on the side of Yaroslavl. The team lost with a crushing score of 0:6 and gave the opponent a lot of free space. The game before, Yevgeny Yesaulov's team had defeated the Railwaymen in a shootout. From the start of the championship, the team looks confident, causes a lot of problems to rivals and follows all the instructions of the coaching staff. At this stage, the squad is in first place in the standings with 67 points and is two points ahead of Tolyatti Ladya.
Interesting betting trends
- The team has been scoring an average of four goals per game since the beginning of the season.
- In the last 15 games, the club has outplayed its opponents a hell of a dozen times.

AKM Novomoskovsk

Current form
AKM-Novomoskovsk cannot find its game in any way, has suffered 15 defeats in a row, and it will not be possible to compete for high places in the youth hockey league. It is very difficult for the coaching staff to make adjustments to all the lines and change the pattern of the game, since the selection of players in the team is weak and inferior to all rivals in the Eastern Conference. The squad has been playing a disgusting game since the start of the championship and completely fails the championship in its first season. Tula in the "Silver" division deservedly occupies the last place in the standings with 10 points in the asset. The team managed to win only three victories in 44 games, scored only 67 goals and conceded 207 goals, becoming the second team in the MHL to concede more than two hundred goals. In the last game, the team lost in Tolyatti to Ladya (2:3), and the game before it was defeated on someone else's ice by Lada youth (0:4), conceding three goals in equal squads and one goal in the minority.
Interesting betting trends
- The club scores an average of 1.5 goals per game per season.
- In the past five games, the team has conceded an average of four goals.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total more than 1.5 pucks
In 4 of the last 5 meetings of the hosts, more than 1.5 goals were scored in the first period.
1.50Bet period 2: handicap (-1.5) on "Tolpar"
In 1 of the last 3 matches, the guests lost by a two-goal margin in the second period.
2.10Tip and bets
Today, the hosts will fly forward and attack a lot, and Tolpar will show excellent and effective hockey on its ice. It is worth paying attention to the fact that in the last four home matches of the Ufa club, more than six goals were scored out of seven, and we believe that there will be quite a lot of them in this confrontation.
The forecast is a total of more than 6.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.67
Betting on the outcome
In this confrontation, we will give preference to the owners from Ufa. Tolpar is holding a meeting on its own ice and has already proved its worth. The home club intends to win again, will try to play strictly in defense and win another victory in the season.
Forecast – handicap (-3.5) pucks on the "Tolpar" with a coefficient of 1.70
Betting on an individual total
Tolpar has no problems attacking. In the last five matches, the team was able to score 24 times, and scored eight goals in the last two face-to-face games. We can assume that the hosts will score more than five goals.
Forecast - individual total of "Tolpara" is more than 5.5 goals in 1.97