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Real Madrid - Atletico Madrid: betting tip and bets with odds of 3.00
The confrontation between the two Madrid giants Real Madrid and Atletico is expected by football fans in the 1/8 finals of the Champions League. The main rivals of the last five face-to-face matches ended in a draw in regular time. Should we expect a peaceful outcome on March 4 in the first game at the Santiago Bernabeu? - the answer is in our betting tip. The star experts of the site, Alexander Mostovoy and Dmitry Gradilenko, also share their bets on the match
Command Analysis
Real Madrid
SpainCurrent form
Real Madrid performed much below expectations and betting tips at the main stage in the updated Champions League format. Creamy was considered one of the main contenders for a place in the top eight, but they played the first half uncertainly and lost several optional points. As a result, even despite a series of three consecutive wins in the final rounds, they finished only in 11th position. I had to play in the 1/16 finals, where another loser, Manchester City, got into contention.
On the road in Manchester, Real Madrid won in their usual style and delivered a powerful ending. The cream scored two goals after the 85th minute (3-2). In the second leg, everything was much easier, Mbappe scored a hat-trick, and the townspeople scored their goal only at the very end (3:1). It should be noted that Jude Bellingham received an extra yellow card in this game, and will not play in the derby with Atletico today.
Despite the successful matches in the Champions League, Carlo Ancelotti's players are currently not having the most successful period in the Example. In the last five rounds, we managed to win only one victory. In the previous game, there was an away defeat against Betis with a score of 1:2. It is alarming that in that meeting, Madrid scored only two shots on goal. After 26 rounds, Real Madrid is in third place in the standings, two points behind Atletico and three behind Barcelona.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Carvajal, Militao, Ceballos, Vallejo, Valverde will not play today. Bellingham will serve his suspension.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the previous five matches of Real Madrid, there was an exchange of goals scored.
- In six of Real Madrid's last eight matches in the Champions League, at least four goals have been scored.
- At least two goals have been scored in the second half in the Cream's previous six Champions League matches.
- In 18 of the last 20 matches, Real Madrid have scored more shots than their opponents.
Approximate composition: Courtois – Vazquez, Rudiger, Alaba, Mendy – Modric, Kamavinga, Diaz – Rodrigo, Mbappe, Vinicius.
Atletico Madrid
SpainCurrent form
Atletico, unlike their upcoming opponent, managed to make it straight to the 1/8 finals. The mattress pads scored 18 points in the overall stage over eight rounds and finished in fifth place. Undoubtedly, the winning streak of the final five matches deserves respect. Among them, there was Victory over PSG on the road with a score of 2:1, home 2-1 with Bayer.
There are 26 rounds left in the Example, and Diego Simeone's team has only two losses in the passive, which is the best indicator among all clubs. With 56 points, the mattresses are in second place, one point behind Barcelona and two points ahead of Real Madrid. The last defeat in La Liga was back in October last year. Interestingly, then Atletico lost on the road to the same Betis (0:1), just like Real Madrid in their previous match on the eve of the Champions League game.
It should be noted that mattress pads now have a very complicated calendar. I had to play in the Spanish Cup with Barcelona first - an over-productive draw 4:4. Next was a difficult home match in the Example with Athletic Bilbao, when the fate of the meeting was decided by Alvarez's goal in the second half (1-0). Taking into account all the tournaments at the moment, Diego Simeone's team is on a winless streak of four matches in a row on the road.
Disqualifications and injuries
Aspilicueta and Koke will not play in the upcoming match due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of Atletico's last five matches, there has been an exchange of goals scored.
- In 11 previous matches involving mattress pads in the Champions League, at least three goals were scored in regular time.
- At least two goals have been scored in the second half in six of Atletico's last seven Champions League matches.
- In the last five matches, Atletico's players fouled less often than their opponents.
Provisional squad: Oblak – Llorente, Jimenez, Le Norman, Galan – J. Simeone, De Paul, Barrios, Lino – Griezmann, Alvarez.
Trends
Atlético's Total cornerbetis more than 4.5
In six of the last eight away matches in the Champions League, Atletico have taken more than four corners.
1.51Atlético'sbetwill score in the second half
In six of the previous seven face-to-face matches, the Matrasniki scored goals in the second 45 minutes.
2.10The bet is an accurate score of 1:1
This account was recorded in the last three face-to-face meetings.
6.30Bet Goals in both halves – yes
The bet has played in four of the last five matches between the rivals
1.651st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
In the three previous head-to-head matches, no more than one goal was scored in the first half.
1.44Tip and bets
As the owners of the bookmaker line, Real Madrid today gets the status of the favorite. Interestingly, in the last five matches, the creamies at the Santiago Bernabeu have lost points only once, and it happened just in the game with Atletico (1-1). Obviously, Diego Simeone knows how to play against a principled opponent, because for the past eight face-to-face matches in a row, the mattresses have not lost. Plus, Atletico currently has its own successful streak of four matches without defeats, taking into account all tournaments. According to the season, based primarily on the results in the Primera and the Champions League, Real Madrid is performing no better than today's opponent. In our opinion, Simeone will once again find tactical solutions to contain the powerful Galacticos attack.
Our betting tip is that Atletico will not lose by a factor of 1.93
Bet on the total
It is unlikely that the opponents will take an unjustified risk in the first game of the two-legged confrontation, and with a high degree of probability Diego Simeone and his players will not play open football with Real Madrid. In the previous three face-to-face battles, the opponents did not score more than two goals between the two, and we are waiting for the same scenario today.
The second bet is a total of less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.88
Combined bid
Based on our expectations, it would be logical to play a combined bet that Atletico will not lose and no more than two goals will be scored in the match. Moreover, in six of the last ten face-to-face confrontations, this betting option was successful.
The betting tip is that Atletico will not lose and the total is less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 3.00
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