Liontips
Smith is a cat. Prediction for the ATP Indian Wells match
Smith and Kotov will meet in the final of the Indian Wells qualifying tournament on March 5. Kotov is going through a difficult period of play right now. The Russian is unstable at the moment. What are his chances of getting into the main draw at Indian Wells? - the bets for this match are in our betting tip
Command Analysis
Colton Smith
USACurrent form
Smith beat Fabio Fognini 6-3, 6-4 in the first round of the Indian Wells tournament qualification. In the confrontation with the famous Italian, Colton made four aces, made four break points and lost two games on his serve. On the open hard court, the American has one win and one loss this season.
Professional qualities
Smith is a versatile tennis player who successfully plays both hard and clay. The American boasts a powerful first serve and a steady forehand. He prefers to be on the back line, and makes mistakes only under intense pressure.
Current indicators in the tour
Smith has already won one title this season - he won the home tournament, which was held in Cleveland. It was the second title of his career for him. Colton is ranked 261st in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
Smith has won 9 of the last 10 matches.
Pavel Kotov
Russian FederationCurrent form
Kotov reached the final of the Indian Wells qualifying competition, beating Coleman Wong (7-6, 5-7, 6-1). Pavel scored one ace during the match, made four break points and lost one game on his serve. For the Russian, it was his fourth victory on the open hard court this season, with six losses.
Professional qualities
The most difficult thing for a cat is to play hard. He feels much more confident on the ground and indoors, but on the open hard his results leave much to be desired. One of the reasons is the instability of the Russian's serve - it is powerful, but the percentage of hitting the first ball is low. Pavel also does not have good mobility, which makes it difficult for him to withstand long draws and react to his opponent's quick responses.
Current indicators in the tour
Kotov dropped out of the top 100 of the world ranking and is now in 102nd place. Although I was once the 50th in the world. During his career, the Russian has won six titles. He won the last one at the dirt challenger in San Marino in 2022.
Interesting facts for betting
4 of Kotov's last 5 matches ended in two sets.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
In 3 of Smith's last 5 matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.37There is no Tie-breakbetin the match
This bet played in 3 of the 5 previous Kotov matches.
2.17Tip and bets
Kotov has only played one match in the main draw of an ATP tournament this season - he played this match at the Australian Open. Obviously, the Russian is not in the best shape right now, and therefore we prefer the young talent Smith in the upcoming match.
Our prediction is that Smith will win by a factor of 1.74
Bet on the total
Kotov may not be in the best shape right now, but he definitely won't leave the court without a fight in the upcoming match. We believe that this match will be a long one.
The second betting tip is a total of more than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.79
Bet on the first set
In three of Kotov's last five matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming meeting against Smith will also start with the riding of the first game.
The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.48
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