Sobolenko - Kessler: betting tip for the WTA Indian Wells match

USA

Aryna Sabalenka

Belarus

BNP Paribas Open

stadium-1

8 March 18:00 UTC

McCartney Kessler

USA

Arina Sobolenko will play with McCartney Kessler in the opening match at Indian Wells on March 9. The American tennis player is having a successful season, making her way into the top 50 of the world ranking. Will the first racket of the world be able to confidently defeat this opponent today? - the answer is in our betting tip. Which reliable bets should I choose for the game?

Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler Prediction and Betting Tips (09.03.2025)

Command Analysis

Aryna Sabalenka

Belarus

Current form

After losing the final, Australian Open Sobolenko did nothing to please her fans. Arina had a setback at the start of the tournament in Doha with a defeat from Alexandrova. Next, in Dubai, she overcame only one round, after which she lost without a chance to Towson (3-6, 2-6). The world number one has a tournament in Indian Wells ahead of her, where she must defend her ranking points for reaching the 1/8 finals last year.

Professional qualities

Sobolenko relies on forceful attacking tennis in her game, trying to fully exploit the potential of her strong serve and powerful forehand. At the same time, over the course of her career, Arina has noticeably increased the reliability of playing on the back line and now she no longer tries at all costs to finish each draw with a straight shot from any position.

Current indicators in the tour

Arina, despite recent failures, continues to lead the rating. She has won the title in Brisbane and the final of the Australian Open this year.

Interesting facts for betting

In three of the last five matches, Sobolenko played in two sets.
In the four previous fights with Arina, no more than nine games were played in the first set.

McCartney Kessler

USA

Current form

Kessler made significant progress last season, and now she's clearly at her peak. On the eve of the American celebrated the finals of the tournament in Austin, where she lost to Pegula (5-7, 2-6). In Indian Wells, she did not slow down and defeated Blinkova in the first round confidently in two sets (6-1, 6-2).

Professional qualities

McCartney is known for her good footwork and high movement speed on the court, which allows her to keep up with difficult balls. There is a good first serve in the arsenal. In general, she doesn't have any very outstanding skills.

Current indicators in the tour

Kessler has 15 games won and six losses in 2025. At the moment, she has debuted in the top 50 and ranks 48th in the world ranking.

Interesting facts for betting

In four of Kessler's last five matches, more than ten games were played in the first set.
In three consecutive matches with Kessler, there was no exchange of won sets.

Trends

Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2

This is how events unfolded in four of Kessler's previous five fights.

2.24

Bet 2nd set: total less than 9.5 games

This bet was successful in four of Sobolenko's previous five fights.

1.41

Tip and bets

1.78Kessler with a head start (+5.5)

We do not think that Sobolenko will be able to defeat her opponent in the upcoming meeting. Firstly, Kessler is currently at the peak of his form, as evidenced by the recent tournament in Austin and a solid start in Indian Wells. Secondly, Arina has not played her last tournaments in the best way, and she will play her first match on local courts, and it is far from certain that she will adapt immediately. We think it's worth betting on a positive head start on the underdog.

Our prediction is that Kessler will win with a handicap of (+5.5) games with a coefficient of 1.78

Do you agree with this bet?

1.72The total is more than 19

Bet on the total

Sobolenko has played unconvincingly in recent tournaments, it is unlikely that she will defeat the American woman through the bottom today. Moreover, Kessler scored a decent move, and in Austin, in one of the sets, she even imposed a fight on Pegula.

The second bet is a total of more than 19 games in 1.72

Bet on the first set

It should be noted that in four of the five previous matches involving Kessler, the most intense struggle unfolded in the first set, when more than ten games were played. We expect a tight battle in this segment of the game today.

The betting tip is that the total number of games in the first set is more than 9.5 with a coefficient of 2.34

Do you agree with this bet?