Liontips
Kasatkina - Samsonova: betting tip for the WTA Indian Wells match
Two Russian tennis players Daria Kasatkina and Lyudmila Samsonova will face off in the third round in Indian Wells on March 11. Both of them had difficult opening matches the day before, they barely achieved victories, who will be better today? We recommend that you read the betting tip for the principle game from our expert and choose your confident bets
Command Analysis
Daria Kasatkina
AustraliaCurrent form
Kasatkina started in Indian Wells from the second round, where she had a difficult opponent Sofia Kenin. Predictably, the match was not easy for Daria, she was able to snatch victory in only three games (3-6, 7-5, 6-4). The Russian, in her usual style, did not demonstrate a reliable game on serve, Sofia completed five breaks. At the same time, Daria worked confidently at the reception, took her opponent's serve six times, and had as many as 15 break points in total.
Professional qualities
Daria relies on reliable actions on the back line in her game, often confuses her rivals with punches and spins, and is distinguished by her endurance. Her main problem is an unconvincing play on her own serve.
Current indicators in the tour
Kasatkina has nine wins in 15 matches since the beginning of the year. On the courts in Indian Wells, Daria needs to defend her points for reaching the 1/8 finals last year, and there is only one step left to take - to defeat her compatriot Samsonova.
Interesting facts for betting
- Kasatkina's highest score on the courts at Indian Wells is the 2018 final
- Kasatkina has played three sets in only one of her last five matches.
Liudmila Samsonova
Russian FederationCurrent form
Like her upcoming opponent, Samsonova started in Indian Wells from the second round, where she faced far from the most formidable American McNally. Lyudmila did not demonstrate a reliable and confident game, she won in two tight sets (7-6, 6-4). Samsonova lost her serve three times during the match, and she played very poorly on the second serve – only 39% of the points she won.
Professional qualities
Lyudmila plays power tennis, relies on powerful flat strokes and a strong serve. However, she doesn't always have a decent percentage of hitting the first ball, with McNally having only 52% accuracy.
Current indicators in the tour
Since the beginning of the year, Samsonova has played 13 matches in the round, of which only seven matches were victorious. Lyudmila currently occupies only the 25th place in the world ranking, although at one time she was the 12th racket of the world.
Interesting facts for betting
- In the previous six matches with Samsonova, three tie-breaks were played.
- Samsonova has not exchanged winning sets with her rivals in the last five matches.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
In four consecutive matches with Kasatkina, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.21Bet 2nd set: total more than 9.5 games
This bet was successful in three of Samsonova's last four matches.
2.17Tip and bets
In our opinion, Kasatkina has a better chance of reaching the 1/8 finals of this pair. As the opening match against McNally showed, Samsonova cannot make full use of her powerful tennis on the slowest courts in Indian Wells. This cover is more suitable for Daria, she will have a lot of chances for breaks when receiving Lyudmila's second serve.
Our betting tip is Kasatkina's victory with a coefficient of 1.67
Bet on the total
Both tennis players had tight and protracted opening matches, there was not much stability in their game. We believe that in a face-to-face confrontation between compatriots, we should expect a stubborn struggle.
The second bet is a total of more than 21 games in 1.81
Tiebreak bet
In Samsonova's matches, you can often see tie-breaks. So, in three of Lyudmila's six previous matches, the maximum number of games was played in one of the sets, which we do not exclude today.
Prediction – tie-break in the match – yes with a coefficient of 3.45
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