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Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid: betting tip and bets with odds of 2.80
In the first game on the road, Atletico was defeated 1-2 by Real Madrid in the derby. Prior to this, mattress pads have not lost to cream ones since 2022, but any series is interrupted. In the return leg, the hosts will have to open up, even if not from the very first minutes, but they will not be able to play defensively. According to which scenario will the game take place on March 12 and which reliable bets should I choose? - the answer is in our betting tip. The star experts of the site, Alexander Mostovoy and Dmitry Gradilenko, also share their opinion on the game of the two Madrid giants
Command Analysis
Atletico Madrid
SpainCurrent form
By the first game of the 1/8 finals, Atletico was coming off a solid streak of five consecutive Champions League wins. The mattress pads did not immediately find their game at the general stage, they scored the maximum number of points in the last five rounds, and did not allow themselves a single misfire. As a result, we managed to advance from fifth place to the 1/8 finals. Let's remind, the team scored 18 points, scored 20 goals, and often demonstrated an uncharacteristic open and bold football.
At the Santiago Bernabeu, the mattresses were clearly somewhat unsettled by Rodrigo's early goal. Nevertheless, in the first half, Alvarez's efforts managed to win back. The most significant was the second 45 minutes, in which the creamers quickly took the lead and practically did not allow the principled opponent to create anything at their own goal. There were only three shots towards the goal, and one of them was scored by the Atletico players. Overall, the 2-1 score was well deserved, Real Madrid demonstrated balanced and even football, without any fluctuations, and had a lot of experience in such matches.
In the example after the Champions League game, Diego Simeone's team played away against the modest Getafe, opened the scoring in the 75th minute, after which they were eliminated and the opponent scored two goals at the end of the game. As a result, after 27 rounds, Atletico has 56 points, third place, one point behind Barcelona and Real Madrid.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injury, only Koke will not play today.
Interesting betting trends
- In the last three matches, Atletico have drawn in the first half.
- In 16 consecutive matches in the Champions League, Atletico did not play a draw in regular time.
- The bet on both goals was played in six of the seven previous matches of the mattresses in the Champions League
- At least three goals have been scored in the last 12 matches with Atletico in the Champions League.
Provisional squad: Oblak – Molina, Jimenez, Langle, Galan – J. Simeone, De Paul, Barrios, Lino – Griezmann, Alvarez.
Real Madrid
SpainCurrent form
Real Madrid was considered one of the main contenders for a place in the top eight in the updated draw at the general stage of the Champions League. However, it was not possible to play all eight rounds smoothly and steadily, as a result, only 11th place. At the same time, it was noticeable even then that Carlo Ancelotti's team knows how to turn on the maximum at the right moments, it was no coincidence that victories were recorded in the final three rounds.
Madrid demonstrated the same ability to pull themselves together and give their maximum in the 1/16 finals, when they beat Manchester City 3-2 away and 3-1 at home in two meetings. In these matches, Creamy's attack proved to be powerful. In the first game of the 1/8 finals, Real Madrid played quite cautiously, it was noticeable that the attack had not yet fully spoken its weighty word, there was a desire to play reliably in the center of the field, not to let the opponent have possession of the ball and even more so to carry out quick attacks. Today, the offensive line will be reinforced by the return of Jude Bellingham, who did not play in the first game due to suspension.
After defeating Atletico with the same score 2:1, the cream beat Rayo Vallecano on their own field. Thus, we managed to beat the mattress pads in the table and match the points with the leading Barcelona. However, the Catalans still have a game in reserve.
Disqualifications and injuries
Carvajal, Militao, Ceballos and Vallejo will not play due to injuries. Entering the Rudiger field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In the last five matches, Real Madrid has not lost in the first half (four wins and one draw)
- In the cream's previous six matches in the Champions League, at least three goals were scored.
- In seven of the last nine matches of Real Madrid in the Champions League, both teams scored goals.
Approximate composition: Courtois – Valverde, Asensio, Alaba, Mendy – Rodrigo, Bellingham, Tchuameni, Diaz – Mbappe, Vinicius.
Trends
The Total cornerbetis more than 9.5
Stavka has played in five of Real Madrid's last six matches
1.57Bet Real Madrid will score in the first half
In the last five matches, Real Madrid has scored goals in the opening 45 minutes.
1.96The exact score is 1:2
The last two victories of the "cream" were achieved with such a score
9.80The Total Yellow Cardbetis less than 5.5
Stavka has played in nine of Atletico's last ten home matches in the Champions League.
1.471st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
In three of the four previous head-to-head matches, no more than one goal was scored in the opening 45 minutes.
1.54Tip and bets
Carlo Ancelotti's men deserved to win at the Santiago Bernabeu, they didn't allow their opponent to create much at their own goal, and the attack did its job well. It won't be easy at the Metropolitano, the mattresses obviously don't plan to leave the tournament without a fight, and the one-ball advantage isn't too serious. However, Real Madrid has a very experienced team that has repeatedly demonstrated the ability to adapt to the opponent, not to let him show his best qualities. Plus, few people manage to hold off the cream attack, especially since all the players in the offensive line are in shape now, and Bellingham has also served his suspension. We believe that the guests will have a better chance of winning the match.
Our prediction is that Real Madrid will win with an Asian handicap (0) for a coefficient of 2.00
Bet on the total
During the season, Atletico has repeatedly demonstrated that, as before, it is not worth referring to a purely defensive team now. It is enough just to give the figures: in the last 12 matches in the Champions League, at least three goals were scored with the participation of the mattress pads. At the same time, Real Madrid is always ready to support attacking football, given the excellent selection of offensive performers.
The second bet is a total of more than three goals with a coefficient of 2.06
Combined bid
Based on our expectations of the game scenario, it is logical to try to play a combined bet with a high chance that Real Madrid will not lose today and at least three goals will be scored in the match. This betting option has been successful in five of Cream's last seven winning matches, taking into account all tournaments.
The betting tip is that Real Madrid will not lose and the total is more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 2.80
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