Liontips
Sobolenko - Kartal: betting tip for the WTA Indian Wells match
In the fourth round in Indian Wells on March 13, Arina Sobolenko will play with an unexpected participant of such a high stage, Sonai Kartal. There is a significant difference in class between the rivals, will the first racket of the world be able to reach the quarterfinals without any problems? - the answer is in our betting tip
Command Analysis
Aryna Sabalenka
BelarusCurrent form
After unsuccessful tournaments in Doha and Dubai, Sobolenko easily overcame two rounds in Indian Wells and has already defended her last year's points for reaching the 1/8 finals. A year ago, it was at this stage that Arina sheathed her racket, having failed to cope with Navarro. The Belarusian tennis player had some difficulties on the grid at the start in the confrontation with Kessler (7-6, 6-3). She then defeated Bronzetti, who was comfortable with her playing style (6-1, 6-2).
Professional qualities
Throughout her career, Arina has been playing attacking tennis, making full use of her excellent physical abilities. The Belarusian tennis player has a powerful forehand and an impressive first serve. Recently, she has noticeably improved her game on the back line and now no longer strives to end every draw with a straight shot at any cost.
Current indicators in the tour
In 2025, Sobolenko has won 15 matches with three defeats. Arina won the title in Brisbane and played in the final of the Australian Open, still holds the title of the first racket of the world.
Interesting facts for betting
- In the last five matches, Sobolenko has not exchanged sets with her rivals.
- In three of Arina's previous five matches, no more than nine games were played in the second game.
Sonay Kartal
Great BritainCurrent form
Kartal sensationally made it to the 1/8 finals in many ways, which was a huge success for her. Sonai did not qualify, but got into the main draw as a lucky loser and took full advantage of the opportunity. Plus, she was also lucky with the tournament grid. Varvara Lepchenko and Polina Kudermetova managed to defeat far from the most formidable. There was also a victory over Haddad Maya, who is now far from her optimal form.
Professional qualities
The British tennis player is more inclined to defensive tennis, she works quite reliably on the back line. At the same time, she doesn't have a powerful serve in her arsenal to score easy points.
Current indicators in the tour
Kartal is in the world ranking at a modest 83rd place, obviously after Indian Wells it will significantly improve its position. Since the beginning of the year, the Briton has played 11 matches in the tour, in which she won seven and suffered four defeats.
Interesting facts for betting
- In the previous three fights, Kartal played two sets each.
- In four of the last five matches, the British player did not play more than nine games in the second game.
Trends
The Totalbetis less than 2.5 sets
Sobolenko scored two previous victories in Indian Wells with an accurate score of 2-0 in sets.
1.25Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
In the last three matches of Kartal, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.25Tip and bets
We expect that Kartal's exploits will end today. However, so far the British woman has been lucky in many ways, as she has not had any really serious rivals. According to Sonai's style of play with an emphasis on defensive tennis, it will be difficult to withstand Arina's barrage of attacks. The day before, Sobolenko defeated Bronzetti with a nine-game difference, and we are waiting for something similar today.
Our betting tip is for Sobolenko to win with a handicap of (-6) games with a coefficient of 1.72
Bet on the total
Kartal doesn't have a strong serve in her arsenal to be able to count on a decent number of games won today. And it's far from certain that Sonai will be able to maintain the high pace that Arina will offer her.
The second bet is a total of less than 18.5 games for 1.75
Bet on the second set
In three of Sobolenko's four previous matches, no more than nine games were played in the second game. In the betting tip, we expect Arina to confidently put the squeeze on her opponent who is inferior in class in this segment of the game.
The betting tip is that the total number of games in the second set is less than 9.5 with a coefficient of 1.34
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