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Sobolenko - Keys: betting tip for the WTA Indian Wells match
In Indian Wells on March 15, Arina Sobolenko has a chance to take revenge on Madison Keys for her defeat in the Australian Open final. Will the Belarusian tennis player be able to beat the American woman who is in great shape today? We recommend that you read our betting tip and choose reliable bets for the semi-finals
Command Analysis
Aryna Sabalenka
BelarusCurrent form
In Doha and Dubai, Sobolenko failed to demonstrate her maximum, winning only one of the three meetings. As you can see from the matches in Indian Wells, Arina did not have a prolonged slump. She reached the semifinals on a fairly easy grid without any noticeable problems. There were some difficulties only in the opening game against Kessler (7-6, 6-3). Further, in the fights with Bronzetti, Kartal and Samsonova, the Belarusian tennis player did not give up more than five games and today she will obviously be extremely motivated to take revenge from Keys for the defeat in the final of the Australian Open. Back then, the American won 6-3, 2-6, 7-5 in a hard fight.
Professional qualities
Arina makes full use of the potential of her powerful forehand, plays attacking tennis, does not seek to wait for the mistakes of her rivals, she tries to complete the draws with straight punches. It is noticeable that the Belarusian tennis player has recently done a good job on her serve, trying to rely on the accuracy of hitting the first ball.
Current indicators in the tour
Since the beginning of the year, Sobolenko has played 20 matches in the round, in which she won 17 victories. Arina has won the trophy in Brisbane and the Australian Open final. She continues to hold the title of the first racket of the world.
Interesting facts for betting
- Sobolenko scored all four wins on the way to the Indian Wells semifinals with an accurate 2-0 score in straight sets.
- In four of the six face-to-face confrontations with Keyes, the Belarusian tennis player was stronger
Madison Keys
USACurrent form
Keyes took a long break after the Australian Open title, but she clearly hasn't lost her excellent form, which she's been in since the beginning of the year. In Indian Wells, Madison won four matches and currently has a winning streak of 16 matches. This is not to say that the American easily qualified for the semifinals. There were lost sets in the confrontations with Mertens (6-2, 6-7, 6-4) and Vekic (4-6, 7-6, 6-3). At the same time, she defeated Bencic 6-1, 6-1 in the quarterfinals.
Professional qualities
Madison doesn't feel too comfortable exchanging punches in protracted backline draws, so she tends to act quickly, relying on a powerful first serve, aggressive reception and impressive forehand. When an American woman is in shape, this kind of fairly straightforward tennis brings her success.
Current indicators in the tour
Keys has impressive stats in 2025: 18 wins and just one loss, which was inflicted on her by Towson in Oakland. Madison won titles in Adelaide and at the Australian Open, and rose to her highest career fifth place in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
- In Indian Wells, Keys made it to the semifinals for the first time in her career.
- In two of the last three matches involving the Keys, tiebreakers were played.
Trends
The Totalbetis more than 2.5 sets
Sobolenko and Keyes had exchanged set wins in three of the previous five head-to-head matches.
2.41The Tiebreakbetin the match is yes
In three of the last six Keys matches, tiebreakers were played.
3.10Tip and bets
There is no doubt that Sobolenko will make every effort today to take revenge for the defeat in the Melbourne final. However, we do not think that Arina will easily achieve victory. Keys did not slow down after a long break, she is still pleased with her powerful attacking game, a crushing victory over Bencic the day before will clearly give her confidence in her own abilities. We are waiting for a close and equal fight in the match between the two attacking tennis players.
Our prediction is that the Keys will win with a handicap of (+3) games with a coefficient of 1.95
Bet on the total
In three of the last five face-to-face confrontations, Sobolenko and Keyes played three sets apiece. Both play in an attacking manner and have a strong serve in their arsenal. It is logical to see at least 22 games in the game of such tennis players.
The second bet is a total of more than 21.5 games per 1.76
Bet on the second set
Let's pay attention to the fact that in two of the three previous Keys matches in Indian Wells, more than 10 games were played in the second game. We expect that in the semifinals it will be at this stage of the game that the most intense struggle will unfold.
The betting tip is a total of more than 9.5 games in the second game with a coefficient of 2.07
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