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Gaston-Fonseca. Prediction for the ATP Phoenix match
Gaston and Fonseca will meet in the quarterfinals of the Phoenix tournament on March 15. Gaston managed to overcome Opelka and his powerful serve in the second round. Will playing confidently on the back line help the Frenchman in the confrontation with Fonseca? - the bets for this match are in our betting tip
Command Analysis
Hugo Gaston
FranceCurrent form
Gaston faced Reilly Opelka in the second round of the competition in Phoenix and beat him in two sets (7-6, 6-3). During the match against the American, Hugo made three aces, made two break points and lost one game on his serve. In the first round, the Frenchman passed Adam Walton.
Professional qualities
Gaston is a southpaw with excellent technique, high speed and a good playing sense. His shortened strokes are especially effective on clay, where he has achieved the most success in his career. The Frenchman prefers a counterattacking style, he is distinguished by accuracy, but his serve leaves much to be desired, because his short height of 173 cm does not allow him to generate powerful blows.
Current indicators in the tour
Gaston has won eight trophies in his career, none of which are yet in the ATP category. In 2024, Hugo took his last title, winning the competition in Lyon. The 24-year-old Frenchman is currently ranked 93rd in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
The last ten matches with Gaston ended in two sets.
Joao Fonseca
BrazilCurrent form
Fonseca had a fight with Jan-Lennard Struff (6-1, 4-6, 6-3) in the second round of the challenger in Phoenix. Joao made four aces against the German, made five break points and lost two games on his serve. The Brazilian beat Pavel Kotov in the first round.
Professional qualities
Fonseca has incredible potential. The Brazilian has already won two ATP titles, one of which he won this season. Joao's main trump card is a powerful forehand, which stands out favorably among the other elements of his game. The Brazilian still has room for progress and the opportunity to significantly improve his skills.
Current indicators in the tour
Fonseca has won two ATP trophies in his career. He won one of them this season by winning the competition in Rio de Janeiro. The 18-year-old Brazilian is currently ranked 80th in the world rankings.
Interesting facts for betting
Fonseca has won 12 matches on the open hard this season with only two losses.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
In 3 of Gaston's last 5 matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.33There is no Tie-breakbetin the match
This bet played in 3 of Fonseca's 5 previous matches.
1.61Tip and bets
Gaston beat Opelka in the second round thanks to his confident play on the back line and the American's poor skills in shooting the ball through the net. The Frenchman is unlikely to be able to beat Fonseca in a similar way - Joao knows how to keep the ball in play perfectly and, most importantly, attack in a timely manner.
Our prediction is that Fonseca will win with a handicap of (-4) games for a coefficient of 1.74
Bet on the total
We expect that this match will be held under the full control of Fonseca, who is the favorite in this pair. Most likely, this match will be played in two games.
The second betting tip is a total of less than 21 games for a coefficient of 1.83
Bet on the first set
In three of Fonseca's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We believe that the upcoming duel against Gaston will begin with the first game of the grassroots.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.88
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