Liontips
Manchester City - Brighton: betting tip and bets with odds of 5.10
After losing to Nottingham Forest in the last round, Manchester City left the top 4 and obviously the players will be extremely motivated to win and continue the fight for a place in the Champions League zone in the March 15 home match against Brighton. The Seagulls have an open winning streak of four matches in the Premier League and the battle for European Cup places is in full swing. Who has the best chance of three points today and which are the best bets to play in the upcoming meeting? - the answer is in our betting tip. Roman Pavlyuchenko, the star expert of the site, also shares his opinion on the game
Command Analysis
Manchester City
EnglandCurrent form
After the inglorious end of the Champions League, Manchester City managed to play four games in national tournaments. There was no significant breakthrough among the townspeople. In the matches against the representatives of the top 4 Liverpool (0:2) and Nottingham Forest (0:1), they failed to score a single point, and the powerful attack did not score a single goal. Even Tottenham, who are far from being in optimal shape, managed to win with a minimum score of 1-0 on the road. Only in the Class Cup did Josep Guardiola's team confidently beat Plymouth (3:1).
In general, there is still no stability in the game of Manchester City, the team is playing too unpredictably now. With Nottingham Forest, there wasn't much going on offensively–just three shots on target. There is not enough speed in the development of attacks, a tangible advantage in possession of the ball now rarely allows you to easily open the well-organized defense of opponents, like the same foresters.
The fans are not happy about the situation in the standings. The defeat against Nottingham Forest was the ninth of the season, which is more than in the previous two seasons combined. The chances of finishing in the top 4 are quite good, since the gap from Chelsea is only two points, but it is clearly necessary to stabilize the results, especially when it comes to confrontations with representatives of the upper part of the table.
Disqualifications and injuries
Rodri, Akanji, Stones, Ake and Bobb will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- Manchester City have not won in the first half in four of their last five matches.
- In the four previous matches of the citizens in the Premier League, at least one of the teams did not score goals.
- For seven consecutive matches in the Premier League, Manchester City has not played a draw.
- In the last four matches, Manchester City have lost on yellow cards.
Provisional squad: Ederson – Nunes, Husanov, Dias, Guardiol – Kovacic, Gonzalez – Savinho, Marmos, Doku – Holland.
Brighton & Hove Albion
EnglandCurrent form
For Brighton, it seems that the disastrous match in the Premier League on February 1 with Nottingham Forest was decisive. The defeat with a crushing score of 0:7 hit the players hard, as the Seagulls never lost in the next six matches, including a series of four consecutive victories in the Premier League. They also managed to reach the quarter-finals of the FA Cup, beating Newcastle 2-1 in extra time.
In the previous round, Fabian Hurzeler's team played Fulham on their own field. The rivals exchanged goals, it seemed that everything was going to a peaceful outcome, but in the eighth minute they managed to score the second goal from the penalty spot (2:1). With 46 points, Brighton are in seventh position in the table by the start of the 29th round, and a victory today will at least allow them to beat Manchester City, which has one more point. At the same time, there are still chances to compete for a place in the top 4, as the gap from Chelsea, which closes the top four, is three points.
Throughout the season, Brighton has been comfortable in away matches. We managed to win six of the 14 matches in other arenas. At the same time, it should be noted that trips to the Etihad are traditionally unsuccessful for the seagulls: all seven matches in the Premier League away from Manchester City ended in defeats for Brighton.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kadioglu, Milner, Igor, Dank, Veltman and Steele will not play due to injuries. O'Reilly's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In the previous two matches, Brighton drew in the first half.
- At least three goals have been scored in the last five matches with Brighton in the Premier League.
- In seven of the last ten away matches of the Seagulls in the Premier League, an exchange of goals was recorded.
Approximate line–up: Verbruggen – Lampty, Webster, van Hoecke, Estupignan – Baleba, Ayari – Minte, Rutter, Mitoma - Joao Pedro.
Trends
Manchester City'sbetwon't lose on offsides
In four of the last five matches, Brighton have lost by offside
1.80Manchester City'sbetis to score in the first half
In the last five face-to-face matches, Manchester City have scored goals in the opening 45 minutes.
1.49The bet is an accurate score of 3:1
Manchester City scored two of the seven home wins in personal meetings in the Premier League with this score
11.50Manchester City's Corner Handicap WinRate(-1.5)
The bet was successful in 15 of the last 16 home matches of the "citizens" in the Premier League.
1.52The totalrateof Manchester City yellow cards is less than 1.5
In six of the seven previous face-to-face meetings in the Premier League, the Manchester City players did not receive more than one warning.
1.94xG Statistics
Tip and bets
Manchester City performs too unpredictably during the season to be able to make bold predictions for the matches. According to the current results, Brighton looks much better than the citizens, but Guardiola's team has great potential, first of all, in attack. Now the fight for a place in the top four is in full swing, the hosts have a game ahead of them against a comfortable opponent, there is nowhere to retreat. Let's look at the statistics when choosing the main bet: not once in all their appearances in the Premier League have the Seagulls been able to even draw at the Etihad. We expect that after the defeat against Nottingham Forest, the Manchester City players will rehabilitate themselves in front of the fans.
Our betting tip is for Manchester City to win by a factor of 1.72
Bet on the total
There is a high probability that Manchester City will rely on attack at home, on a total advantage in possession of the ball, and Guardiola's team will use their chances. At the same time, Brighton has clear implementations and is also able to respond. We are waiting for a productive game.
The second bet is a total of more than three goals with a coefficient of 1.77
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
In the entire history of face-to-face confrontations in the Premier League, Manchester City has played against Brighton seven times, winning all meetings. At the same time, we managed to win three times with a comfortable two-goal advantage, which we are waiting for this time.
Prediction – Manchester City will win by two goals with a coefficient of 5.10
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