Arsenal - Chelsea: betting tip and bets with odds of 3.70
In the central match of the 29th round of the English Premier League on March 16 in the London derby, Arsenal and Chelsea will fight for three points. The Aristocrats have been unable to beat the Gunners in face-to-face meetings since 2021. Will it be possible to break the long series of failures today, or will the hosts once again take over? - the answer is in our betting tip. What are the best bets for the principle derby? Roman Pavlyuchenko, the star expert of the site, also shares his opinion on the game

Command Analysis

Arsenal

Current form
Arsenal is approaching the upcoming London derby after a successful confrontation in the 1/8 finals of the Champions League with PSV. Even on the road in the first meeting, the Gunners practically guaranteed themselves the quarterfinals, winning with a crushing score of 7:1. A 2-2 draw was recorded in the home second leg.
Things haven't been going well for Mikel Arteta's players in the Premier League lately. For three rounds, the team did not win – a defeat against West Ham (0:1), draws with Nottingham Forest (0:0) and Manchester United (1:1). It is noticeable from these matches that there are problems in attack, but there are still numerous losses in the offensive line-up. We have to play without Gabriel Jesus, Kai Havertz and Takehiro Tomiyasu. Perhaps Bukayo Saka will be able to enter the field soon. However, it should be noted that in two of the last three rounds Arsenal remained without scoring goals.
Ahead of the Gunners is a crucial duel with Chelsea, which they have not lost since 2021. In the last two face-to-face matches in the Premier League, Arsenal confidently dealt with the aristocrats with a score of 3:1 and 5:0, respectively. This season, the Gunners have been playing successfully at the Emirates as usual: eight wins in 13 matches played, 28 points scored, which is the second highest score in the Premier League.
Disqualifications and injuries
Tomiyasu, Saka, Jesus and Havertz will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches Arsenal have not won in the first half.
- In seven of the Gunners' previous nine Premier League matches, no more than three goals were scored.
- Arsenal have had only one defeat in their last 18 Premier League matches.
- In seven of Arsenal's previous eight Premier League home matches, no more than one goal was scored in the first half.
Approximate line–up: Raya – Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Kalafyori - Edegor, Parti, Rice – Nvaneri, Merino, Trossard.

Chelsea

Current form
Chelsea, like their upcoming opponent, played successfully on the international stage this week. In the return leg of the 1/8 finals of the Conference League at home, the Aristocrats defeated Copenhagen 1-0 with a minimum score and advanced to the quarterfinals. Let's remind, in the first game on the road they were also stronger – victory 2:1. In general, the result is expected, given the advantage in the class.
In the Premier League, too, Enzo Maresca's players have managed to somewhat stabilize their game and results. After two defeats in a row, the Londoners defeated Southampton (4-0) and Leicester (1-0) on their own field. Of course, you shouldn't overestimate these victories too much, since we met with obvious outsiders. Before that, there were defeats against the stronger Brighton and Aston Villa, and both failures happened on the road. We can say that Chelsea is fully using the calendar now. In general, in 2025, as such, the aristocrats did not have any victories over serious opponents, moreover, Manchester City lost outright 1:3.
It should be noted that Chelsea has been performing unconvincingly in other arenas in the Premier League throughout the season. We managed to win only six of the 14 matches played on the road, there were defeats in five cases, and right now there is an open series of three consecutive failures in away matches. The Londoners occupy only the ninth place in the Premier League in terms of points scored on the road.
Disqualifications and injuries
Mudrik is still banned from participating. D. Fofana, Anselmino, Giu, Jackson, Madueke, Kelliman will not play due to injuries. Gusteau's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In four of the last five matches, Chelsea players have received more yellow cards than their opponents.
- Chelsea have not beaten Arsenal in head-to-head matches since 2021.
- In the three previous matches of the aristocrats, a draw with an exact score of 0-0 was recorded in the first half.
- Chelsea have not won in 8 of the last 12 Premier League matches.
- In seven of Chelsea's previous eight Premier League games, at least three goals have been scored.
Approximate composition: Sanchez – James, Adarabioyo, Colville, Cucurella–Caicedo, Fernandez–Sancho, Palmer, Nkunku – Neto.
Trends
The bet is Arsenal's Victory by fouls
In three of the previous four matches, Arsenal players fouled more often than their opponents.
1.80Bet Arsenal will score in the second half
In the last three face-to-face matches, Arsenal have scored goals in the second 45 minutes.
1.55The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
Chelsea have suffered two of their last three defeats with this score
8.30The Totalbetis more than 8.5 corners
The bet was successful in seven of the nine previous face-to-face confrontations on the Arsenal field in the Premier League.
1.47The Total Yellow Cardbetis less than 5.5
In eight of the last nine face-to-face meetings at Arsenal in the Premier League, the referees have not shown more than five warnings.
1.82xG Statistics
Tip and bets
Both Arsenal and Chelsea are far from their peak form right now, they have a lot of personnel problems, which does not have the best effect on the results. The Gunners have an important home field factor on their side and a tangible advantage in face–to-face meetings lately - they haven't lost to an upcoming derby opponent since 2021. The aristocrats don't play well on the road in the season, plus they regularly fail in confrontations with top opponents in the Premier League. We believe that the hosts will score three points in a difficult match today, and it doesn't look like Chelsea is ready to break an unsuccessful streak in head-to-head matches right now.
Our betting tip is that Arsenal will win by a factor of 1.87
Bet on the total
When choosing a total bet, we recommend paying attention to the statistics of recent face-to-face confrontations. In three of the four previous face-to-face meetings, the opponents scored more than two goals. It is unlikely that any of them will rely strictly on defense in the derby today.
The second bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.90
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
It cannot be said that there is a significant difference in class between the rivals so that one can expect a crushing victory, and there are many questions about the current form. In two of the last three lost matches, Chelsea lost by one goal, which is what we are waiting for this time.
Prediction – Arsenal win with a one-goal difference with a coefficient of 3.70