Liontips
Italy - Germany: betting tip and bets with odds of 4.40
In the first game of the two-legged quarterfinal clash of the League of Nations on March 20, the Italian national team will play Germany on its own field. In the last personal meeting, which took place just in this tournament, the German squad defeated Squadra Azzurra with a score of 5:2. How will events develop on the pitch in Milan today? - the answer is in our betting tip. What are the best bets to choose for the confrontation between the two top European teams?
Command Analysis
Italy
ItalyCurrent form
The Italian national team had a good chance of finishing in first place in their group in the League of Nations. It was enough to lose to France on home turf in the final round. However, Luciano Spalletti's team failed that game (1:3) and took the second place. We managed to score 13 points, and the gap from the third Belgium was nine points, in fact, only France and Italy competed for victory in the quartet.
It should be noted that in their group, the Italians became the best in terms of performance with 13 goals scored. In general, under the leadership of Spalletti, the team plays much bolder and more attacking football, and we are no longer facing the usual national team with an emphasis on defense. However, the defense is noticeably suffering now, as they conceded eight goals in six matches, and played zero in only one match against Belgium on the road – winning with a minimum score of 1:0. Throughout the tournament, one could observe different combinations of defenders from the Italians, clearly the head coach is still in search of optimal tactical solutions. formations.
The Italian national team has qualified for the playoffs of the League of Nations for the third time in a row. The team finished the previous two draws of this tournament in the third final position.
Disqualifications and injuries
Dimarko will not help his national team due to injury.
Interesting betting trends
- In four of the last five matches, the Italian national team has won in the first half.
- The exchange of goals was in four of the five previous matches of the Italians.
- In six of the last seven home matches in the Nations League, the Italian national team has not lost (four wins and two draws)
- In five of the six matches played in the group stage with the participation of the Italians, there was a bet on a total of more than 2.5 goals.
Approximate composition: Donnarumma – Di Lorenzo, Buongiorno, Bastoni – Cambiaso, Frattesi, Ricci, Tonali, Udoggi – Barella – Retegui.
Germany
GermanyCurrent form
For the first time in its history, the German national team made it to the playoffs of the League of Nations, and it did it more than confidently. Six rounds of the Bundestim group stage went undefeated – four wins and two draws. The team lost points only in away matches with the Netherlands (2:2) and Hungary (1:1). As a result, the gap from the Dutch who took the second position was five points.
Throughout the tournament, Julian Nagelsmann's team delighted with attacking football, scored 18 goals, and became the best team not only in their quartet, but also among all participants in the A-League. Moreover, the German squad conceded only four goals, which is the best indicator in the group. The national team scored three of the four victories with a dry score, including the crushing victories over Hungary (5:0) and Bosnia and Herzegovina (7:0).
The German national team played its last match on the road against Hungary. That meeting had no tournament significance. Nmecha scored a goal in the 76th minute, and everything seemed to be heading for another German victory, but in the ninth minute, the Hungarians equalized the score from the penalty spot (1-1). It should be noted that despite all the successes in the group, the national team defeated only the modest team of Bosnia and Herzegovina with a score of 2:1 on the road.
Disqualifications and injuries
First of all, we should mention the problems in the goal line. Manuel Neuer has finished his career with the national team, Marc-Andre ter Stegen has been injured for a long time. Bayer Wirtz, the leader of the attack, will also definitely be missed today. Pavlovic, Havertz and Henrichs will not be able to play due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
Approximate composition: Nübel – Kimmich, Rüdiger, Schlotterbeck, Mittelstadt–Andrich, Grosse Sanet, Musiala, Adeyemi–Kleindienst.
Trends
The Total Offsiderateis less than 2.5
Stavka has played in seven of the last nine matches of the Italian national team
1.85Bet Germany will score in the second half
In the last three matches, the German national team has scored goals in the second 45 minutes.
1.87The exact score is 1:2
Germany has won two of the last three victories with a one-goal advantage.
10.001st halfbet: total more than 1.5 goals
In three of the five previous matches of the German national team, more than one goal was scored in the opening 45 minutes.
3.00Italy's Total Foulsrateis more than 10.5
In seven of the last eight home matches in the Nations League, the Italian national team players committed at least 11 fouls.
1.75Tip and bets
The Italian national team, led by Luciano Spalletti, plays a fairly open attacking football. The exchange of goals scored could be seen in five of the six matches of the Italians in the group stage. The German squad is constantly focused on attacking, scored 18 goals in the group and is unlikely to remain without at least one goal against the opponent today. At the same time, the goalkeeper line of the German squad is worrying, and it will not be easy to win back to zero on the road in Milan. We believe that the most optimal bet for the game will be an exchange of goals scored.
Our betting tip is that both will score for a coefficient of 1.81
Betting on the outcome
In the upcoming meeting between the top European cathedral bookmakers do not single out a favorite. The Italians have the home field factor on their side, but overall the team lacks stability, which could be seen from their last game against France, when they lost on their own field with a score of 1:3. We think that due to a more confident offensive game, first of all, the German squad will have a better chance of winning today.
The second bet is a German victory with an Asian handicap (0) with a coefficient of 1.94
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
We have rivals comparable in class, it's hardly worth waiting for a crushing victory of one of the teams. Moreover, the German national team won two of the last three victories with a one-goal advantage, which we are waiting for today.
Prediction – Germany will win by a one-goal margin with a coefficient of 4.40
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