Liontips
Baptist - Osaka: betting tip for the Miami WTA match
At the beginning of the year in Auckland, Hayley Baptist lost to Naomi Osaka in three sets. The next match between the tennis players will be held on March 22 as part of the third round of the tournament in Miami. Will the American tennis player be able to take revenge today and what kind of bets to play? - the answer is in the betting tip below
Command Analysis
Hailey Baptiste
USACurrent form
Baptiste had competed in Miami four times before this year and had never broken the first-round hurdle. This time, the American managed to score two wins on the grid at once and made it to the third round. At the start, she defeated Danilovich in three sets (6-3, 6-7, 6-1), and then beat Kasatkina in the same hard-fought match (3-6, 6-4, 7-5).
Professional qualities
Hayley plays from a position of strength, relying on powerful punches from both hands and a solid first serve. On the back line, she does not demonstrate stable play, and the reception is also not her strong suit.
Current indicators in the tour
Since the beginning of the year, Baptiste has won eight matches in the tour and suffered six defeats. In the world ranking, she is trying to gain a foothold in the top 100, currently in 98th position. Undoubtedly, after Miami, the American will noticeably improve her position.
Interesting facts for betting
- In three consecutive matches, Baptiste played in three sets.
- In three of the five previous matches of the American, more than nine games were played in the second game.
Naomi Osaka
JapanCurrent form
Osaka was unable to show anything at Indian Wells, where she lost to Osorio Serrano in the first round. However, in Miami, Naomi has noticeably improved, and is clearly on the rise in terms of game stability. In the first round, the Japanese defeated Starodubtseva with difficulty (3-6, 6-4, 6-3). Then, in a calmer match, she broke Samsonova's resistance (6-2, 6-4).
Professional qualities
Naomi has a powerful first serve and a well-placed forehand in her arsenal, which earns a lot of easy points. The Japanese woman does not always act confidently at the reception. Now you can often see how she manages to achieve success through experience.
Current indicators in the tour
Kruger is currently the 40th racket of the world, which is her best result in her career. In 2025, Ashlyn won 14 of 22 matches in the round. She showed the highest result in Abu Dhabi, where she was able to qualify for the finals.
Interesting facts for betting
- Osaka's best result in Miami is the 2022 finals
- In the four previous matches involving Osaka, more than nine games were played in the second game.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
In three of the last five Baptist matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.21Bet 2nd set: total more than 9.5 games
This bet has been successful in Osaka's last four matches.
2.00Tip and bets
Osaka is noticeably improving during the Miami tournament, as could be seen from her brave game against Samsonova with a small number of unforced errors. Baptiste barely made it through two rounds, and she spent a lot of effort. Plus, Osaka beat the American in three sets in Auckland this year, but with a solid eight-game difference. We expect Naomi to win quite convincingly today.
Our prediction is that Osaka will win with a handicap of (-4) games with a coefficient of 1.86
Bet on the total
Naomi knows how to play against tennis players who act in an aggressive manner. Samsonova had given up only six games the day before. We don't think a Baptist can count on much today either.
The second bet is a total of less than 21 games in 1.79
Bet on the first set
In three of the four previous matches involving Baptiste, no more than nine games were played in the first set. We expect that this time Osaka will confidently show its advantage right from the start.
The betting tip is that the total number of games in the first set is less than 9.5 with a coefficient of 1.82
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