Liontips
Spain - Netherlands: betting tip and bets with odds of 3.80
In the away game of the quarterfinals of the League of Nations, the Spanish national team failed to defeat the Netherlands. A 2-2 draw leaves the opponents with a chance to continue fighting for a place in the semifinals. Will the Spaniards be able to take advantage of the home field factor today and continue on their way to another trophy? We recommend that you review our betting tip for the match on March 23 and choose the best bets. The star experts of the site Roman Pavlyuchenko, Alexander Mostovoy and Dmitry Gradilenko also share their opinions on the game
Command Analysis
Spain
SpainCurrent form
Spain played the group stage in the League of Nations almost flawlessly. Only in the opening round there was an away draw with Serbia (0-0), after which there was a series of five consecutive wins with a total score of 13:4. With 16 points, the Spaniards finished in first place in the quartet, with a huge eight-point gap from Denmark in second place.
Luis de la Fuente's team were bookmakers' favorites on the road in the first game of the 1/4 finals against the Netherlands. Already in the ninth minute, the red fury opened the scoring with Williams' efforts, but then there were two missed goals. It was possible to avoid defeat largely due to the removal from the opponent. At the very end, in the third added minute, Merino, who replaced Williams, equalized the score (2:2). Now in Valencia, in fact, everything starts from scratch for the opponents.
The Spanish national team's unbeaten streak has now reached 22 matches in official competitions. The reigning European champions have not lost for two years now.
Disqualifications and injuries
Rodri, Carvajal, Martinez, Casado and Cubarsi are not playing for the national team due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches, Spain has won in the first half.
- In the last six matches in the League of Nations, the Spaniards were the first to open the scoring
- The Spanish national team has not lost at home in the Nations League in five of the last six meetings (four wins and one draw)
- In five of the Spaniards' previous six matches in the LN, at least three goals were scored.
Provisional squad: Simon – Porro, Le Norman, Heysen, Cucurella – Subimendi, Ruiz, Pedri – Yamal, Morata, N. Williams.
Netherlands
NetherlandsCurrent form
The Netherlands national team played a difficult group stage in the League of Nations and only made it to the playoffs from second place. It was not possible to compete with the German squad – the gap was five points. At the same time, the gap from the third Hungary was three points. It is worth noting that Ronald Koeman's team managed to score only two victories in their six matches in their quartet, and this despite the fact that the rivals were far from the top European teams – Hungary and Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Nevertheless, on their own field in the first game of the quarterfinals against Spain, the Orange looked no worse than their opponent and allowed him to equalize only in the third added minute (2:2). Gakpo and Reynders scored goals. We note the clear realization of the created moments: out of four shots on target, two ended with goals scored. Yorrel Hato let his team down. At first, his mistake largely led to the first goal scored, and in the 81st minute he also received a red card.
The second leg in Valencia is ahead. It is alarming that the Dutch had weak away matches in the group stage – not a single victory in the three matches played. Ronald Koeman's team then lost 0:1 to Germany and parted ways with Hungary and Bosnia and Herzegovina with the same score 1:1.
Disqualifications and injuries
Dumfries, De Vrij, Schouten, Ake, Gravenberch will not play due to injuries. Timber will miss the game due to illness. Hato will serve his suspension.
Interesting betting trends
- The Netherlands national team has not won in the first half in three of the previous five matches.
- In seven of the Orange's last nine matches in the League of Nations, there was a bet on both goals.
- In three of the last five matches of the Netherlands national team, more than two goals have not been scored.
- In six of the previous seven matches, the Netherlands national team did not win by fouls.
Approximate line–up: Verbruggen - Frimpong, van Dijk, van Hecke, Gertrude– Simons, Reynders, de Jong – Kluivert, Depay, Gakpo.
Trends
The bet is the victory of the Spanish national team on shots on target
In the last eight matches, the Spaniards have scored more shots on goal than their opponents.
1.30Bet Spain will score in the first half
In the last four matches, the Spanish national team has scored goals in the opening 45 minutes.
1.67The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
The Spanish national team has scored three of its last four wins with a one-goal advantage.
8.101st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
This bet was successful in three of the five previous matches of the Dutch national team.
1.51The Netherlands' Total cornerrateis more than 3.5
The Netherlands national team has scored more than three corners in eight of the last ten away matches in the League of Nations.
1.99Tip and bets
The Netherlands national team played a good home match, where they could have won with a high degree of probability, if not for the elimination in the end. On the road, it's hardly worth waiting for the same game from the Orange. Even in the group stage, they could not win a single match away, and they drew even with the rather modest Hungarians and Bosnians. Today, the rivals are formidable Spain, which knows how to improve during matches, operates at high speeds and it is no coincidence that it is now playing a series of 22 matches without defeats in official meetings. We believe that the Spaniards will achieve victory in regular time on their own field in Valencia and will advance to the semifinals.
Our betting tip is that Spain will win by a factor of 1.70
Bet on the total
We have repeatedly noted in our betting tips that the current Spain under the leadership of Luis de la Fuente is far from the national team that relies on possession of the ball, slow attacks, and the search for ways to the opponent's goal. Now the Spaniards are playing much bolder, faster, they are not afraid to miss. We expect that, as in the first game, there will be an exchange of goals scored today.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.76
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
The Spaniards have scored three of their last four wins with a one-goal advantage. The Dutch national team clearly demonstrated in the first game that it is too early to write off its accounts. We expect that the hosts will win with a minimal difference in the score.
Prediction – Spain will win with a one-goal advantage with a coefficient of 3.80
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