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Osaka - Paolini: Miami WTA match betting tip
Naomi Osaka will face Jasmine Paolini in one of the matches of the 1/8 finals of the tournament in Miami on March 24. The Japanese tennis player played three matches on her way to this stage, and played three sets twice. The Italian's path was much easier, with only three incomplete games. Who will make it to the quarterfinals today and what are the best bets to play? - the answer is in our betting tip below
Command Analysis
Naomi Osaka
JapanCurrent form
Osaka made it to the fourth round with difficulty, playing three sets in two of the three matches. At the start, Naomi, largely due to experience, turned the course of the game in her favor against Starodubtseva (3-6, 6-4, 6-3). After that, surprisingly, it was easy to cope with Samsonova, who is now in a good playing tone (6-2, 6-4). In the third round, Naomi played with American Baptiste, she was the clear favorite, but with big problems she won with a score of 7-6, 3-6, 6-4.
Professional qualities
Naomi plays from a position of strength, trying to shoot powerfully, using the forehand most often. In addition, she wins a lot of light balls due to a solid first serve, which, however, does not have high accuracy, most often she has a little more than 50% accuracy of hitting the first ball.
Current indicators in the tour
In 2025, Osaka played 13 matches in the tour, in which she managed to score nine victories. At the moment, the former first racket of the world occupies a modest 61st place in the ranking.
Interesting facts for betting
- In two of the three matches in Miami, Osaka played in three sets.
- In four of the previous five matches involving Osaka, more than nine games were played in the second game.
Jasmine Paolini
ItalyCurrent form
Paolini's path to the 1/8 finals turned out to be very easy. First, she defeated Shramkova 6-4, 6-4 in two sets. Then she played against Jaber, who had to withdraw from the game in the first game due to injury. Thus, for the first time in her career, Jasmine made it to the 1/8 finals in Miami and had already improved her result last year on the local courts when she sheathed her racket in the third round.
Professional qualities
Paolini relies in his game on stable actions on the back line, on speed. The Italian is able to get the most difficult balls, while knowing how to choose the best moment to attack. At the same time, her serve is not the most difficult, which many competitors use.
Current indicators in the tour
This season, Paolini has a rather modest interim record: 10 wins in 15 matches. So far, she has managed to stay in the top 10 on the seventh line, but in general, her performance this year cannot be called very confident.
Interesting facts for betting
- In the two previous matches with Paolini, more than nine games were played in the second game.
- In six of the last eight matches of the Italian, there was no exchange of won sets.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
This is the scenario that played out on court in three of Paolini's last five matches.
2.24Bet 2nd set: total more than 9.5 games
This bet has been played in four of Osaka's last five matches.
2.01Tip and bets
It's hard to give preference to anyone in this pair. Osaka did not go through three rounds in Miami very confidently, Paolini completely played only one match at the tournament. According to the manner of the game, it will still not be very convenient for the Italian to play against the Japanese. Naomi will regularly hit her on the back line due to her strong serve and powerful forehand. We think that the bookmakers' favorite will confirm his status.
Our betting tip is Osaka's victory with a coefficient of 1.58
Bet on the total
Osaka played three sets in two of the three matches in Miami, and she can't play the entire match smoothly and consistently. We expect the tennis players to play more than 21 games today.
The second bet is a total of more than 21 games in 1.85
Bet on the first set
In four of the last six matches involving Osaka, more than nine games were played in the opening game. We expect in the betting tip that the fight will unfold today from the very first games.
The betting tip is that the total number of games in the first set is more than 9.5 with a coefficient of 1.98
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