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Brad Tavares as Gerald Merschart. Betting Tip for the fight

International
Brad Tavares
USA
Middleweight
ufc-apex

Brad Tavares, a fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the middleweight category, will face Gerald Merschart. The fight will take place on April 6 as part of the UFC on ESPN 65 tournament in Las Vegas (USA) at the UFC Apex venue, which can accommodate about one thousand spectators. The approximate start of the fight is 04:40 Moscow time. Will the American be able to succeed in a duel with his compatriot and which bets to choose? - read in our betting tip

Brad Tavares vs Gerald Meerschaert Prediction and Betting Tips (06.04.2025)

Command Analysis

Brad Tavares

USA

Current form

Brad Tavares has been competing professionally in MMA since 2007. Before joining the UFC in 2011, he tried his hand at several American promotions, but never became champions. In the Dana White league, the fighter from Hawaii didn't get a chance at title fights either. His results are not very impressive. The American has lost in his last two fights. In the previous one, in October 2024, he lost to South Korean Yun Yong Park (split decision), and before that to Brazilian Gregory Rodriguez (technical knockout, third round). But he defeated his compatriot Chris Weidman (unanimous decision). The 37-year-old Tavares has 23 wins (six by knockout, 14 by decision, two by submission) and 11 defeats. Brad ranks 35th in the world MMA ranking among fighters of the middle division. 

Interesting betting trends

The accuracy of Tavares' punches is 43 percent.Tavares has finished opponents in the first round in five fights in his career.

Gerald Meerschaert

USA

Current form

Gerald Merschart started his professional career in 2007, having previously played in Resurrection Fighting Alliance, Titan FC and King of the Cage. He became a champion in the RFA in 2016 and in the same year made his debut in the strongest mixed martial arts championship on the planet. He performs with mixed success in the UFC. Nevertheless, he holds the record in the history of the middle division for the number of early wins (12). In the last match in November 2024, he lost to the Dutchman Rainier de Ridder (submission, third round). But before that, he defeated his compatriots Edmen Shahbazyan (submission, second round) and Brian Barberena (technical knockout, second round). The 37-year-old Merschart has 36 wins (six by knockout, two by decision, 28 by submission) and 18 defeats. Gerald holds black belts in kickboxing and Brazilian jiu-jitsu. GM3 ranks 30th in the world MMA rankings in its division. 

Interesting betting trends

The success rate of Merschart's takedowns is 35 percent. Merschart has finished opponents in the first round in 15 fights in his career.

Trends

The bet is a victory for Tavares by decision of the judges

Tavares' points victory stats are 65 percent

1.87
1.87

Tip and bets

1.51The total number of rounds is more than 2.5

Tavares will enter the octagon for the 26th time, which will be his 31st professional fight. Mershart, in turn, will hold his 23rd fight in the UFC. He reached this mark, despite the fact that he started acting in the promotion six years later than his opponent. Mearshert's recent results aren't too impressive either. This fight will be more equal than the odds show. However, it's worth leaning towards a victory for Tavares, mainly because of his excellent defense against takedowns. This will help him avoid dangerous submissives. Although as Brad got older, they began to transfer to the stalls more often. Well, Gerald's wrestling is as good as his last opponents (Park and Rodriguez beat him twice out of six attempts). If the fight takes place in a stand-up position, then Tavares has a better chance of winning. Both fighters are very resilient, so it is unlikely that either of them will be knocked out. In this situation, it is worth choosing a bet that the fight will go the whole distance.Our betting tip is that the total number of rounds is more than 2.5 in 1.51

 

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21 Apr | 12:00
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Betting predictions stat

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9tips
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0refund
5losing
-0.24%of profit
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10win
1refund
6losing
0.45%of profit