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Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund: betting tip and bets with odds of 4.20
Bayern and Borussia played poorly in the Champions League last week, lost their first quarterfinal battles, and Dortmund's chances of a semi-final are minimal, given the 0-4 away defeat by Barcelona. The face-to-face match between the main rivals will take place on April 12 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Which of the opponents is better prepared for the match and which reliable bets should I choose? - the answer is in our expert's betting tip
Command Analysis
Bayern Munich
GermanyCurrent form
Bayern is confidently leading the Bundesliga standings with 68 points. The advantage over Bayer is six points. This position gives Vincent Kompany the opportunity to maneuver in terms of composition, primarily for the upcoming match. Nevertheless, this is a case where it is not worth achieving victory at any cost. On the eve of the second leg of the Champions League quarterfinals against Inter Milan, where you just need to win at all costs, as the Munich team was defeated 1:2 at home.
In the duel with Inter, the Company's team had a huge advantage, scored 20 shots on goal, created enough dangerous chances to at least draw. However, this is not the first time that the opponent has already demonstrated that he is ready to use even minimal chances. In the 85th minute, Muller equalized the score, and three minutes later the visitors scored the decisive goal.
In the Bundesliga, Bayern had victories in the previous two rounds. However, it cannot be said that the Reds easily and casually dealt with St. Pauli (3:2) and Augsburg (3:1).
Disqualifications and injuries
At the end of the season, Bavaria was overtaken by an epidemic of injuries. In fact, the team lost half of the main squad. Ito, Davis and Musiala will definitely not play today due to injuries. Neuer, Upamecano, Pavlovic and Coman are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Bayern have drawn in the first half in four of their last five matches.
- In 10 of Bayern's 12 previous Bundesliga matches, at least three goals were scored.
- Bayern have won 11 of their last 12 league home matches on home turf.
- The Munich team opened the scoring first in 12 previous home matches in the Bundesliga.
Approximate line–up: Urbig – Laimer, Dyer, Kim, Stanisic – Kimmich, Gorecka - Olise, Muller, Sane – Kane.
Borussia Dortmund
GermanyCurrent form
Borussia, under the leadership of Niko Kovacs, has stabilized the game and the results in the championship. Dortmund won 3-1 at home to Mainz and 4-1 away to Freiburg in the previous two rounds. The six points scored in these matches allowed them to rise to an intermediate eighth place in the table on the eve of the start of the 29th round. Right now, the gap from the top 4, where the team is aiming, is five points, there is still time to eliminate this handicap.
In the Champions League, it is highly likely that Borussia's tournament path will end at the quarterfinals stage. A 0-4 away defeat by Barcelona leaves almost no chance of a semi-final. It's hard to believe that the Catalans will miss such an advantage. In Barcelona, the bumblebees could not do anything against the powerful attack of the opponent, who struck 18 shots at goal, 10 of them were on target, and four ended with goals – a great match performed by the Catalans.
Borussia has an equally formidable opponent ahead – Bayern. It is worth noting that in the two previous face-to-face confrontations, Dortmund did not lose. In the first round in Dortmund, a 1-1 draw was recorded between them.:1. Moreover, then Bayern won back only in the 85th minute, Musial scored the return goal, who will not be on the field today.
Disqualifications and injuries
Like the upcoming opponent, Borussia also has significant losses in the squad. Mane, Schlotterbeck, Zabitzer and Campbell will definitely not play today due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In the previous two Bundesliga matches, Borussia had won in the first half.
- In five of the last seven league matches involving Dortmund, at least one of the teams did not score goals.
- Borussia have not conceded more than two goals in six consecutive away matches in the Bundesliga.
- In eight of the nine previous face-to-face meetings in the championship, Borussia scored against Bayern
Approximate composition: Male – Jan, Anton, Bansebaini – Ruerson, Chukwuemeka, Gross, Svensson – Brandt – Adeyemi, Girassi.
Trends
Borussia's Total Cornerbetis less than 3.5
In seven of the eight previous face-to-face meetings in Munich, Borussia had not taken more than three corners.
1.871st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
Stavka has played in three of the last five face-to-face matches
1.76The bet is an accurate score of 2:2
Bayern and Borussia have drawn in two of the last five face-to-face meetings.
14.00Bet Borussia will score in the first half
In the last two face-to-face matches, Dortmund scored in the opening 45 minutes.
2.18The Bayernbetwon't lose by fouls
In 10 of the previous 12 matches, Borussia's players fouled less often than their opponents.
2.20Tip and bets
Bayern failed to beat Borussia in the previous two head-to-head matches. We think that today the guests will have a chance to get at least one point. Munich has significant losses in the squad, ahead of the Champions League second leg with Inter, where everything is far from lost. Bumblebees are well aware that it will not be possible to win back the four-goal difference with Barcelona in the Champions League, and there is still an opportunity to finish in the top 4 in the Bundesliga, obviously the game in Munich will be a priority today. And in general, Bayern has been unstable in recent rounds of the championship, hardly ready to win with a margin, with an advantage of more than one goal.
Our betting tip is that Borussia will win with an Asian handicap (+1.5) for a coefficient of 1.72
Bet on the total
Face-to-face matches are of fundamental importance for rivals and you can often see effective battles. So, in the ten previous face-to-face meetings between Bayern and Borussia, only two times fewer than four goals were scored. In recent matches, the defense of the teams was not particularly reliable, and there is a high probability that the opponents will delight the fans with scoring goals in large numbers today.
The second bet is a total of more than three goals with a coefficient of 1.62
Combined bid
Based on the fact that we expect resistance from the underdog, it would be logical to play a combined bet in the match that Borussia will not lose and the total will exceed 2.5 goals. By the way, Dortmund have won their last three victories in this format.
The betting tip is that Borussia will not lose and the total is more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 4.20
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