Lorenzo Musetti as Carlos Alcaraz. Betting Tip for the Monte Carlo ATP match

Monaco

Lorenzo Musetti

Italy

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters

court-rainier-iii

13 April 03:00 UTC

Carlos Alcaraz

Spain

Muzetti and Alcaraz will meet in the semi-finals of the Monte Carlo tournament on April 13. Muzetti demonstrates an incredible will to win on the Monte Carlo courts, having already won three matches after losing the first set 1-6. Will the Italian be able to pull off the same scenario in the game against Alcaraz? The Spaniard leads in face-to-face meetings and convincingly won the last three face-to-face matches against Lorenzo. What bets should I pay attention to in the upcoming match? - find out in our betting tip

Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction and Betting Tips (13.04.2025)

Command Analysis

Lorenzo Musetti

Italy

Current form

Muzetti beat Alex De Minaur 1-6, 6-4, 7-6 in the Monte Carlo semifinals. Lorenzo scored two aces, made five break points, and lost seven games on his serve. Earlier in the tournament, the Italian scored victories over Stefanos Tsitsipas, Matteo Berrettini, Jiri Lehechka and Bu Yunchaokete.

Professional qualities

Muzetti is a master of playing on the ground. The Italian is well equipped technically - his punches on both sides are powerful and precise. In practical jokes, Lorenzo acts thoughtfully, he feels the rhythm of the game and can change it if necessary. A stable shot in Musetti's arsenal is a forehand. The one-handed backhand in his performance is less stable, but at the same time it is more effective.

Current indicators in the tour

In the world ranking, Musetti is currently in 16th place. The 23-year-old Italian won his last title in 2022, when he won the outdoor hard court in Naples. It was his second ATP title of his career.

Interesting facts for betting

Muzetti has won 8 of the last 10 matches.

Carlos Alcaraz

Spain

Current form

Alcaraz defeated Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina 7-6, 6-4 in the semi-finals of the Monte Carlo Masters. Carlos did not make a single ace in the confrontation with his compatriot, made three break points and lost two games on his serve. Earlier, the Spaniard passed Artur Fils, Daniel Altmaier and Francisco Cherundolo in the tournament bracket.

Professional qualities

A lot has been said about Alcaraz. There are practically no weak points in the Spaniard's game. Many people compare Carlos to Nadal - he is physically and technically comparable to his famous compatriot. But so far, the Spaniard lacks stability - although, recall that this season Alcaraz has already won one title, winning the competition in Rotterdam.

Current indicators in the tour

For Alcaraz, the Monte Carlo final will be the second this season. Earlier, Carlos played in the final of the indore competition in Rotterdam, where he beat Alex De Minaur. For the 21-year-old Spaniard, it was the 18th ATP title of his career. Alcaraz is currently in third place in the world ranking.

Interesting facts for betting

Alcaraz has won 4 of the last 7 finals.

Trends

The bet is Alcaraz's Victory

Alcaraz won the last 3 head-to-head matches against Muzetti

1.29

Bet the 2nd set - Alcaraz wins

Alcaraz won the 2nd set in 10 of the last 11 matches.

1.33

Tip and bets

2.19Alcaraz with a head start (-5)

Muzetti's luck does not leave him - the Italian has already won three matches on the courts of Monte Carlo, losing in the first game with a score of 1-6. Will Lorenzo be able to beat Alcaraz in the same style? We think it's unlikely. Carlos knows how to beat Musetti - he did it four times earlier in his career. In the last three face-to-face matches with the Italian, Alcaraz won with a comfortable score.

Our betting tip is that Alcaraz will win with a handicap of (-5) games for a coefficient of 2.19

Do you agree with this bet?

1.79The total is less than 22

Bet on the total

Earlier in their careers, the tennis players met with each other five times. The last three face-to-face matches between them were played through the bottom. We expect that the upcoming match between Muzetti and Alcaraz will also be a grassroots one.

The second betting tip is a total of less than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.79

Bet on the first set

In three of Alcaraz's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming match against Muzetti will also start with the grassroots first game.

The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.89

Do you agree with this bet?