Yair Rodriguez as Patricio Freire. Betting Tip for the fight

International

Yair Rodriguez

Mexico

Featherweight

kaseya-center

12 April 19:30 UTC

Patricio Freire

Brazil

The fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the featherweight division, Yair Rodriguez, will face Patricio Freire. The fight will take place on April 13 as part of the UFC 314 tournament in Miami (USA) at the Kaseya Center multi-purpose venue, which can accommodate about 18,000 spectators. The approximate start of the fight is 05:40 Moscow time. Will the Mexican be able to succeed in a duel with the Brazilian and which bets to choose? - read in our betting tip

Yair Rodriguez vs Patricio Freire Prediction and Betting Tips (13.04.2025)

Command Analysis

Yair Rodriguez

Mexico

Current form

Yair Rodriguez is not at his best right now — he needs to win to prove that he is still a competitor in the UFC featherweight division. In recent fights, he lost to American Brian Ortega Bolev and Alexander Volkanovsky from Australia (by technical knockout). His interim UFC championship after defeating another U.S. representative, Josh Emmett, in 2023 already seems a long way off.

The 32-year-old Rodriguez has 17 wins (six by knockout, six by decision, five by submission) and five defeats. Yair ranks fifth in the division's ranking. The Mexican is also a former champion of the local Mexican Fighters Promotions tournament and holds a black belt in taekwondo.

Interesting betting trends

The accuracy of Nzechukwu's punches is 47 percent.Nzechukwu finished his opponents in the first round in four fights.

Patricio Freire

Brazil

Current form

After more than 20 years in MMA, Patricio Freire has finally got the chance to make his debut in the world's strongest mixed martial arts championship. However, at 37, he may be doing it too late. Pitbull approaches the fight after winning — he knocked out American Jeremy Kennedy in March 2024, becoming the last Bellator featherweight champion in history.

Before that, he lost by knockout to Chihiro Suzuki in the Japanese promotion RIZIN, and also unsuccessfully tried to win the Bellator bantamweight belt, losing to another US representative Sergio Pattis. Freire has 36 wins (13 by knockout, 12 by decision, 11 by submission) and seven defeats. He is ranked 36th in the MMA world rankings in his division. The Latin American holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.

Interesting betting trends

The success rate of Freire's takedowns is 18 percent.Freire has 12 career first-round wins.

Trends

Bet Rodriguez wins by decision of the judges

Rodriguez's points victory stats are 32 percent

2.23

Tip and bets

1.54The total number of rounds is more than 2.5

Rodriguez is the favorite in this fight, and mostly because of Pitbull's age. The Mexican has a 15 cm advantage in arm span, as well as significant height. Given that the Brazilian has always missed quite a few punches, Yair will simply shoot him from a distance and confidently take the fight on points. Rodriguez's punch is spectacular, but he rarely finishes fights ahead of schedule in the UFC. At the same time, Freire is an extremely persistent fighter. Yes, he has another defeat by technical knockout, but there was a leg injury. There is confidence that the fight will reach the decision of the judges: thanks to the steadfastness of Patricio and Rodriguez's not-so-knockout style.

Our betting tip is that the total number of rounds is more than 2.5 in 1.54

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