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Aston Villa - PSG: betting tip and bets with odds of 3.60
In Paris, Aston Villa was defeated by PSG with a score of 1:3 and will try to win back a two-goal handicap at home on April 15. The task for Birmingham is not easy, considering that the Parisians have lost only once by a two-goal margin all season. It happened that defeat in England, against Arsenal in the Champions League back in October. What are the chances of the hosts winning back and advancing to the semifinals today? - the answer is in our betting tip. The star experts of the site Roman Pavlyuchenko and Alexander Mostovoy also share their bets on the match
Command Analysis
Aston Villa
EnglandCurrent form
Aston Villa finished in the top 8 at the main stage of the Champions League and got the right to play in the 1/8 finals immediately. In many ways, we were lucky with the draw, as the opponents were inferior in class to Bruges. Birmingham had no difficulties with the Belgians: a 3-1 away win and an even more confident 3-0 home win.
In the quarterfinals, I had to fight one of the main favorites to win the PSG tournament. Unai Emery's team had a good opening 45 minutes, even opening the scoring first. However, the opponent increased the pressure throughout the match, equalized at the end of the first half, and then scored two more goals in the second half. The Birmingham team conceded the third goal already in added time, in fact, this ball has now put them in a difficult position – it will be difficult to win back a two-goal handicap with such an opponent, even at home.
After losing in the Champions League, Aston Villa played a match in the Premier League against the outsider Southampton and achieved an away victory with a score of 3:0. The standings are not easy in the championship, Unai Emery could not afford to field a second squad. In the Premier League, Birmingham have scored a series of four consecutive victories and are in the midst of a battle for a place in the top 5, which gives them the right to play in the Champions League next season (England, due to its high rating, received a fifth place in the Champions League). After 32 rounds, Aston Villa is in seventh place and just one point behind fifth-placed Manchester City.
Disqualifications and injuries
The only thing in question today is Bailey's appearance on the field.
Interesting betting trends
- In five of Aston Villa's last six matches in the Champions League, at least three goals have been scored.
- Aston Villa have drawn in the first half in four of the previous five matches, taking into account all tournaments.
- Aston Villa has yet to lose in this Champions League draw in Birmingham (four wins and one draw)
- In five home games in the current Champions League draw, Birmingham have conceded only one goal.
Approximate composition: Martinez – Cash, Consa, Torres, Digne – Camara, Thielemans – Rogers, McGinn, Rashford – Watkins.
Paris Saint-Germain
FranceCurrent form
PSG had a very difficult time entering the new season in the Europa League. In the opening rounds, the Parisians had defeats from Arsenal, Atletico and Bayern, and a draw with PSV. However, Luis Enrique's team had a strong ending and made it to the playoffs, although not immediately to the 1/8 finals. The confrontation with Brest in the 1/16 finals did not become a big problem – the victory with a total score of 10:0 on the sum of two matches. The real test of strength was in the 1/8 finals, where we had to fight against Liverpool. In the home game, PSG had a significant advantage, but lost 0:1, and away they managed to win back with the same score, after which they passed a difficult opponent in a penalty shootout.
In the first game against Aston Villa, the Parisians achieved a comfortable 3-1 victory, which allows them to feel at ease in Birmingham. It must be said that Luis Enrique's team had a significant advantage in Paris, especially in the second half. During the entire match, they scored 29 shots on goal, 10 of them were on target, and they owned 76% of the playing time. It was noticeable that the team could improve without any problems at the right moments.
In Ligue 1, PSG became champions ahead of schedule, there was no special competition this season. The gap from the nearest pursuer, Monaco, is 21 points, and there is still a game in reserve. Parisians did not play in the home championship this weekend, all their efforts are now focused on the Champions League.
Disqualifications and injuries
PSG has no problems with the squad, all the players are in the ranks.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last four matches, PSG have drawn in the first half.
- In six of the last eight matches in the Champions League, the Parisians scored at least two goals.
- PSG have won away in the Champions League in four previous matches.
Approximate composition: Donnarumma – Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes – Ruiz, Vitinha, Neves – Douai, Dembele, Kvaratskhelia.
Trends
PSG's Total Cornerrateis less than 5.5
In six of the last seven away matches in the Champions League, PSG have not taken more than five corners.
1.67Bet 2nd half: PSG will score
In the previous five matches, the Parisians scored in the second 45 minutes.
1.50The exact score is 1:2
PSG have won four of their previous five victories by exchanging goals with rivals.
8.701st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
This bet has been successful in three of Aston Villa's last five matches
1.61Bet Goals in both halves – yes
Stavka has played in four of the last five matches involving PSG
1.57Tip and bets
We do not think that we should expect any intrigue today. In the first game, PSG was stronger in all game components, increased the pace at the right moments, increased the pace, played at speeds unbearable for Aston Villa. In any case, Birmingham will have to open up and take risks today, and in such a situation, Luis Enrique's players will feel even more comfortable, they have a solid advantage in attack, and threats can be expected from any player, as everyone is in excellent playing tone right now. We believe that the guests will prevail again.
Our betting tip is for PSG to win by a factor of 2.10
Bet on the total
As you can see, PSG is not afraid to miss, some players are too keen on attacking. Accordingly, they often lack one goal scored to win. A powerful line of attack allows you to open the defenses of any opponent more than once. In the last 10 winning matches, the Parisians have limited themselves to just one goal only once, and there is a high probability that today, as in the home game, they will score at least two goals.
The second bet is PSG's individual goal total of more than 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.78
Combined bid
PSG won the first game on home turf, but at the same time we saw an exchange of goals scored. Today we are waiting for a similar scenario on the field. Moreover, in this format, with the exchange of goals, Luis Enrique's team won six of the last eight matches. The minimum coefficient for such a combined bet deserves attention.
Prediction – PSG win and both will score with a coefficient of 3.60
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