Alex Mikelsen as Alexander Bublik. Prediction for the ATP Madrid match

Mikelsen and Bublik will meet in the first round of the Masters in Madrid on April 23. Bublik performed well at the hardball challenger in Phoenix in March, reaching the finals, but since then his game has noticeably deteriorated. The current level of the representative of Kazakhstan can be called mediocre, especially on the ground. Alexander has scored only two wins on this surface this season, over Ritchard and Dedura-Palomero. What should I bet on in this confrontation? - find out in our betting tip

Command Analysis

Alex Michelsen

Current form
Mikelsen has played only one tournament on clay this season. He played at home competitions in Houston, during which he managed to reach the quarterfinals - at this stage he lost to his compatriot Francis Tiafoe.
Professional qualities
Mikelsen represents the modern generation of American tennis players, combining aggressive tennis with good technical equipment. He stands out for his strong serve, confident forehand and active play at the net. At the same time, Alex is not limited to playing only in attack - he is able to draw from the back line, smoothly moving to the offensive. His mental stability is one of his strengths, he does not shy away from reputable rivals and is able to maintain concentration even in intense fights.
Current indicators in the tour
Mikelsen has won four trophies in his career. The 20-year-old American won his last title in 2023 on Knoxville's home courts. Alex is currently in 38th place in the world ranking.
Interesting facts for betting
Mikelsen left Madrid last season after the first round.

Alexander Bublik

Current form
Bublik has two wins and two losses on clay this season. Last week, Alexander took part in competitions in Munich, where he confidently qualified, but he failed to beat Ziza Bergs in the first round of the main draw.
Professional qualities
The bagel is powerful on both the first and second serves, but it goes beyond the image of a classic bagel. His style of play is based on the element of surprise - he can surprise with non-standard solutions, such as a hand serve. The representative of Kazhatsan is consistently among the strong players of the tour, but emotional instability often prevents him from showing results throughout the season.
Current indicators in the tour
Last season, Bublik won the indore tournament in Montpellier. It was the fourth ATP title of his career for the 27-year-old representative of Kazakhstan. Alexander is currently in 75th place in the world ranking, although he was once 17th in the world.
Interesting facts for betting
Last season, Bublik reached the fourth round on the Madrid courts.
Trends
Bet a Bagel with a handicap (+1.5) of the set
Bublik won with a handicap (+1.5) of a set in 12 of the last 13 matches
1.24The IT Bagelrateis more than 11.5
Bublik has won more than 11.5 games in 12 of the last 13 matches
1.38The 1st setbetis a Bagel win
Bublik won the 1st set in 5 of the last 6 matches
1.86Tip and bets
Bublik, after a good performance at the challenger in Phoenix, where he managed to reach the finals, has slowed down and is now showing a mediocre level of play. On clay, Alexander has only victories over Ritchard and Dedura-Palomero this season. We believe that the representative of Kazakhstan will not be able to overcome the starting circle in Madrid.
Our prediction is that Michelsen will win by a factor of 2.11
Bet on the total
The opponents demonstrate approximately the same level of play in the game on a dirt surface. Therefore, most likely, their upcoming face-to-face match will be held in wrestling and will be played in three sets.
The second betting tip is a total of more than 23 games for a coefficient of 1.96
Bet on the first set
In three of Bublik's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming match against Mikelsen will also start with the grassroots first game.
The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.99