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Federico Gaio v Andrey Rublev: easy match for the Russian?
On April 21, Federico Gaio will face Andrei Rublev in the second round of the Barcelona Open. Will the victory of the Russian player be easy? - Read our forecast to find out.
Command Analysis
Federico Gaio
ItalyGaio loves playing on clay. It was on this surface that the Italian played the most matches in his career. Federico got into the main draw of the current competition in Barcelona as a lucky loser. In qualifications, Gaio defeated the Spanish veteran Tommy Robredo (7-6, 6-4), but then lost to Ilya Ivashka (3-6, 2-6).
In the first round the Italian was expected to beat the Frenchman Benoit Paire who has recently not been very motivated, - and so he did (7-5, 6-3).
Andrey Rublev
Russian FederationRublev came to Barcelona as a runner-up of the Monte Carlo Masters, which took place last week. At that tournament, Andrey defeated the Clay King himself - to defeat Rafael Nadal Rublev needed three sets (6-2, 4-6, 6-2).
However, after defeating the eminent Spaniard, Andrei still failed to win the tournament. In the final match, the Russian could not overcome the Greek player Stefanos Tsitsipas (3-6, 3-6).
Trends
Ставка1st Set: total over 8.5
More than 8.5 games in the first set have been played in the last 5 matches of Rublev.
СтавкаTie-break in the match - yes
Gaio has played three tie-breaks in his last 5 matches.
Tip and bets
The upcoming match should be an easy walk for Rublev. Gaio hasn't shown any noteworthy results this season. Yes, the Italian knows how to play on clay, but he is not strong enough to compete with the Russian on equal terms.
Over the past two weeks, Gaio has only beaten Donskoy, Robredo, and Paire on clay, who are most definitely not a match for Rublev. So in the upcoming meeting, nothing should stop Andrey from breaking through the odds offered by the bookmakers to him.
Our prediction is a Rublev to win with a handicap (-6.5) games.
Rublev is the clear favorite between the two players. Gaio falls short of the Russian's play, so he should become easy prey for Andrey. We expect that Rublev will win the upcoming match in the minimum number of games played.
The second prediction is total under 18 games.
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