Anastasia Sevastova - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova: betting tip for the WTA Madrid match

After a serious injury, Anastasia Sevastova is attempting to return to the tour and will play Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova in the first round in Madrid on April 23. The Russian tennis player has won all eight head-to-head matches against the representative of Latvia in her long career, can we expect another victory today? We recommend that you read our betting tip and choose reliable bets on the game

Command Analysis

Anastasija Sevastova

Current form
Due to a ruptured cruciate ligament in her left knee, Sevastova did not compete on tour for more than a year. The return took place on April 17 at a not very prestigious tournament in Koper, Slovenia. As part of those competitions, Anastasia won one match, but could not finish the second match, there was a withdrawal. Apparently, she is not ready for serious stress yet.
Professional qualities
At her best, Sevastova was famous for her ability to work out to the fullest on the back line, due to her high speed, she could pull the most difficult balls, and more than once made crazy comebacks. Now, of course, it's hardly worth waiting for images of the best game from her right away, given the injury and the long absence of game practice.
Current indicators in the tour
Sevastova played only two matches this year, won one and did not finish the second. The best achievement in the career of the 35-year-old tennis player is 11th place in the world ranking.
Interesting facts for betting
- In the two matches played this season with Sevastova's participation, no more than eight games were played in the first game.
- Sevastova lost all eight personal meetings to Pavlyuchenkova.

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

Current form
Pavlyuchenkova had a great Australian Open, where she managed to make it to the quarterfinals. Then Nastya had health problems, she played only three tournaments, won only one victory. The last time the Russian tennis player took to the court in Miami, she lost to Lynette (6-7, 2-6) at the start. In Madrid, Pavlyuchenkova needs to defend her ranking points from last year's third round.
Professional qualities
Anastasia does not like to practice on the back line, she tries to tactically build practical jokes so as to quickly complete them, either with her own backhand or forcing her opponent to make a mistake. Her strong point is the ability to play tactically competently, to adapt to the style of play of any opponent.
Current indicators in the tour
Pavlyuchenkova played ten matches in the tour in 2025, in which she won five and suffered the same number of defeats. Anastasia is ranked 49th in the ranking.
Interesting facts for betting
- In four consecutive matches with Pavlyuchenkova, there was no exchange of games won.
- In Anastasia's eight previous matches, she had not played more than nine games in the second game.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
In three of Pavlyuchenkova's previous five matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.24The Totalbetis less than 2.5 sets
In six of the eight face-to-face meetings, the tennis players did not exchange their sets.
1.41Tip and bets
Sevastova has not played on the tour for more than a year, played two matches against not the strongest opponents, and was forced to withdraw in the second meeting. Obviously, the former 11th racket of the world cannot play at a high level yet. Today she has to face an uncomfortable opponent – all eight face-to-face fights ended in favor of Pavlyuchenkova. We don't think it's worth waiting for a sensation in this pair.
Our betting tip is that Pavlyuchenkova will win with a handicap of (-4.5) games with a coefficient of 1.87
Bet on the total
Sevastova and Pavlyuchenkova played eight matches against each other, in all of them the Russian won, and only twice the exchange of won sets was recorded. We expect Pavlyuchenkova to confidently deal with a comfortable opponent again today.
The second bet is a total of less than 21 games in 1.78
Bet on the first set
In the previous three face-to-face meetings, there wasn't much fighting at the start, and no more than nine games were played in the first set. It is unlikely that anything will change in Madrid today.
The betting tip is that the total number of games in the first set is less than 9.5 with a coefficient of 1.62